UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for April 5, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Lerone Murphy
Josh Emmett 		63.8%
36.2%
-320
+270
-320
+290
Gerald Meerschaert
Brad Tavares 		44.3%
55.7%
+175
-190
+165
-190
Istela Nunes
Loma Lookboonmee 		50.0%
50.0%
+525
-700
+550
-750
Fights for Apr 4, 2025
Fights for Apr 12, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Aljamain Sterling
Movsar Evloev		71.4%
28.6%
+210
-235
+210
-235
Loss
Win		-0.37834-0.37834-1.25197
Eryk Anders
Chris Weidman		42.0%
58.0%
-106
-112
-105
-110
Win
Loss		-0.70641-0.70441-0.86705
Max Griffin
Michael Chiesa		25.7%
74.3%
+130
-145
+135
-135
Loss
Win		-0.55080-0.55431-0.29768
Chase Hooper
Clay Guida		43.0%
57.0%
-1400
+800
-1100
+800
Win
Loss		-0.11247-0.11441-0.84418
Deiveson Figueiredo
Petr Yan		26.2%
73.8%
+260
-305
+265
-270
Loss
Win		-0.31397-0.31877-0.30415
Stipe Miocic
Jon Jones		32.9%
67.1%
+400
-480
+450
-485
Loss
Win		-0.21645-0.19828-0.39902
Ramiz Brahimaj
Mickey Gall		36.9%
63.1%
+149
-172
+170
-165
Win
Loss		-0.94567-0.98623-0.99615
Gillian Robertson
Luana Pinheiro		50.0%
50.0%
-440
+360
-400
+385
Win
Loss		-0.23649-0.22931-0.69315
Amir Albazi
Brandon Moreno		49.1%
50.9%
+145
-165
+152
-160
Loss
Win		-0.50411-0.49765-0.67468
Rose Namajunas
Erin Blanchfield		50.0%
50.0%
+155
-160
+150
-145
Loss
Win		-0.49303-0.51632-0.69315
Pedro Munhoz
Aiemann Zahabi		93.5%
6.5%
+185
-208
+180
-185
Loss
Win		-0.41843-0.43838-2.73122
Khamzat Chimaev
Robert Whittaker		48.8%
51.2%
-225
+195
-210
+200
Win
Loss		-0.39854-0.40015-0.71805
Aleksandar Rakic
Magomed Ankalaev		69.9%
30.1%
+245
-290
+260
-300
Loss
Win		-0.32917-0.31508-1.20005
Dan Ige
Lerone Murphy		28.7%
71.3%
+275
-335
+280
-320
Loss
Win		-0.29734-0.29670-0.33761
Rafael Dos Anjos
Geoff Neal		22.0%
78.0%
+220
-250
+210
-245
Loss
Win		-0.36291-0.37449-0.24883
Bruno Silva
Ismail Naurdiev		6.8%
93.2%
+137
-155
+150
-150
Loss
Win		-0.52719-0.51083-0.07088
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.