Independiente at Patronato

Updated

Independiente

42.7%29.2%28.1%
Independiente WinDrawPatronato Win
1.22Projected Goals 0.93
1Final Score 3

Patronato

Last 5 Games

Independiente
Money Line
T 1-1 at San Lorenzo
T 1-1 vs San Lorenzo
L 1-4 at Banfield
L 0-1 at Aldosivi
L 4-1 vs Godoy Cruz
Patronato
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Aldosivi
L 3-0 vs Godoy Cruz
W 2-3 vs Lanus
L 0-5 at River Plate
W 0-2 vs Colon

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente+190+164+160+138+154+138+164+163.1
Patronato+160+206+190+220+205+220+220+230.1
Draw+180+206+180+205+201+205+206+215.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Independiente-----+163.1
Patronato-----+230.1
Draw-----+215.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Patronato: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Independiente: 20.0%
Patronato: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Independiente: 0.0%
Patronato: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Independiente ML
No Steam Moves On Patronato ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-110o2-119o2-115o2-111-o2-111o2-111o2-104
Underu2-110u2+104u2-105u2-109-u2-109u2+104u2+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2-104
Under-----u2+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.6%
 
No57.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.69%
Exactly 226.93%
Exactly 410.34%
Exactly 61.59%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.10%
Exactly 319.26%
Exactly 54.44%
Exactly 70.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 029.61%
Exactly 136.04%
Exactly 221.93%
Exactly 38.90%
Exactly 42.71%
Exactly 50.66%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Patronato
Exactly 039.50%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.04%
Exactly 35.28%
Exactly 41.23%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.02%
Exactly 218.28%
Exactly 41.50%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.05%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 056.92%
Exactly 132.08%
Exactly 29.04%
Exactly 31.70%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Patronato
Exactly 065.05%
Exactly 127.98%
Exactly 26.02%
Exactly 30.86%

Alternate Props

Spread

Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals18.75%
Wins by 3+ goals6.32%
Wins by 4+ goals1.70%
Wins by 5+ goals0.36%
Patronato
Wins by 2+ goals9.80%
Wins by 3+ goals2.57%
Wins by 4+ goals0.51%

Exact Winning Margin

Independiente
Patronato
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal23.95%
Wins by 2 goals12.42%
Wins by 3 goals4.63%
Wins by 4 goals1.33%
Wins by 5 goals0.31%
Patronato
Wins by 1 goal18.28%
Wins by 2 goals7.24%
Wins by 3 goals2.05%
Wins by 4 goals0.44%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.31%11.69%
1.563.21%36.79%
2.536.28%63.72%
3.517.01%82.99%
4.56.68%93.32%
5.52.24%97.76%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.39%29.61%
1.534.36%65.64%
2.512.43%87.57%
3.53.53%96.47%

Total Goals Patronato Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.50%39.50%
1.523.81%76.19%
2.56.77%93.23%
3.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.98%37.02%
1.526.19%73.81%
2.57.91%92.09%
3.51.86%98.14%

Score Props

Correct Score

Independiente
Patronato
Score01234
0
11.69%
10.86%
5.05%
1.56%
0.36%
1
14.23%
13.22%
6.14%
1.90%
0.44%
2
8.66%
8.05%
3.74%
1.16%
0.27%
3
3.51%
3.26%
1.52%
0.47%
0.11%
4
1.07%
0.99%
0.46%
0.14%
0.03%
5
0.26%
0.24%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Independiente
1-014.23%
2-08.66%
2-18.05%
3-03.51%
3-13.26%
3-21.52%
4-01.07%
4-10.99%
4-20.46%
4-30.14%
5-00.26%
5-10.24%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-011.69%
1-113.22%
2-23.74%
3-30.47%
Patronato
0-110.86%
0-25.05%
1-26.14%
0-31.56%
1-31.90%
2-31.16%
0-40.36%
1-40.44%
2-40.27%
3-40.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Independiente
Patronato
Score0123
0
37.02%
15.92%
3.42%
0.49%
1
20.86%
8.97%
1.93%
0.28%
2
5.88%
2.53%
0.54%
0.08%
3
1.10%
0.47%
0.10%
0.01%
4
0.16%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Independiente
1-020.86%
2-05.88%
2-12.53%
3-01.10%
3-10.47%
3-20.10%
4-00.16%
Draw
0-037.02%
1-18.97%
2-20.54%
Patronato
0-115.92%
0-23.42%
1-21.93%
0-30.49%
1-30.28%