UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for September 12, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Alexa Grasso
Manon Fiorot 		50.0%
50.0%
+205
-235
+215
-240
Fights for Sep 11, 2026
Fights for Sep 19, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Gillian Robertson
Mackenzie Dern		70.5%
29.5%
+200
-220
+190
-215
Loss
Win		-0.39531-0.40893-1.22224
Ramiz Brahimaj
Neil Magny		23.8%
76.2%
-150
+134
-145
+125
Loss
Win		-0.87714-0.84658-0.27126
Billy Quarantillo
Diego Ferreira		31.4%
68.6%
+153
-170
+155
-175
Loss
Win		-0.48721-0.48012-0.37753
Marcin Tybura
Aleksandar Rakic		21.0%
79.0%
+285
-355
+335
-360
Loss
Win		-0.28736-0.25754-0.23539
Max Holloway
Conor McGregor		58.5%
41.5%
-255
+225
-240
+235
Win
Loss		-0.35652-0.35270-0.53662
Mario Bautista
Cory Sandhagen		23.5%
76.5%
+133
-150
+135
-145
Win
Loss		-0.87465-0.87165-1.44808
Nikita Krylov
Robert Whittaker		26.4%
73.6%
+108
-125
+110
-125
Loss
Win		-0.62347-0.61904-0.30633
Aiemann Zahabi
Sean O'Malley		6.9%
93.1%
+350
-415
+370
-400
Loss
Win		-0.24355-0.23584-0.07100
Edmen Shahbazyan
Brendan Allen		68.3%
31.7%
+163
-183
+165
-180
Loss
Win		-0.46248-0.46185-1.14926
Deiveson Figueiredo
Song Yadong		54.2%
45.8%
+425
-600
+470
-600
Loss
Win		-0.20067-0.18621-0.78143
Raoni Barcelos
Montel Jackson		85.4%
14.6%
+180
-210
+180
-200
Win
Loss		-1.06360-1.05317-0.15815
Karine Silva
Jasmine Jasudavicius		50.0%
50.0%
+290
-315
+295
-330
Loss
Win		-0.29103-0.28509-0.69315
Dominick Reyes
Johnny Walker		77.1%
22.9%
-165
+155
-180
+165
Win
Loss		-0.48848-0.46185-0.25957
Tatiana Suarez
Loopy Godinez		50.0%
50.0%
-155
+135
-155
+135
Win
Loss		-0.53067-0.53067-0.69315
Kelvin Gastelum
Vicente Luque		23.2%
76.8%
-265
+225
-250
+230
Loss
Win		-1.21184-1.21110-0.26419
Maycee Barber
Alexa Grasso		66.7%
33.3%
-188
+170
-180
+175
Loss
Win		-1.01614-1.01807-1.10018
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.