UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for April 5, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Istela Nunes
Loma Lookboonmee 		50.0%
50.0%
+650
-950
+650
-900
Gerald Meerschaert
Brad Tavares 		44.3%
55.7%
+145
-160
+155
-160
Volatility Bet Value Active
Lerone Murphy
Josh Emmett 		63.8%
36.2%
-325
+275
-320
+290
Fights for Apr 4, 2025
Fights for Apr 12, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Aleksandar Rakic
Jiri Prochazka		35.5%
64.5%
-141
+121
-115
+115
Loss
Win		-0.82986-0.76546-0.43847
Aljamain Sterling
Calvin Kattar		58.6%
41.4%
-185
+168
-170
+170
Win
Loss		-0.45415-0.46262-0.53471
Kayla Harrison
Holly Holm		50.0%
50.0%
-450
+355
-440
+445
Win
Loss		-0.23793-0.20310-0.69315
Renato Moicano
Jalin Turner		86.1%
13.9%
+220
-260
+220
-240
Win
Loss		-1.19730-1.18136-0.14945
Marina Rodriguez
Jessica Andrade		44.1%
55.9%
+138
-158
+130
-135
Loss
Win		-0.52243-0.56352-0.58214
Cody Garbrandt
Deiveson Figueiredo		31.5%
68.5%
+300
-375
+300
-340
Loss
Win		-0.27511-0.28030-0.37870
Alex Morono
Court McGee		69.1%
30.9%
-335
+290
-340
+280
Win
Loss		-0.28740-0.29308-0.36986
Germaine de Randamie
Norma Dumont		98.2%
1.8%
+100
-105
+100
-105
Loss
Win		-0.68116-0.68116-4.02128
Manon Fiorot
Erin Blanchfield		50.0%
50.0%
+170
-190
+190
-200
Win
Loss		-1.01846-1.07614-0.69315
Joaquin Buckley
Vicente Luque		11.9%
88.1%
+120
-135
+120
-125
Win
Loss		-0.81706-0.79851-2.13267
Bruno Silva
Chris Weidman		9.3%
90.7%
-160
+148
-180
+160
Loss
Win		-0.92669-0.98262-0.09769
Kyle Nelson
Bill Algeo		68.5%
31.5%
+252
-290
+240
-270
Win
Loss		-1.28576-1.24733-0.37882
Rose Namajunas
Amanda Ribas		47.4%
52.6%
-205
+188
-210
+195
Win
Loss		-0.41647-0.40573-0.74697
Ricardo Ramos
Julian Erosa		33.9%
66.1%
-168
+150
-180
+160
Loss
Win		-0.94281-0.98262-0.41409
Marcin Tybura
Tai Tuivasa		53.7%
46.3%
+100
-110
-105
+100
Win
Loss		-0.71668-0.68116-0.62254
Macy Chiasson
Pannie Kianzad		65.8%
34.2%
-230
+200
-235
+200
Win
Loss		-0.39087-0.38877-0.41875
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.