Gremio at Corinthians

Updated

Gremio

44.6%28.4%27.0%
Gremio WinDrawCorinthians Win
1.28Projected Goals 0.93
4Final Score 4

Corinthians

Last 5 Games

Gremio
Money Line
L 0-1 at Vasco da Gama
W 1-5 vs Coritiba
W 1-2 vs Sao Paulo
W 1-3 vs Internacional
L 1-4 at Palmeiras
Corinthians
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Palmeiras
T 1-1 vs Goias
W 1-3 vs Coritiba
T 2-2 at Internacional
W 1-3 vs Vasco da Gama

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio+200-+210---+210-
Corinthians+140-+155---+155-
Draw+230-+205---+205-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Gremio------
Corinthians------
Draw------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Gremio: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Corinthians: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Gremio: 40.0%
Corinthians: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Gremio: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Gremio: 0.0%
Corinthians: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Gremio ML
No Steam Moves On Corinthians ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+105-o2¼+112---o2¼+112-
Underu2¼-125-u2¼-126---u2¼-126-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.8%
 
No56.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.94%
Exactly 226.78%
Exactly 410.93%
Exactly 61.78%
Exactly 80.16%
 
Exactly 124.20%
Exactly 319.76%
Exactly 54.84%
Exactly 70.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Gremio
Exactly 027.73%
Exactly 135.57%
Exactly 222.81%
Exactly 39.75%
Exactly 43.13%
Exactly 50.80%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Corinthians
Exactly 039.44%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.07%
Exactly 35.29%
Exactly 41.23%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.89%
Exactly 218.84%
Exactly 41.65%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.44%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Gremio
Exactly 055.22%
Exactly 132.79%
Exactly 29.74%
Exactly 31.93%
Exactly 40.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Corinthians
Exactly 065.00%
Exactly 128.00%
Exactly 26.03%
Exactly 30.87%

Alternate Props

Spread

Gremio
Wins by 2+ goals20.30%
Wins by 3+ goals7.15%
Wins by 4+ goals2.00%
Wins by 5+ goals0.45%
Corinthians
Wins by 2+ goals9.36%
Wins by 3+ goals2.44%
Wins by 4+ goals0.49%

Exact Winning Margin

Gremio
Corinthians
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Gremio
Wins by 1 goal24.24%
Wins by 2 goals13.15%
Wins by 3 goals5.14%
Wins by 4 goals1.56%
Wins by 5 goals0.38%
Corinthians
Wins by 1 goal17.58%
Wins by 2 goals6.92%
Wins by 3 goals1.96%
Wins by 4 goals0.42%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.06%10.94%
1.564.86%35.14%
2.538.08%61.92%
3.518.32%81.68%
4.57.39%92.61%
5.52.55%97.45%

Total Goals Gremio Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.27%27.73%
1.536.70%63.30%
2.513.89%86.11%
3.54.14%95.86%
4.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Corinthians Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.56%39.44%
1.523.86%76.14%
2.56.79%93.21%
3.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.11%35.89%
1.527.33%72.67%
2.58.49%91.51%
3.52.05%97.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Gremio
Corinthians
Score01234
0
10.94%
10.17%
4.73%
1.47%
0.34%
1
14.03%
13.05%
6.07%
1.88%
0.44%
2
9.00%
8.37%
3.89%
1.21%
0.28%
3
3.85%
3.58%
1.66%
0.52%
0.12%
4
1.23%
1.15%
0.53%
0.17%
0.04%
5
0.32%
0.29%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Gremio
1-014.03%
2-09.00%
2-18.37%
3-03.85%
3-13.58%
3-21.66%
4-01.23%
4-11.15%
4-20.53%
4-30.17%
5-00.32%
5-10.29%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-010.94%
1-113.05%
2-23.89%
3-30.52%
Corinthians
0-110.17%
0-24.73%
1-26.07%
0-31.47%
1-31.88%
2-31.21%
0-40.34%
1-40.44%
2-40.28%
3-40.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Gremio
Corinthians
Score0123
0
35.89%
15.46%
3.33%
0.48%
1
21.32%
9.18%
1.98%
0.28%
2
6.33%
2.73%
0.59%
0.08%
3
1.25%
0.54%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.19%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Gremio
1-021.32%
2-06.33%
2-12.73%
3-01.25%
3-10.54%
3-20.12%
4-00.19%
Draw
0-035.89%
1-19.18%
2-20.59%
Corinthians
0-115.46%
0-23.33%
1-21.98%
0-30.48%
1-30.28%
Goias at Palmeiras
Coritiba at Vasco da Gama