UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 24, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Amanda Nunes
Kayla Harrison 		50.0%
50.0%
+180
-210
+190
-190
Volatility Bet Value Active
Song Yadong
Sean O'Malley 		54.1%
45.9%
+200
-235
+200
-235
Rose Namajunas
Natalia Silva 		50.0%
50.0%
+365
-435
+320
-380
Alexander Hernandez
Michael Johnson 		60.8%
39.2%
-190
+170
-200
+180
Modestas Bukauskas
Nikita Krylov 		51.6%
48.4%
-190
+168
-195
+170
Fights for Jan 23, 2026
Fights for Jan 25, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Joel Alvarez
Vicente Luque		41.3%
58.7%
-540
+425
-470
+390
Win
Loss		-0.20356-0.22115-0.88361
Cory Sandhagen
Merab Dvalishvili		68.6%
31.4%
+315
-375
+360
-400
Loss
Win		-0.26636-0.24038-1.15753
Diego Ferreira
Alexander Hernandez		75.8%
24.2%
-104
-115
-101
+100
Loss
Win		-0.66943-0.69563-1.41931
Amanda Lemos
Tatiana Suarez		50.0%
50.0%
+325
-400
+375
-400
Loss
Win		-0.25783-0.23362-0.69315
Paul Craig
Modestas Bukauskas		29.1%
70.9%
+285
-350
+310
-330
Loss
Win		-0.28815-0.27598-0.34327
Brian Ortega
Aljamain Sterling		44.8%
55.2%
+395
-510
+400
-450
Loss
Win		-0.21643-0.21869-0.59337
Gerald Meerschaert
Michal Oleksiejczuk		54.9%
45.1%
+180
-205
+180
-210
Loss
Win		-0.42615-0.42344-0.79589
Chase Hooper
Alexander Hernandez		23.5%
76.5%
-360
+300
-360
+325
Loss
Win		-1.41840-1.46469-0.26750
Roman Dolidze
Anthony Hernandez		84.6%
15.4%
+300
-350
+310
-340
Loss
Win		-0.27871-0.27432-1.86769
Priscila Cachoeira
Joselyne Edwards		50.0%
50.0%
+345
-415
+330
-380
Loss
Win		-0.24598-0.25755-0.69315
Bryce Mitchell
Said Nurmagomedov		37.2%
62.8%
-138
+129
-140
+130
Win
Loss		-0.56140-0.55696-0.98776
Tabatha Ricci
Amanda Ribas		50.0%
50.0%
+160
-185
+165
-180
Win
Loss		-0.98867-0.99458-0.69315
Max Holloway
Dustin Poirier		58.8%
41.2%
-120
+113
-120
+110
Win
Loss		-0.62096-0.62755-0.53071
Daniel Rodriguez
Kevin Holland		74.4%
25.6%
+460
-625
+450
-575
Win
Loss		-1.76259-1.73784-0.29570
Marcin Prachnio
Jimmy Crute		21.2%
78.8%
+300
-400
+330
-400
Loss
Win		-0.27194-0.25519-0.23771
Kai Kara-France
Alexandre Pantoja		38.8%
61.2%
+235
-270
+225
-260
Loss
Win		-0.34293-0.35489-0.49057
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.