Atlético Madrid at Arsenal

Updated 6 days ago

07:00 PM • Oct 21, 2025

Atlético Madrid

36.3%30.0%33.7%

Atlético Madrid WinDrawArsenal Win

1.08Projected Goals 1.02

0Final Score 4

Arsenal

Last 5 Games

Atlético Madrid		Money Line
L 2-3	9/17 at Liverpool	+575
L 4-2	3/12 vs Real Madrid	+169
L 1-2	3/04 at Real Madrid	+325
W 1-2	1/21 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen	+145
W 2-1	11/06 at Paris Saint-Germain	+590

Arsenal		Money Line
L 1-2	5/07 at Paris Saint-Germain	+210
W 2-1	4/16 at Real Madrid	+315
W 0-3	4/08 vs Real Madrid	+110
T 2-2	3/12 vs PSV Eindhoven	-200
W 7-1	3/04 at PSV Eindhoven	-105

Money Line Analysis

:3.0%:2.5%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid	+460	-	+525	+565	-	+570	+570	-
Arsenal	-178	-	-185	-187	-	-188	-185	-
Draw	+300	-	+305	+330	-	+330	+330	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Atlético Madrid	+460	-	+590	-	+450	+525	+590	-
Arsenal	-170	-	-198	-	-180	-185	-180	-
Draw	+300	-	+320	-	+280	+315	+320	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atlético Madrid: 60.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 60.0%

Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Arsenal: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +575 to +56510/21/2025
06:47 PM

Arsenal ML moved from -175 to -18310/21/2025
05:44 PM

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Atlético Madrid: 60.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Arsenal: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Atlético Madrid: 60.0%

Arsenal: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Arsenal: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Atlético Madrid: 0.0%

Arsenal: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

Atlético Madrid ML moved from +520 to +51010/21/2025
01:28 PM

Arsenal ML moved from -179 to -19810/21/2025
06:57 PM

Over/Under Analysis

:2.8%:3.5%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½-107	-	o2½-112	o2½-120	-	o2½-120	o2½-112	-
Under	u2½-113	-	u2½-108	u2½+100	-	u2½+100	u2½+100	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o2½-105	o2½-115	o2½-115	-	-	o2½-110	o2½-110	-
Under	u2½-115	u2½-105	u2½-105	-	-	u2½-110	u2½-105	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	42.2%


No	57.8%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	12.28%
Exactly 2	27.01%
Exactly 4	9.90%
Exactly 6	1.45%
Exactly 8	0.11%


Exactly 1	25.76%
Exactly 3	18.88%
Exactly 5	4.15%
Exactly 7	0.43%

Exact Goals Scored - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 0	34.15%
Exactly 1	36.69%
Exactly 2	19.71%
Exactly 3	7.06%
Exactly 4	1.90%
Exactly 5	0.41%

Exact Goals Scored - Arsenal
Exactly 0	35.97%
Exactly 1	36.78%
Exactly 2	18.80%
Exactly 3	6.41%
Exactly 4	1.64%
Exactly 5	0.34%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	37.87%
Exactly 2	17.85%
Exactly 4	1.40%


Exactly 1	36.77%
Exactly 3	5.78%
Exactly 5	0.27%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atlético Madrid
Exactly 0	60.81%
Exactly 1	30.25%
Exactly 2	7.52%
Exactly 3	1.25%
Exactly 4	0.16%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arsenal
Exactly 0	62.29%
Exactly 1	29.49%
Exactly 2	6.98%
Exactly 3	1.10%
Exactly 4	0.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals	14.36%
Wins by 3+ goals	4.29%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.98%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.15%

Arsenal
Wins by 2+ goals	12.77%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.65%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.80%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Atlético Madrid

Arsenal

Atlético Madrid
Wins by 1 goal	21.90%
Wins by 2 goals	10.07%
Wins by 3 goals	3.31%
Wins by 4 goals	0.83%
Wins by 5 goals	0.15%

Arsenal
Wins by 1 goal	20.84%
Wins by 2 goals	9.12%
Wins by 3 goals	2.86%
Wins by 4 goals	0.68%
Wins by 5 goals	0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	87.72%	12.28%
1.5	61.96%	38.04%
2.5	34.96%	65.04%
3.5	16.08%	83.92%
4.5	6.18%	93.82%
5.5	2.03%	97.97%

Total Goals Atlético Madrid Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	65.85%	34.15%
1.5	29.16%	70.84%
2.5	9.45%	90.55%
3.5	2.39%	97.61%

Total Goals Arsenal Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	64.03%	35.97%
1.5	27.25%	72.75%
2.5	8.45%	91.55%
3.5	2.04%	97.96%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	62.13%	37.87%
1.5	25.35%	74.65%
2.5	7.50%	92.50%
3.5	1.73%	98.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atlético Madrid

Arsenal

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	12.28%	12.56%	6.42%	2.19%	0.56%	0.11%
1	13.20%	13.49%	6.90%	2.35%	0.60%	0.12%
2	7.09%	7.25%	3.71%	1.26%	0.32%	0.07%
3	2.54%	2.60%	1.33%	0.45%	0.12%	0.02%
4	0.68%	0.70%	0.36%	0.12%	0.03%	0.01%
5	0.15%	0.15%	0.08%	0.03%	0.01%	0.00%

Atlético Madrid
1-0	13.20%
2-0	7.09%
2-1	7.25%
3-0	2.54%
3-1	2.60%
3-2	1.33%
4-0	0.68%
4-1	0.70%
4-2	0.36%
4-3	0.12%
5-0	0.15%
5-1	0.15%

Draw
0-0	12.28%
1-1	13.49%
2-2	3.71%
3-3	0.45%

Arsenal
0-1	12.56%
0-2	6.42%
1-2	6.90%
0-3	2.19%
1-3	2.35%
2-3	1.26%
0-4	0.56%
1-4	0.60%
2-4	0.32%
3-4	0.12%
0-5	0.11%
1-5	0.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Atlético Madrid

Arsenal

Score	0	1	2	3
0	37.87%	17.93%	4.24%	0.67%
1	18.84%	8.92%	2.11%	0.33%
2	4.69%	2.22%	0.53%	0.08%
3	0.78%	0.37%	0.09%	0.01%

Atlético Madrid
1-0	18.84%
2-0	4.69%
2-1	2.22%
3-0	0.78%
3-1	0.37%

Draw
0-0	37.87%
1-1	8.92%
2-2	0.53%

Arsenal
0-1	17.93%
0-2	4.24%
1-2	2.11%
0-3	0.67%
1-3	0.33%

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