Ajax at Dortmund

Updated

Ajax

24.5%19.7%55.8%
Ajax WinDrawDortmund Win
0.94Projected Goals 2.13
3Final Score 1

Dortmund

Last Games

Ajax
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Dortmund+118
W 0-2 vs Besiktas-950
W 5-1 at Sporting CP+110
Dortmund
Money Line
L 0-4 at Ajax+210
W 0-1 vs Sporting CP-219
W 2-1 at Besiktas-200
L 2-1 vs Manchester City+475
L 1-2 at Manchester City+925

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+164-+130+125+127+130+130+140.2
Dortmund+135-+190+200+182+200+200+207.7
Draw+292-+275+285+277+275+277+286.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Ajax+155-+130-+120+125+130+140.2
Dortmund+150-+190-+155+195+195+207.7
Draw+285-+266-+255+275+275+286.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +130 to +123
Dortmund ML moved from +190 to +182

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Ajax: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Dortmund: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Ajax: 0.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Ajax: 0.0%
Dortmund: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Ajax ML moved from +140 to +125
Dortmund ML moved from +199 to +190

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o3-122o3-125-o3-125o3-110
Under-u3+102u3+105-u3+105u3+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-115o3-115-o3-115o3-120o3-110
Underu3-105u3-105-u3-115u3+100u3+110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes53.6%
 
No46.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.66%
Exactly 221.90%
Exactly 417.17%
Exactly 65.38%
Exactly 80.90%
 
Exactly 114.28%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 510.53%
Exactly 72.36%
Exactly 90.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Ajax
Exactly 039.20%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.19%
Exactly 35.37%
Exactly 41.26%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Dortmund
Exactly 011.88%
Exactly 125.31%
Exactly 226.96%
Exactly 319.14%
Exactly 410.20%
Exactly 54.34%
Exactly 61.54%
Exactly 70.47%
Exactly 80.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.17%
Exactly 224.37%
Exactly 44.10%
Exactly 60.28%
 
Exactly 134.32%
Exactly 311.54%
Exactly 51.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Ajax
Exactly 064.82%
Exactly 128.10%
Exactly 26.09%
Exactly 30.88%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Dortmund
Exactly 037.29%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.14%
Exactly 35.97%
Exactly 41.47%
Exactly 50.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Ajax
Wins by 2+ goals5.04%
Wins by 3+ goals1.26%
Wins by 4+ goals0.24%
Dortmund
Wins by 2+ goals41.00%
Wins by 3+ goals21.40%
Wins by 4+ goals9.32%
Wins by 5+ goals3.43%
Wins by 6+ goals1.08%
Wins by 7+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Ajax
Dortmund
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Ajax
Wins by 1 goal10.42%
Wins by 2 goals3.78%
Wins by 3 goals1.02%
Wins by 4 goals0.21%
Dortmund
Wins by 1 goal23.71%
Wins by 2 goals19.60%
Wins by 3 goals12.08%
Wins by 4 goals5.88%
Wins by 5 goals2.36%
Wins by 6 goals0.80%
Wins by 7 goals0.23%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.34%4.66%
1.581.06%18.94%
2.559.17%40.83%
3.536.78%63.22%
4.519.61%80.39%
5.59.08%90.92%
6.53.70%96.30%
7.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Ajax Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.80%39.20%
1.524.09%75.91%
2.56.90%93.10%
3.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals Dortmund Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.12%11.88%
1.562.82%37.18%
2.535.86%64.14%
3.516.72%83.28%
4.56.52%93.48%
5.52.17%97.83%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.83%24.17%
1.541.51%58.49%
2.517.14%82.86%
3.55.60%94.40%
4.51.51%98.49%

Score Props

Correct Score

Ajax
Dortmund
Score012345
0
4.66%
9.92%
10.57%
7.50%
4.00%
1.70%
1
4.36%
9.29%
9.90%
7.03%
3.74%
1.60%
2
2.04%
4.35%
4.63%
3.29%
1.75%
0.75%
3
0.64%
1.36%
1.45%
1.03%
0.55%
0.23%
4
0.15%
0.32%
0.34%
0.24%
0.13%
0.05%
Ajax
1-04.36%
2-02.04%
2-14.35%
3-00.64%
3-11.36%
3-21.45%
4-00.15%
4-10.32%
4-20.34%
4-30.24%
Draw
0-04.66%
1-19.29%
2-24.63%
3-31.03%
4-40.13%
Dortmund
0-19.92%
0-210.57%
1-29.90%
0-37.50%
1-37.03%
2-33.29%
0-44.00%
1-43.74%
2-41.75%
3-40.55%
0-51.70%
1-51.60%
2-50.75%
3-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Ajax
Dortmund
Score012345
0
24.17%
23.84%
11.76%
3.87%
0.95%
0.19%
1
10.48%
10.34%
5.10%
1.68%
0.41%
0.08%
2
2.27%
2.24%
1.11%
0.36%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.33%
0.32%
0.16%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Ajax
1-010.48%
2-02.27%
2-12.24%
3-00.33%
3-10.32%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-024.17%
1-110.34%
2-21.11%
Dortmund
0-123.84%
0-211.76%
1-25.10%
0-33.87%
1-31.68%
2-30.36%
0-40.95%
1-40.41%
0-50.19%