UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for April 11, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Dominick Reyes
Johnny Walker 		77.1%
22.9%
-120
+100

Tatiana Suarez
Loopy Godinez 		50.0%
50.0%
-145
+125

Kelvin Gastelum
Vicente Luque 		23.2%
76.8%
-225
+190

Fights for Apr 10, 2026
Fights for Jun 14, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Alonzo Menifield
Volkan Oezdemir		30.8%
69.2%
+180
-205
+190
-210
Loss
Win		-0.42615-0.41146-0.36817
Valentina Shevchenko
Zhang Weili		40.1%
59.9%
-133
+129
-135
+125
Win
Loss		-0.56815-0.57304-0.91349
Tracy Cortez
Erin Blanchfield		50.0%
50.0%
+320
-350
+330
-320
Loss
Win		-0.26707-0.26639-0.69315
Gerald Meerschaert
Kyle Daukaus		76.1%
23.9%
+390
-435
+400
-435
Loss
Win		-0.22394-0.21992-1.43284
Ricky Simon
Raoni Barcelos		18.3%
81.7%
-184
+168
-190
+175
Loss
Win		-1.00663-1.03022-0.20229
Norma Dumont
Ketlen Vieira		10.5%
89.5%
-159
+139
-160
+145
Win
Loss		-0.51972-0.50878-2.25742
Mackenzie Dern
Virna Jandiroba		68.6%
31.4%
-145
+125
-140
+125
Win
Loss		-0.56016-0.56639-0.37694
Marlon Vera
Aiemann Zahabi		79.7%
20.3%
+115
-130
+115
-130
Loss
Win		-0.60042-0.60042-1.59347
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Manon Fiorot		50.0%
50.0%
+190
-225
+190
-220
Loss
Win		-0.40419-0.40651-0.69315
Davey Grant
Charles Jourdain		26.9%
73.1%
+163
-185
+175
-180
Loss
Win		-0.46107-0.44830-0.31289
Kyle Nelson
Matt Frevola		63.3%
36.7%
-123
+105
-120
+110
Win
Loss		-0.63360-0.62755-0.45667
Montel Jackson
Deiveson Figueiredo		19.7%
80.3%
-320
+275
-320
+280
Loss
Win		-1.34992-1.35973-0.21996
Joel Alvarez
Vicente Luque		41.3%
58.7%
-540
+425
-470
+390
Win
Loss		-0.20356-0.22115-0.88361
Cory Sandhagen
Merab Dvalishvili		68.6%
31.4%
+315
-375
+360
-400
Loss
Win		-0.26636-0.24038-1.15753
Diego Ferreira
Alexander Hernandez		75.8%
24.2%
-104
-115
-101
+100
Loss
Win		-0.66943-0.69563-1.41931
Amanda Lemos
Tatiana Suarez		50.0%
50.0%
+325
-400
+375
-400
Loss
Win		-0.25783-0.23362-0.69315
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.57524 
Sportsbooks21-1 (0.500)0-0.56920 
DRatings20-2 (0.000)0-0.93446
-0.35923
-0.36526

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.