UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for April 5, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Istela Nunes
Loma Lookboonmee 		50.0%
50.0%
+700
-850
+650
-800
Gerald Meerschaert
Brad Tavares 		44.3%
55.7%
+140
-155
+150
-160
Lerone Murphy
Josh Emmett 		63.8%
36.2%
-310
+261
-320
+290
Fights for Apr 4, 2025
Fights for Apr 12, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Andre Fili
Cub Swanson		44.9%
55.1%
-250
+215
-230
+215
Win
Loss		-0.36772-0.37533-0.80116
Michelle Waterson
Gillian Robertson		58.9%
41.1%
+155
-180
+160
-180
Loss
Win		-0.47625-0.46893-0.88902
Daniel Rodriguez
Kelvin Gastelum		74.6%
25.4%
+170
-190
+170
-175
Loss
Win		-0.44809-0.45869-1.36924
Volkan Oezdemir
Johnny Walker		57.8%
42.2%
+115
-135
+115
-125
Win
Loss		-0.80428-0.78592-0.54860
Jared Gordon
Nasrat Haqparast		76.3%
23.7%
+225
-260
+225
-240
Loss
Win		-0.35489-0.36179-1.43915
Miles Johns
Douglas Silva de Andrade		20.1%
79.9%
-170
+147
-180
+165
Win
Loss		-0.49653-0.46185-1.60410
Montana De La Rosa
Andrea Lee		28.4%
71.6%
+145
-160
+155
-155
Win
Loss		-0.91937-0.93609-1.25920
Dustin Poirier
Islam Makhachev		75.6%
24.4%
+380
-400
+350
-400
Loss
Win		-0.23144-0.24512-1.40993
Michal Oleksiejczuk
Kevin Holland		44.4%
55.6%
+260
-280
+270
-280
Loss
Win		-0.31990-0.31247-0.58674
Alex Morono
Niko Price		35.0%
65.0%
-272
+232
-280
+240
Loss
Win		-1.23186-1.25425-0.43044
Lerone Murphy
Edson Barboza		73.9%
26.1%
-145
+137
-155
+150
Win
Loss		-0.53820-0.50566-0.30311
Angela Hill
Luana Pinheiro		50.0%
50.0%
-130
+112
-130
+120
Win
Loss		-0.60679-0.59012-0.69315
Emily Ducote
Vanessa Demopoulos		50.0%
50.0%
-350
+325
-360
+310
Loss
Win		-1.45994-1.43717-0.69315
Karine Silva
Ariane Lipski		50.0%
50.0%
-165
+145
-168
+155
Win
Loss		-0.50411-0.48587-0.69315
Max Holloway
Justin Gaethje		62.4%
37.6%
+155
-160
+165
-165
Win
Loss		-0.94358-0.97456-0.47148
Arman Tsarukyan
Charles Oliveira		40.4%
59.6%
-220
+185
-194
+200
Win
Loss		-0.41235-0.40890-0.90651
Load More Fights

Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.