UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for April 5, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Istela Nunes
Loma Lookboonmee 		50.0%
50.0%
+700
-850
+650
-750
Gerald Meerschaert
Brad Tavares 		44.3%
55.7%
+140
-155
+160
-160
Volatility Bet Value Active
Lerone Murphy
Josh Emmett 		63.8%
36.2%
-311
+261
-320
+290
Fights for Apr 4, 2025
Fights for Apr 12, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Tabatha Ricci
Angela Hill		50.0%
50.0%
-178
+163
-175
+160
Win
Loss		-0.46614-0.47276-0.69315
Gerald Meerschaert
Edmen Shahbazyan		19.3%
80.7%
+280
-310
+280
-300
Win
Loss		-1.35406-1.34807-1.64305
Jairzinho Rozenstruik
Tai Tuivasa		85.6%
14.4%
-230
+210
-215
+200
Win
Loss		-0.38037-0.39768-0.15502
Deiveson Figueiredo
Marlon Vera		82.9%
17.1%
-140
+125
-142
+135
Win
Loss		-0.56639-0.54535-0.18803
Michael Chiesa
Tony Ferguson		29.3%
70.7%
-490
+375
-450
+375
Win
Loss		-0.22593-0.22897-1.22741
Belal Muhammad
Leon Edwards		26.1%
73.9%
+200
-225
+220
-240
Win
Loss		-1.12393-1.18136-1.34320
Curtis Blaydes
Tom Aspinall		81.3%
18.7%
+325
-405
+340
-395
Loss
Win		-0.25727-0.25060-1.67681
Giga Chikadze
Arnold Allen		30.8%
69.2%
+225
-262
+230
-265
Loss
Win		-0.35426-0.34881-0.36782
Daniel Pineda
Nathaniel Wood		18.1%
81.9%
+385
-440
+340
-400
Loss
Win		-0.22558-0.25005-0.20016
Marcin Prachnio
Modestas Bukauskas		23.8%
76.2%
+133
-144
+125
-140
Loss
Win		-0.54652-0.56639-0.27156
Virna Jandiroba
Amanda Lemos		50.0%
50.0%
-115
-105
-103
-110
Win
Loss		-0.67172-0.70920-0.69315
Bruno Silva
Cody Durden		16.8%
83.2%
-150
+134
-145
+147
Win
Loss		-0.53780-0.52121-1.78248
Lucie Pudilova
Luana Carolina		50.0%
50.0%
+122
-140
+125
-130
Loss
Win		-0.57222-0.58016-0.69315
Tracy Cortez
Rose Namajunas		50.0%
50.0%
+217
-250
+250
-270
Loss
Win		-0.36579-0.33041-0.69315
Roman Dolidze
Anthony Smith		67.2%
32.8%
-143
+125
-145
+130
Win
Loss		-0.56261-0.55080-0.39675
Macy Chiasson
Mayra Bueno Silva		45.1%
54.9%
-110
-103
-115
+102
Win
Loss		-0.67735-0.65520-0.79633
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.