Benfica at Real Madrid

Updated

Benfica

18.8%22.4%58.9%
WinDrawReal Madrid Win
0.95Projected Goals 1.86
1Final Score 2

Real Madrid

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Real Madrid+215
W 2-4 vs Real Madrid+335
L 0-2 at Juventus+427
W 0-2 vs Napoli+178
W 2-0 at Ajax-104
Real Madrid
Money Line
W 1-0 at Benfica+126
L 2-4 at Benfica-139
W 1-6 vs Monaco-350
L 2-1 vs Manchester City+240
L 0-1 at Liverpool+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica+525-+320+351-+340+340-
Real Madrid-222--126-129--129-126-
Draw+385-+285+300-+300+300-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica+460-+322-+350+320+350-
Real Madrid-240--129--170-125-125-
Draw+375-+310-+310+290+310-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from +351 to +340
Real Madrid ML moved from -149 to -157

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Real Madrid: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from +350 to +320
Real Madrid ML moved from -150 to -160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-102-o2¾-110o2¾-116-o2¾-116o2¾-110-
Underu3¼-118-u2¾-110u2¾-104-u2¾-104u2¾-104-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-140o3+120o3+120-o3+100o2½-135o2½-135-
Underu3+120u3-140u3-140-u3-130u2½+115u3-130-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3+100 to u3-125

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.7%
 
No48.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.04%
Exactly 223.79%
Exactly 415.62%
Exactly 64.11%
Exactly 80.58%
 
Exactly 116.94%
Exactly 322.26%
Exactly 58.77%
Exactly 71.65%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 038.83%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.37%
Exactly 35.48%
Exactly 41.30%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 015.54%
Exactly 128.93%
Exactly 226.93%
Exactly 316.71%
Exactly 47.78%
Exactly 52.90%
Exactly 60.90%
Exactly 70.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.26%
Exactly 223.03%
Exactly 43.24%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.43%
Exactly 39.98%
Exactly 50.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 064.54%
Exactly 128.26%
Exactly 26.19%
Exactly 30.90%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 042.23%
Exactly 136.40%
Exactly 215.69%
Exactly 34.51%
Exactly 40.97%
Exactly 50.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals6.28%
Wins by 3+ goals1.60%
Wins by 4+ goals0.31%
Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals34.30%
Wins by 3+ goals16.18%
Wins by 4+ goals6.28%
Wins by 5+ goals2.03%
Wins by 6+ goals0.53%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Real Madrid
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal12.45%
Wins by 2 goals4.67%
Wins by 3 goals1.29%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal24.50%
Wins by 2 goals18.12%
Wins by 3 goals9.90%
Wins by 4 goals4.25%
Wins by 5 goals1.50%
Wins by 6 goals0.44%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.96%6.04%
1.577.02%22.98%
2.553.23%46.77%
3.530.97%69.03%
4.515.35%84.65%
5.56.58%93.42%
6.52.47%97.53%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.17%38.83%
1.524.43%75.57%
2.57.06%92.94%
3.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.46%15.54%
1.555.53%44.47%
2.528.59%71.41%
3.511.88%88.12%
4.54.10%95.90%
5.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.74%27.26%
1.537.31%62.69%
2.514.29%85.71%
3.54.31%95.69%
4.51.07%98.93%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
6.04%
11.24%
10.46%
6.49%
3.02%
1.12%
1
5.71%
10.63%
9.89%
6.14%
2.86%
1.06%
2
2.70%
5.03%
4.68%
2.90%
1.35%
0.50%
3
0.85%
1.58%
1.48%
0.92%
0.43%
0.16%
4
0.20%
0.37%
0.35%
0.22%
0.10%
0.04%
Benfica
1-05.71%
2-02.70%
2-15.03%
3-00.85%
3-11.58%
3-21.48%
4-00.20%
4-10.37%
4-20.35%
4-30.22%
Draw
0-06.04%
1-110.63%
2-24.68%
3-30.92%
4-40.10%
Real Madrid
0-111.24%
0-210.46%
1-29.89%
0-36.49%
1-36.14%
2-32.90%
0-43.02%
1-42.86%
2-41.35%
3-40.43%
0-51.12%
1-51.06%
2-50.50%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Real Madrid
Score012345
0
27.26%
23.49%
10.13%
2.91%
0.63%
0.11%
1
11.94%
10.29%
4.43%
1.27%
0.27%
0.05%
2
2.61%
2.25%
0.97%
0.28%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.38%
0.33%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Benfica
1-011.94%
2-02.61%
2-12.25%
3-00.38%
3-10.33%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-027.26%
1-110.29%
2-20.97%
Real Madrid
0-123.49%
0-210.13%
1-24.43%
0-32.91%
1-31.27%
2-30.28%
0-40.63%
1-40.27%
0-50.11%