UFC MMA Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Fights for November 22, 2025

TimeFightersWinBest
ML

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Dan Hooker
Arman Tsarukyan 		58.3%
41.7%
+330
-400

Alonzo Menifield
Volkan Oezdemir 		30.8%
69.2%
+195
-230

Fights for Nov 15, 2025
Fights for Nov 23, 2025

Completed Fights

TimeFightersWinBest
ML		Final
Result		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Ricky Simon
Raoni Barcelos		18.3%
81.7%
-184
+168
-190
+175
Loss
Win		-1.00663-1.03022-0.20229
Norma Dumont
Ketlen Vieira		10.5%
89.5%
-159
+139
-160
+145
Win
Loss		-0.51972-0.50878-2.25742
Mackenzie Dern
Virna Jandiroba		68.6%
31.4%
-145
+125
-140
+125
Win
Loss		-0.56016-0.56639-0.37694
Marlon Vera
Aiemann Zahabi		79.7%
20.3%
+115
-130
+115
-130
Loss
Win		-0.60042-0.60042-1.59347
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Manon Fiorot		50.0%
50.0%
+190
-225
+190
-220
Loss
Win		-0.40419-0.40651-0.69315
Davey Grant
Charles Jourdain		26.9%
73.1%
+163
-185
+175
-180
Loss
Win		-0.46107-0.44830-0.31289
Kyle Nelson
Matt Frevola		63.3%
36.7%
-123
+105
-120
+110
Win
Loss		-0.63360-0.62755-0.45667
Montel Jackson
Deiveson Figueiredo		19.7%
80.3%
-320
+275
-320
+280
Loss
Win		-1.34992-1.35973-0.21996
Joel Alvarez
Vicente Luque		41.3%
58.7%
-540
+425
-470
+390
Win
Loss		-0.20356-0.22115-0.88361
Cory Sandhagen
Merab Dvalishvili		68.6%
31.4%
+315
-375
+360
-400
Loss
Win		-0.26636-0.24038-1.15753
Diego Ferreira
Alexander Hernandez		75.8%
24.2%
-104
-115
-101
+100
Loss
Win		-0.66943-0.69563-1.41931
Amanda Lemos
Tatiana Suarez		50.0%
50.0%
+325
-400
+375
-400
Loss
Win		-0.25783-0.23362-0.69315
Paul Craig
Modestas Bukauskas		29.1%
70.9%
+285
-350
+310
-330
Loss
Win		-0.28815-0.27598-0.34327
Brian Ortega
Aljamain Sterling		44.8%
55.2%
+395
-510
+400
-450
Loss
Win		-0.21643-0.21869-0.59337
Gerald Meerschaert
Michal Oleksiejczuk		54.9%
45.1%
+180
-205
+180
-210
Loss
Win		-0.42615-0.42344-0.79589
Chase Hooper
Alexander Hernandez		23.5%
76.5%
-360
+300
-360
+325
Loss
Win		-1.41840-1.46469-0.26750
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Season Prediction Results

 FightsRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-1.00663 
Sportsbooks10-1 (0.000)0-1.03022 
DRatings11-0 (1.000)0-0.20229
0.80434
0.82793

Predictions Methodology

The projections for all the UFC matches we project above are generated by our underlying rating system (see more at our predictions disclaimer for details). Our proprietary algorithm takes a variety of factors into account that are all predictive in projecting the fight winner. UFC can be particularly challenging in a variety of ways. First, combatants can go months or years without fighting and opponent. Second, some fighters have very few fights under their belts or join UFC from another federation where our data is limited. Analytics always work best when there is more matches and data to analyze so some caution should be used with these projections.

Note that we are an information site, and this information should be used for entertainment purposes only.