Sao Paulo at Gremio

Updated

Sao Paulo

33.6%29.6%36.7%
Sao Paulo WinDrawGremio Win
1.04Projected Goals 1.10
1Final Score 2

Gremio

Last 5 Games

Sao Paulo
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Vasco da Gama
W 1-3 vs Corinthians
L 3-1 vs Internacional
W 1-2 vs Vitoria
L 1-2 at Palmeiras
Gremio
Money Line
L 0-1 at Palmeiras
L 0-1 at Internacional
W 0-1 vs Vasco da Gama
T 2-2 at Corinthians
W 0-2 vs Vitoria

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo+230-+230+225-+225+230-
Gremio+135-+135+133-+133+135-
Draw+215-+215+220-+220+220-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sao Paulo------
Gremio------
Draw------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sao Paulo: 20.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sao Paulo: 0.0%
Gremio: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML
No Steam Moves On Gremio ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+100-o2¼-108o2¼-110-o2¼-110o2¼-108-
Underu2¼-120-u2¼-112u2¼-110-u2¼-110u2¼-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.1%
 
No56.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.80%
Exactly 226.95%
Exactly 410.26%
Exactly 61.56%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.21%
Exactly 319.20%
Exactly 54.39%
Exactly 70.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 035.40%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.09%
Exactly 36.61%
Exactly 41.72%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 033.32%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 220.12%
Exactly 37.37%
Exactly 42.03%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.17%
Exactly 218.20%
Exactly 41.49%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.00%
Exactly 50.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 061.83%
Exactly 129.73%
Exactly 27.15%
Exactly 31.15%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 060.12%
Exactly 130.59%
Exactly 27.78%
Exactly 31.32%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals12.87%
Wins by 3+ goals3.72%
Wins by 4+ goals0.82%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals14.73%
Wins by 3+ goals4.48%
Wins by 4+ goals1.04%
Wins by 5+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Sao Paulo
Gremio
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal20.70%
Wins by 2 goals9.15%
Wins by 3 goals2.90%
Wins by 4 goals0.70%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal21.91%
Wins by 2 goals10.25%
Wins by 3 goals3.44%
Wins by 4 goals0.88%
Wins by 5 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.20%11.80%
1.562.99%37.01%
2.536.05%63.95%
3.516.85%83.15%
4.56.59%93.41%
5.52.20%97.80%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.60%35.40%
1.527.84%72.16%
2.58.75%91.25%
3.52.14%97.86%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.68%33.32%
1.530.06%69.94%
2.59.94%90.06%
3.52.57%97.43%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.83%37.17%
1.526.04%73.96%
2.57.84%92.16%
3.51.84%98.16%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sao Paulo
Gremio
Score012345
0
11.80%
12.96%
7.12%
2.61%
0.72%
0.16%
1
12.25%
13.46%
7.40%
2.71%
0.74%
0.16%
2
6.36%
6.99%
3.84%
1.41%
0.39%
0.08%
3
2.20%
2.42%
1.33%
0.49%
0.13%
0.03%
4
0.57%
0.63%
0.35%
0.13%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.13%
0.07%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-012.25%
2-06.36%
2-16.99%
3-02.20%
3-12.42%
3-21.33%
4-00.57%
4-10.63%
4-20.35%
4-30.13%
5-00.12%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-011.80%
1-113.46%
2-23.84%
3-30.49%
Gremio
0-112.96%
0-27.12%
1-27.40%
0-32.61%
1-32.71%
2-31.41%
0-40.72%
1-40.74%
2-40.39%
3-40.13%
0-50.16%
1-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Sao Paulo
Gremio
Score01234
0
37.17%
18.91%
4.81%
0.82%
0.10%
1
17.87%
9.09%
2.31%
0.39%
0.05%
2
4.30%
2.19%
0.56%
0.09%
0.01%
3
0.69%
0.35%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Sao Paulo
1-017.87%
2-04.30%
2-12.19%
3-00.69%
3-10.35%
Draw
0-037.17%
1-19.09%
2-20.56%
Gremio
0-118.91%
0-24.81%
1-22.31%
0-30.82%
1-30.39%
0-40.10%
Vasco da Gama at Corinthians
Gremio at Vitória