Atlético Madrid at Porto

Updated 785 days ago

05:45 PM • Nov 1, 2022

Atlético Madrid

37.6%29.7%32.6%

Atlético Madrid WinDrawPorto Win

1.11Projected Goals 1.01

1Final Score 2

Porto

Last 5 Games

Atlético Madrid		Money Line
T 2-2	10/26 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen	-174
T 0-0	10/12 vs Club Brugge	-230
L 0-2	10/04 at Club Brugge	-110
L 0-2	9/13 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen	+180
W 1-2	9/07 vs Porto	-115

Porto		Money Line
W 4-0	10/26 at Club Brugge	+130
W 3-0	10/12 at Bayer 04 Leverkusen	+240
W 0-2	10/04 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen	+115
L 4-0	9/13 vs Club Brugge	-250
L 1-2	9/07 at Atlético Madrid	+350

Money Line Analysis

:2.0%:3.5%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid	+195	+166	+155	+156	-	+156	+166	-
Porto	+145	+189	+190	+192	-	+192	+192	-
Draw	+220	+227	+210	+231	-	+231	+231	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid	+190	-	+155	-	+165	+160	+165	-
Porto	+145	-	+181	-	+135	+175	+181	-
Draw	+235	-	+229	-	+210	+230	+230	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atlético Madrid: 30.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 10.0%

Porto: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 20.0%

Porto: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +175 to +16811/01/2022
01:44 PM

Porto ML moved from +148 to +14211/01/2022
05:49 AM

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atlético Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 10.0%

Porto: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 10.0%

Porto: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +162 to +15511/01/2022
05:19 PM

Porto ML moved from +150 to +14010/31/2022
03:58 PM

Over/Under Analysis

:0.7%:1.8%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2¼-125	o2½+125	o2¼-108	o2¼-113	-	o2¼-113	o2¼-108	-
Under	u2¼+105	u2½-140	u2¼-112	u2¼-107	-	u2¼-107	u2½-140	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½+105	o2½+125	o2½+135	-	o2½+110	o2½+130	o2½+130	-
Under	u2½-125	u2½-145	u2½-155	-	u2½-140	u2½-150	u2½-140	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	42.6%


No	57.4%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	11.99%
Exactly 2	26.97%
Exactly 4	10.11%
Exactly 6	1.52%
Exactly 8	0.12%


Exactly 1	25.43%
Exactly 3	19.07%
Exactly 5	4.29%
Exactly 7	0.46%

Exact Goals Scored - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 0	32.98%
Exactly 1	36.58%
Exactly 2	20.29%
Exactly 3	7.50%
Exactly 4	2.08%
Exactly 5	0.46%

Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 0	36.37%
Exactly 1	36.79%
Exactly 2	18.60%
Exactly 3	6.27%
Exactly 4	1.59%
Exactly 5	0.32%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	37.46%
Exactly 2	18.06%
Exactly 4	1.45%


Exactly 1	36.78%
Exactly 3	5.91%
Exactly 5	0.29%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 0	59.83%
Exactly 1	30.73%
Exactly 2	7.89%
Exactly 3	1.35%
Exactly 4	0.17%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 0	62.61%
Exactly 1	29.32%
Exactly 2	6.87%
Exactly 3	1.07%
Exactly 4	0.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals	15.23%
Wins by 3+ goals	4.68%
Wins by 4+ goals	1.09%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.17%

Porto
Wins by 2+ goals	12.24%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.46%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.75%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Atlético Madrid

Porto

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 1 goal	22.30%
Wins by 2 goals	10.56%
Wins by 3 goals	3.58%
Wins by 4 goals	0.93%
Wins by 5 goals	0.17%

Porto
Wins by 1 goal	20.33%
Wins by 2 goals	8.78%
Wins by 3 goals	2.71%
Wins by 4 goals	0.64%
Wins by 5 goals	0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	88.01%	11.99%
1.5	62.57%	37.43%
2.5	35.60%	64.40%
3.5	16.53%	83.47%
4.5	6.42%	93.58%
5.5	2.13%	97.87%

Total Goals Atlético Madrid Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	67.02%	32.98%
1.5	30.44%	69.56%
2.5	10.15%	89.85%
3.5	2.64%	97.36%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	63.63%	36.37%
1.5	26.85%	73.15%
2.5	8.24%	91.76%
3.5	1.97%	98.03%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	62.54%	37.46%
1.5	25.76%	74.24%
2.5	7.70%	92.30%
3.5	1.79%	98.21%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atlético Madrid

Porto

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11.99%	12.13%	6.13%	2.07%	0.52%	0.11%
1	13.30%	13.46%	6.81%	2.29%	0.58%	0.12%
2	7.38%	7.46%	3.78%	1.27%	0.32%	0.07%
3	2.73%	2.76%	1.40%	0.47%	0.12%	0.02%
4	0.76%	0.77%	0.39%	0.13%	0.03%	0.01%
5	0.17%	0.17%	0.09%	0.03%	0.01%	0.00%

Atlético Madrid
1-0	13.30%
2-0	7.38%
2-1	7.46%
3-0	2.73%
3-1	2.76%
3-2	1.40%
4-0	0.76%
4-1	0.77%
4-2	0.39%
4-3	0.13%
5-0	0.17%
5-1	0.17%

Draw
0-0	11.99%
1-1	13.46%
2-2	3.78%
3-3	0.47%

Porto
0-1	12.13%
0-2	6.13%
1-2	6.81%
0-3	2.07%
1-3	2.29%
2-3	1.27%
0-4	0.52%
1-4	0.58%
2-4	0.32%
3-4	0.12%
0-5	0.11%
1-5	0.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Atlético Madrid

Porto

Score	0	1	2	3
0	37.46%	17.54%	4.11%	0.64%
1	19.24%	9.01%	2.11%	0.33%
2	4.94%	2.31%	0.54%	0.08%
3	0.85%	0.40%	0.09%	0.01%
4	0.11%	0.05%	0.01%	0.00%

Atlético Madrid
1-0	19.24%
2-0	4.94%
2-1	2.31%
3-0	0.85%
3-1	0.40%
4-0	0.11%

Draw
0-0	37.46%
1-1	9.01%
2-2	0.54%

Porto
0-1	17.54%
0-2	4.11%
1-2	2.11%
0-3	0.64%
1-3	0.33%

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