UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for April 5, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Istela Nunes
Loma Lookboonmee 		50.0%
50.0%
+700
-850
+650
-750
Gerald Meerschaert
Brad Tavares 		44.3%
55.7%
+142
-162
+160
-170
Lerone Murphy
Josh Emmett 		63.8%
36.2%
-310
+261
-320
+290
Fights for Apr 4, 2025
Fights for Apr 12, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Daniel Pineda
Darren Elkins		28.6%
71.4%
+145
-165
+155
-150
Loss
Win		-0.50411-0.50296-0.33624
Elise Reed
Jessica Penne		50.0%
50.0%
-235
+200
-210
+210
Win
Loss		-0.38877-0.38946-0.69315
Alex Morono
Daniel Rodriguez		27.1%
72.9%
+195
-210
+190
-210
Loss
Win		-0.40573-0.41146-0.31629
Julianna Pena
Raquel Pennington		68.2%
31.8%
+127
-140
+135
-145
Win
Loss		-0.84337-0.87165-0.38265
Mario Bautista
Jose Aldo		22.8%
77.2%
-120
+112
-125
+120
Win
Loss		-0.62315-0.59784-1.47885
Kevin Holland
Roman Dolidze		22.9%
77.1%
-142
+125
-140
+130
Loss
Win		-0.84169-0.85085-0.26008
Kayla Harrison
Ketlen Vieira		50.0%
50.0%
-900
+700
-950
+700
Win
Loss		-0.13005-0.12941-0.69315
Joaquin Buckley
Stephen Thompson		17.0%
83.0%
-220
+185
-200
+195
Win
Loss		-0.41235-0.41110-1.77408
Alexander Hernandez
Austin Hubbard		73.9%
26.1%
-103
-115
+105
-115
Win
Loss		-0.71988-0.74028-0.30253
Court McGee
Tim Means		36.9%
63.1%
+180
-210
+170
-190
Win
Loss		-1.06360-1.01846-0.99644
Merab Dvalishvili
Sean O'Malley		29.7%
70.3%
-110
-103
+105
+100
Win
Loss		-0.67735-0.70558-1.21359
Valentina Shevchenko
Alexa Grasso		92.7%
7.3%
+115
-126
+106
-120
Win
Loss		-0.78785-0.75313-0.07531
Norma Dumont
Irene Aldana		8.3%
91.7%
-135
+117
-110
+125
Win
Loss		-0.58900-0.61435-2.48555
Natalia Silva
Jessica Andrade		50.0%
50.0%
-275
+238
-280
+250
Win
Loss		-0.33893-0.32768-0.69315
Cody Durden
Matt Schnell		36.6%
63.4%
-275
+250
-300
+260
Win
Loss		-0.32902-0.31508-1.00632
Vanessa Demopoulos
Jaqueline Amorim		50.0%
50.0%
+215
-255
+240
-265
Loss
Win		-0.36600-0.34011-0.69315
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.