Gremio at Sao Paulo

Updated

Gremio

29.7%28.5%41.8%
Gremio WinDrawSao Paulo Win
1.00Projected Goals 1.24
0Final Score 1

Sao Paulo

Last 5 Games

Gremio
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Palmeiras
L 1-0 vs Internacional
L 1-2 at Vasco da Gama
W 1-2 vs Goias
L 1-0 vs Corinthians
Sao Paulo
Money Line
L 1-4 at Vasco da Gama
T 2-2 at Corinthians
T 0-0 at Internacional
W 3-1 at Vitoria
T 0-0 vs Palmeiras

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio+460-+500+595-+595+595-
Sao Paulo-160--175-176--176-175-
Draw+295-+300+273-+273+300-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio------
Sao Paulo------
Draw------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 50.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
Sao Paulo: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Sao Paulo ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105-o2¼-118o2¼-114-o2¼-114o2¼-114-
Underu2¼-115-u2¼-102u2¼-106-u2¼-106u2¼-102-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.0%
 
No55.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.60%
Exactly 226.70%
Exactly 411.20%
Exactly 61.88%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.79%
Exactly 319.97%
Exactly 55.03%
Exactly 70.60%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 036.75%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.41%
Exactly 36.15%
Exactly 41.54%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Sao Paulo
Exactly 028.85%
Exactly 135.86%
Exactly 222.29%
Exactly 39.24%
Exactly 42.87%
Exactly 50.71%
Exactly 60.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.38%
Exactly 219.10%
Exactly 41.72%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.61%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 062.91%
Exactly 129.16%
Exactly 26.76%
Exactly 31.04%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sao Paulo
Exactly 056.24%
Exactly 132.37%
Exactly 29.31%
Exactly 31.79%
Exactly 40.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals10.92%
Wins by 3+ goals3.04%
Wins by 4+ goals0.64%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 2+ goals18.47%
Wins by 3+ goals6.31%
Wins by 4+ goals1.72%
Wins by 5+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
Sao Paulo
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal18.74%
Wins by 2 goals7.89%
Wins by 3 goals2.39%
Wins by 4 goals0.55%
Sao Paulo
Wins by 1 goal23.27%
Wins by 2 goals12.16%
Wins by 3 goals4.59%
Wins by 4 goals1.34%
Wins by 5 goals0.32%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.40%10.60%
1.565.61%34.39%
2.538.91%61.09%
3.518.94%81.06%
4.57.74%92.26%
5.52.71%97.29%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.25%36.75%
1.526.47%73.53%
2.58.05%91.95%
3.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals Sao Paulo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.15%28.85%
1.535.29%64.71%
2.513.00%87.00%
3.53.76%96.24%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.62%35.38%
1.527.86%72.14%
2.58.76%91.24%
3.52.15%97.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
Sao Paulo
Score012345
0
10.60%
13.18%
8.19%
3.39%
1.05%
0.26%
1
10.61%
13.19%
8.20%
3.40%
1.06%
0.26%
2
5.31%
6.60%
4.10%
1.70%
0.53%
0.13%
3
1.77%
2.20%
1.37%
0.57%
0.18%
0.04%
4
0.44%
0.55%
0.34%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Gremio
1-010.61%
2-05.31%
2-16.60%
3-01.77%
3-12.20%
3-21.37%
4-00.44%
4-10.55%
4-20.34%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-010.60%
1-113.19%
2-24.10%
3-30.57%
Sao Paulo
0-113.18%
0-28.19%
1-28.20%
0-33.39%
1-33.40%
2-31.70%
0-41.05%
1-41.06%
2-40.53%
3-40.18%
0-50.26%
1-50.26%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
Sao Paulo
Score01234
0
35.38%
20.36%
5.86%
1.12%
0.16%
1
16.40%
9.44%
2.72%
0.52%
0.07%
2
3.80%
2.19%
0.63%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.59%
0.34%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Gremio
1-016.40%
2-03.80%
2-12.19%
3-00.59%
3-10.34%
Draw
0-035.38%
1-19.44%
2-20.63%
Sao Paulo
0-120.36%
0-25.86%
1-22.72%
0-31.12%
1-30.52%
2-30.12%
0-40.16%