Paris Saint-Germain at Chelsea

Updated 1 min ago

08:00 PM • Mar 17, 2026

Paris Saint-Germain

49.2%24.3%26.6%

Paris Saint-Germain WinDrawChelsea Win

1.66Projected Goals 1.16

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Paris Saint-Germain		Money Line
W 2-5	3/11 vs Chelsea	-102
T 2-2	2/25 vs Monaco	-360
W 3-2	2/17 at Monaco	-220
L 1-2	1/20 at Sporting CP	-141
W 3-5	11/26 vs Tottenham	-260

Chelsea		Money Line
L 2-5	3/11 at Paris Saint-Germain	+285
W 3-2	1/28 at Napoli	+110
L 1-2	12/09 at Atalanta	+115
W 0-3	11/25 vs Barcelona	+123
W 1-5	10/22 vs Ajax	-300

Money Line Analysis

:3.4%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Paris Saint-Germain	+185	-	+200	+208	-	+208	+208	-
Chelsea	+109	-	+107	+110	-	+110	+110	-
Draw	+345	-	+325	+327	-	+327	+327	-

	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Paris Saint-Germain	-	-	-	-	-	-
Chelsea	-	-	-	-	-	-
Draw	-	-	-	-	-	-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Paris Saint-Germain: 50.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Chelsea: 0.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Paris Saint-Germain: 50.0%

Chelsea: 0.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Paris Saint-Germain: 0.0%

Chelsea: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Paris Saint-Germain: 0.0%

Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Paris Saint-Germain ML

Chelsea ML moved from +109 to +10203/11/2026
10:51 PM

Over/Under Analysis

:2.5%

	Open Line	5Dimes	Bovada	BetOnline	GTBets	SportsBetting	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over	o3¼+102	-	o3¼-108	o3¼+101	-	o3¼+101	o3¼+101	-
Under	u3¼-122	-	u3¼-112	u3¼-121	-	u3¼-121	u3¼-112	-

	Open Line	South Point	Circa	Caesars	Stations	Westgate	Best Line	No-Vig Odds Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price. More on No-Vig Odds
Over		-	-	-	-	-		-
Under		-	-	-	-	-		-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive

Over: 0.0%

Bet Value Inactive

Under: 10.0%

Base Rating
Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.
More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%

Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends
Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.
More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Sharp Line
Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.
More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%

Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U
Steam Move
A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.
More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over

No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes	55.6%


No	44.4%

Total Goals

Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 0	5.94%
Exactly 2	23.67%
Exactly 4	15.73%
Exactly 6	4.18%
Exactly 8	0.60%


Exactly 1	16.77%
Exactly 3	22.28%
Exactly 5	8.89%
Exactly 7	1.69%
Exactly 9	0.19%

Exact Goals Scored - Paris Saint-Germain
Exactly 0	18.93%
Exactly 1	31.51%
Exactly 2	26.22%
Exactly 3	14.55%
Exactly 4	6.05%
Exactly 5	2.02%
Exactly 6	0.56%
Exactly 7	0.13%

Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 0	31.37%
Exactly 1	36.37%
Exactly 2	21.08%
Exactly 3	8.15%
Exactly 4	2.36%
Exactly 5	0.55%
Exactly 6	0.11%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 0	27.05%
Exactly 2	23.12%
Exactly 4	3.29%
Exactly 6	0.19%


Exactly 1	35.37%
Exactly 3	10.08%
Exactly 5	0.86%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Paris Saint-Germain
Exactly 0	46.27%
Exactly 1	35.66%
Exactly 2	13.74%
Exactly 3	3.53%
Exactly 4	0.68%
Exactly 5	0.10%

Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 0	58.46%
Exactly 1	31.38%
Exactly 2	8.42%
Exactly 3	1.51%
Exactly 4	0.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Paris Saint-Germain
Wins by 2+ goals	26.10%
Wins by 3+ goals	11.13%
Wins by 4+ goals	3.89%
Wins by 5+ goals	1.13%

Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals	10.51%
Wins by 3+ goals	3.25%
Wins by 4+ goals	0.80%
Wins by 5+ goals	0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Paris Saint-Germain

Chelsea

Paris Saint-Germain
Wins by 1 goal	23.03%
Wins by 2 goals	14.97%
Wins by 3 goals	7.24%
Wins by 4 goals	2.76%
Wins by 5 goals	0.86%

Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal	16.04%
Wins by 2 goals	7.26%
Wins by 3 goals	2.44%
Wins by 4 goals	0.65%
Wins by 5 goals	0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	94.06%	5.94%
1.5	77.30%	22.70%
2.5	53.62%	46.38%
3.5	31.34%	68.66%
4.5	15.61%	84.39%
5.5	6.72%	93.28%
6.5	2.54%	97.46%

Total Goals Paris Saint-Germain Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	81.07%	18.93%
1.5	49.57%	50.43%
2.5	23.35%	76.65%
3.5	8.80%	91.20%
4.5	2.74%	97.26%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	68.63%	31.37%
1.5	32.26%	67.74%
2.5	11.18%	88.82%
3.5	3.03%	96.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

	Over	Under
0.5	72.95%	27.05%
1.5	37.58%	62.42%
2.5	14.46%	85.54%
3.5	4.38%	95.62%
4.5	1.09%	98.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Paris Saint-Germain

Chelsea

Score	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5.94%	6.88%	3.99%	1.54%	0.45%	0.10%
1	9.88%	11.46%	6.64%	2.57%	0.74%	0.17%
2	8.23%	9.54%	5.53%	2.14%	0.62%	0.14%
3	4.56%	5.29%	3.07%	1.19%	0.34%	0.08%
4	1.90%	2.20%	1.28%	0.49%	0.14%	0.03%
5	0.63%	0.73%	0.42%	0.16%	0.05%	0.01%

Paris Saint-Germain
1-0	9.88%
2-0	8.23%
2-1	9.54%
3-0	4.56%
3-1	5.29%
3-2	3.07%
4-0	1.90%
4-1	2.20%
4-2	1.28%
4-3	0.49%
5-0	0.63%
5-1	0.73%
5-2	0.42%
5-3	0.16%

Draw
0-0	5.94%
1-1	11.46%
2-2	5.53%
3-3	1.19%
4-4	0.14%

Chelsea
0-1	6.88%
0-2	3.99%
1-2	6.64%
0-3	1.54%
1-3	2.57%
2-3	2.14%
0-4	0.45%
1-4	0.74%
2-4	0.62%
3-4	0.34%
0-5	0.10%
1-5	0.17%
2-5	0.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Paris Saint-Germain

Chelsea

Score	0	1	2	3
0	27.05%	14.52%	3.90%	0.70%
1	20.85%	11.19%	3.00%	0.54%
2	8.03%	4.31%	1.16%	0.21%
3	2.06%	1.11%	0.30%	0.05%
4	0.40%	0.21%	0.06%	0.01%

Paris Saint-Germain
1-0	20.85%
2-0	8.03%
2-1	4.31%
3-0	2.06%
3-1	1.11%
3-2	0.30%
4-0	0.40%
4-1	0.21%

Draw
0-0	27.05%
1-1	11.19%
2-2	1.16%

Chelsea
0-1	14.52%
0-2	3.90%
1-2	3.00%
0-3	0.70%
1-3	0.54%
2-3	0.21%

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