UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for September 12, 2026

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Alexa Grasso
Manon Fiorot 		50.0%
50.0%
+205
-235
+215
-240
Fights for Sep 11, 2026
Fights for Sep 19, 2026

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sean O'Malley
Merab Dvalishvili		70.3%
29.7%
+215
-225
+215
-240
Loss
Win		-0.37745-0.37138-1.21359
Julianna Pena
Kayla Harrison		50.0%
50.0%
+425
-525
+450
-525
Loss
Win		-0.20438-0.19594-0.69315
Vicente Luque
Kevin Holland		76.6%
23.4%
+158
-177
+170
-175
Loss
Win		-0.47411-0.45869-1.45346
Macy Chiasson
Ketlen Vieira		45.7%
54.3%
-167
+145
-180
+160
Loss
Win		-0.92917-0.98262-0.61111
Manon Fiorot
Valentina Shevchenko		50.0%
50.0%
-138
+125
-125
+115
Loss
Win		-0.83492-0.78592-0.69315
Aiemann Zahabi
Jose Aldo		7.1%
92.9%
+145
-167
+150
-165
Win
Loss		-0.92917-0.93869-2.64240
Natalia Silva
Alexa Grasso		50.0%
50.0%
-230
+195
-240
+210
Win
Loss		-0.39634-0.37637-0.69315
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Jessica Andrade		50.0%
50.0%
-280
+240
-270
+250
Win
Loss		-0.33588-0.33041-0.69315
Ion Cutelaba
Modestas Bukauskas		38.7%
61.3%
+100
-107
-105
-110
Loss
Win		-0.67666-0.68201-0.48893
Bruno Silva
Marc-Andre Barriault		20.0%
80.0%
+145
-167
+150
-165
Loss
Win		-0.50233-0.49617-0.22318
Deiveson Figueiredo
Cory Sandhagen		60.2%
39.8%
+390
-470
+425
-475
Loss
Win		-0.22115-0.20749-0.92105
Daniel Rodriguez
Santiago Ponzinibbio		49.7%
50.3%
+135
-150
+145
-145
Win
Loss		-0.87962-0.89610-0.69921
Gillian Robertson
Marina Rodriguez		35.9%
64.1%
-250
+210
-270
+240
Win
Loss		-0.37267-0.33865-1.02538
John Castaneda
Chris Gutierrez		16.4%
83.6%
+135
-145
+140
-145
Loss
Win		-0.54173-0.53299-0.17955
Dominick Reyes
Nikita Krylov		77.4%
22.6%
+133
-141
+135
-150
Win
Loss		-0.86003-0.87962-0.25611
Virna Jandiroba
Yan Xiaonan		3.7%
96.3%
-130
+110
-135
+115
Win
Loss		-0.61112-0.59314-3.29981
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.