UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for September 20, 2025

There are no fights on the schedule today.
Fights for Sep 19, 2025
Fights for Sep 21, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
John Castaneda
Chris Gutierrez		16.4%
83.6%
+135
-145
+140
-145
Loss
Win		-0.54173-0.53299-0.17955
Dominick Reyes
Nikita Krylov		77.4%
22.6%
+133
-141
+135
-150
Win
Loss		-0.86003-0.87962-0.25611
Virna Jandiroba
Yan Xiaonan		3.7%
96.3%
-130
+110
-135
+115
Win
Loss		-0.61112-0.59314-3.29981
Chase Hooper
Jim Miller		30.2%
69.8%
-850
+650
-700
+650
Win
Loss		-0.13891-0.14183-1.19706
Julian Erosa
Darren Elkins		70.5%
29.5%
-260
+225
-260
+220
Win
Loss		-0.35489-0.35955-0.34950
Lerone Murphy
Josh Emmett		63.8%
36.2%
-360
+310
-320
+290
Win
Loss		-0.27128-0.29008-0.44884
Gerald Meerschaert
Brad Tavares		44.3%
55.7%
+140
-160
+140
-150
Loss
Win		-0.51706-0.52736-0.58462
Istela Nunes
Loma Lookboonmee		50.0%
50.0%
+750
-950
+650
-950
Loss
Win		-0.12225-0.13747-0.69315
Kevin Holland
Gunnar Nelson		34.0%
66.0%
+120
-140
+115
-130
Win
Loss		-0.82563-0.79536-1.08025
Roman Dolidze
Marvin Vettori		59.5%
40.5%
+120
-122
+125
-125
Win
Loss		-0.79255-0.81094-0.51891
Priscila Cachoeira
Josiane Nunes		50.0%
50.0%
+153
-170
+152
-155
Win
Loss		-0.95280-0.92889-0.69315
Rafael Fiziev
Justin Gaethje		31.2%
68.8%
-145
+135
-145
+140
Loss
Win		-0.87165-0.88394-0.37416
Anthony Hernandez
Brendan Allen		24.7%
75.3%
-290
+270
-310
+280
Win
Loss		-0.31004-0.29866-1.39958
Tatiana Suarez
Zhang Weili		44.6%
55.4%
-144
+125
-150
+135
Loss
Win		-0.84495-0.87962-0.59115
Mayra Bueno Silva
Jasmine Jasudavicius		50.0%
50.0%
+210
-245
+220
-240
Loss
Win		-0.37449-0.36652-0.69315
Renato Moicano
Islam Makhachev		59.4%
40.6%
+900
-1300
+900
-1100
Loss
Win		-0.10228-0.10354-0.90108
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.