Villarreal at Santander

Updated

Villarreal

80.5%13.0%6.4%
Villarreal WinDrawWin
2.66Projected Goals 0.63
1Final Score 2

Santander

Last Games

Villarreal
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Real Madrid+185
Santander
Money Line
W 2-1 at Ponferradina
L 3-2 vs Celta Vigo

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal-110--213-217--217-213-
Santander+265-+475+410-+410+475-
Draw+280-+370+350-+350+370-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Villarreal------
Santander------
Draw------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Villarreal: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Santander: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Villarreal: 40.0%
Santander: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Villarreal: 0.0%
Santander: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Villarreal ML moved from -197 to -210
Santander ML moved from +440 to +410

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122-o3-128o3¼-104-o3¼-104o3-128-
Underu2½+102-u3+108u3¼-126-u3¼-126u3+108-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.3%
 
No56.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.72%
Exactly 220.14%
Exactly 418.20%
Exactly 66.58%
Exactly 81.27%
Exactly 100.15%
 
Exactly 112.23%
Exactly 322.11%
Exactly 511.98%
Exactly 73.09%
Exactly 90.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Villarreal
Exactly 06.95%
Exactly 118.54%
Exactly 224.71%
Exactly 321.96%
Exactly 414.64%
Exactly 57.80%
Exactly 63.47%
Exactly 71.32%
Exactly 80.44%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Santander
Exactly 053.44%
Exactly 133.49%
Exactly 210.49%
Exactly 32.19%
Exactly 40.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.77%
Exactly 225.30%
Exactly 44.90%
Exactly 60.38%
 
Exactly 133.19%
Exactly 312.86%
Exactly 51.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Villarreal
Exactly 029.10%
Exactly 135.92%
Exactly 222.17%
Exactly 39.12%
Exactly 42.82%
Exactly 50.70%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Santander
Exactly 074.82%
Exactly 121.71%
Exactly 23.15%
Exactly 30.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Villarreal
Wins by 2+ goals59.68%
Wins by 3+ goals37.40%
Wins by 4+ goals19.87%
Wins by 5+ goals9.04%
Santander
Wins by 2+ goals1.46%
Wins by 3+ goals0.24%

Exact Winning Margin

Villarreal
Santander
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Villarreal
Wins by 1 goal20.83%
Wins by 2 goals22.28%
Wins by 3 goals17.54%
Wins by 4 goals10.83%
Wins by 5 goals5.48%
Santander
Wins by 1 goal4.89%
Wins by 2 goals1.22%
Wins by 3 goals0.22%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.28%3.72%
1.584.05%15.95%
2.563.91%36.09%
3.541.80%58.20%
4.523.61%76.39%
5.511.62%88.38%
6.55.05%94.95%
7.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals Villarreal Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.05%6.95%
1.574.51%25.49%
2.549.80%50.20%
3.527.84%72.16%
4.513.21%86.79%
5.55.40%94.60%
6.51.94%98.06%

Total Goals Santander Over/Under

OverUnder
0.546.56%53.44%
1.513.07%86.93%
2.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.23%21.77%
1.545.03%54.97%
2.519.73%80.27%
3.56.88%93.12%
4.51.98%98.02%

Score Props

Correct Score

Villarreal
Santander
Score0123
0
3.72%
2.33%
0.73%
0.15%
1
9.91%
6.21%
1.94%
0.41%
2
13.20%
8.27%
2.59%
0.54%
3
11.74%
7.35%
2.30%
0.48%
4
7.82%
4.90%
1.54%
0.32%
5
4.17%
2.61%
0.82%
0.17%
Villarreal
1-09.91%
2-013.20%
2-18.27%
3-011.74%
3-17.35%
3-22.30%
4-07.82%
4-14.90%
4-21.54%
4-30.32%
5-04.17%
5-12.61%
5-20.82%
5-30.17%
Draw
0-03.72%
1-16.21%
2-22.59%
3-30.48%
Santander
0-12.33%
0-20.73%
1-21.94%
0-30.15%
1-30.41%
2-30.54%

Correct Score - First Half

Villarreal
Santander
Score0123
0
21.77%
6.32%
0.92%
0.09%
1
26.88%
7.80%
1.13%
0.11%
2
16.59%
4.81%
0.70%
0.07%
3
6.83%
1.98%
0.29%
0.03%
4
2.11%
0.61%
0.09%
0.01%
5
0.52%
0.15%
0.02%
0.00%
6
0.11%
0.03%
0.00%
0.00%
Villarreal
1-026.88%
2-016.59%
2-14.81%
3-06.83%
3-11.98%
3-20.29%
4-02.11%
4-10.61%
5-00.52%
5-10.15%
6-00.11%
Draw
0-021.77%
1-17.80%
2-20.70%
Santander
0-16.32%
0-20.92%
1-21.13%
1-30.11%