UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for January 18, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

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More Details
Arman Tsarukyan
Islam Makhachev 		47.2%
52.8%
+310
-350
+280
-320
Jamahal Hill
Jiri Prochazka 		31.5%
68.5%
+100
-117
+110
-130
Diego Ferreira
Grant Dawson 		56.2%
43.8%
+245
-285

Fights for Jan 11, 2025
Fights for Jan 19, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Joaquin Buckley
Colby Covington		13.1%
86.9%
-225
+190
-220
+210
Win
Loss		-0.40419-0.38472-2.03019
Billy Quarantillo
Cub Swanson		55.7%
44.3%
-200
+175
-190
+175
Loss
Win		-1.04146-1.03022-0.81414
Alexander Volkov
Ciryl Gane		42.6%
57.4%
+260
-310
+330
-330
Loss
Win		-0.31290-0.26469-0.55478
Kron Gracie
Bryce Mitchell		38.2%
61.8%
+650
-950
+650
-700
Loss
Win		-0.13747-0.14183-0.48094
Dominick Reyes
Anthony Smith		73.5%
26.5%
-425
+330
-370
+320
Win
Loss		-0.25253-0.26425-0.30821
Aljamain Sterling
Movsar Evloev		71.4%
28.6%
+210
-235
+210
-235
Loss
Win		-0.37834-0.37834-1.25197
Eryk Anders
Chris Weidman		42.0%
58.0%
-106
-112
-105
-110
Win
Loss		-0.70641-0.70441-0.86705
Max Griffin
Michael Chiesa		25.7%
74.3%
+130
-145
+135
-135
Loss
Win		-0.55080-0.55431-0.29768
Chase Hooper
Clay Guida		43.0%
57.0%
-1400
+800
-1100
+800
Win
Loss		-0.11247-0.11441-0.84418
Deiveson Figueiredo
Petr Yan		26.2%
73.8%
+260
-305
+265
-270
Loss
Win		-0.31397-0.31877-0.30415
Stipe Miocic
Jon Jones		32.9%
67.1%
+400
-480
+450
-485
Loss
Win		-0.21645-0.19828-0.39902
Ramiz Brahimaj
Mickey Gall		36.9%
63.1%
+149
-172
+170
-165
Win
Loss		-0.94567-0.98623-0.99615
Gillian Robertson
Luana Pinheiro		50.0%
50.0%
-440
+360
-400
+385
Win
Loss		-0.23649-0.22931-0.69315
Amir Albazi
Brandon Moreno		49.1%
50.9%
+145
-165
+152
-160
Loss
Win		-0.50411-0.49765-0.67468
Rose Namajunas
Erin Blanchfield		50.0%
50.0%
+155
-160
+150
-145
Loss
Win		-0.49303-0.51632-0.69315
Pedro Munhoz
Aiemann Zahabi		93.5%
6.5%
+185
-208
+180
-185
Loss
Win		-0.41843-0.43838-2.73122
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

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+/-
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.