Real Madrid at Napoli

Updated

Real Madrid

41.2%27.4%31.4%
Real Madrid WinDrawNapoli Win
1.31Projected Goals 1.11
3Final Score 2

Napoli

Last Games

Real Madrid
Money Line
L 0-4 at Manchester City+430
T 1-1 vs Manchester City+210
W 0-2 vs Chelsea-150
W 0-1 vs Liverpool+133
W 5-2 at Liverpool+213
Napoli
Money Line
L 0-2 at Liverpool+267
W 2-4 vs Ajax-170
W 6-1 at Ajax+180
W 1-4 vs Liverpool+285

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+165+160+150+158-+158+160-
Napoli+150+174+165+172-+172+174-
Draw+265+268+265+258-+258+268-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Real Madrid+135-+158-+135+155+158-
Napoli+150-+162-+150+165+165-
Draw+250-+260-+250+255+260-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 20.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Real Madrid ML moved from +161 to +154
Napoli ML moved from +175 to +169

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Real Madrid: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Napoli: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Real Madrid: 20.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Real Madrid: 0.0%
Napoli: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Real Madrid ML
No Steam Moves On Napoli ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-120o3+102o3+100o3+100-o3+100o3+102-
Underu2¾+100u3-122u3-120u3-120-u3-120u3-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-145o3+110o3+100-o3+100o3+105o3+110-
Underu2½+115u3-130u3-120-u3-130u3-125u3-120-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-145 to o3+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.9%
 
No51.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.91%
Exactly 226.05%
Exactly 412.69%
Exactly 62.47%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.55%
Exactly 320.99%
Exactly 56.14%
Exactly 70.85%
Exact Goals Scored - Real Madrid
Exactly 026.98%
Exactly 135.35%
Exactly 223.15%
Exactly 310.11%
Exactly 43.31%
Exactly 50.87%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Napoli
Exactly 033.03%
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 220.26%
Exactly 37.48%
Exactly 42.07%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.65%
Exactly 220.46%
Exactly 42.14%
 
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 37.63%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Real Madrid
Exactly 054.52%
Exactly 133.07%
Exactly 210.03%
Exactly 32.03%
Exactly 40.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Napoli
Exactly 059.88%
Exactly 130.71%
Exactly 27.87%
Exactly 31.35%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Real Madrid
Wins by 2+ goals18.70%
Wins by 3+ goals6.61%
Wins by 4+ goals1.87%
Wins by 5+ goals0.42%
Napoli
Wins by 2+ goals12.34%
Wins by 3+ goals3.70%
Wins by 4+ goals0.84%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Real Madrid
Napoli
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Real Madrid
Wins by 1 goal22.46%
Wins by 2 goals12.09%
Wins by 3 goals4.74%
Wins by 4 goals1.45%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%
Napoli
Wins by 1 goal18.99%
Wins by 2 goals8.64%
Wins by 3 goals2.86%
Wins by 4 goals0.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.09%8.91%
1.569.54%30.46%
2.543.49%56.51%
3.522.50%77.50%
4.59.81%90.19%
5.53.68%96.32%
6.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals Real Madrid Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.02%26.98%
1.537.68%62.32%
2.514.52%85.48%
3.54.41%95.59%
4.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals Napoli Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.97%33.03%
1.530.38%69.62%
2.510.11%89.89%
3.52.63%97.37%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.35%32.65%
1.530.81%69.19%
2.510.35%89.65%
3.52.72%97.28%

Score Props

Correct Score

Real Madrid
Napoli
Score012345
0
8.91%
9.87%
5.47%
2.02%
0.56%
0.12%
1
11.68%
12.93%
7.16%
2.64%
0.73%
0.16%
2
7.65%
8.47%
4.69%
1.73%
0.48%
0.11%
3
3.34%
3.70%
2.05%
0.76%
0.21%
0.05%
4
1.09%
1.21%
0.67%
0.25%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.29%
0.32%
0.18%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-011.68%
2-07.65%
2-18.47%
3-03.34%
3-13.70%
3-22.05%
4-01.09%
4-11.21%
4-20.67%
4-30.25%
5-00.29%
5-10.32%
5-20.18%
Draw
0-08.91%
1-112.93%
2-24.69%
3-30.76%
Napoli
0-19.87%
0-25.47%
1-27.16%
0-32.02%
1-32.64%
2-31.73%
0-40.56%
1-40.73%
2-40.48%
3-40.21%
0-50.12%
1-50.16%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Real Madrid
Napoli
Score0123
0
32.65%
16.74%
4.29%
0.73%
1
19.80%
10.16%
2.60%
0.45%
2
6.01%
3.08%
0.79%
0.14%
3
1.21%
0.62%
0.16%
0.03%
4
0.18%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Real Madrid
1-019.80%
2-06.01%
2-13.08%
3-01.21%
3-10.62%
3-20.16%
4-00.18%
Draw
0-032.65%
1-110.16%
2-20.79%
Napoli
0-116.74%
0-24.29%
1-22.60%
0-30.73%
1-30.45%
2-30.14%