Palmeiras at Independiente

Updated

Palmeiras

51.3%22.3%26.4%
Palmeiras WinDrawIndependiente Win
1.87Projected Goals 0.96
1Final Score 0

Independiente

Last Games

Palmeiras
Money Line
W 0-5 vs Independiente-175
Independiente
Money Line
L 0-5 at Palmeiras+480
W 2-1 at Gremio+410
W 1-2 vs Gremio+200
W 2-6 vs Union Espanola-450
L 0-1 at Union Espanola+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras+220-+210+240+217+240+240-
Independiente+115-+115+115+112+115+115-
Draw+245-+255+225+267+225+267-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Palmeiras+180----+220+220-
Independiente+140----+115+115-
Draw+255----+265+265-

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Palmeiras: 90.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 50.0%
Independiente: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 40.0%
Independiente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On Independiente ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Palmeiras: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Independiente: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Palmeiras: 50.0%
Independiente: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Palmeiras: 0.0%
Independiente: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Palmeiras ML
No Steam Moves On Independiente ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-125-o2½-130o2¾-110-o2¾-110o2½-130-
Underu2½+105-u2½+110u2¾-110-u2¾-110u2¾-110-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes52.3%
 
No47.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.89%
Exactly 223.61%
Exactly 415.79%
Exactly 64.22%
Exactly 80.60%
 
Exactly 116.67%
Exactly 322.30%
Exactly 58.94%
Exactly 71.71%
Exactly 90.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Palmeiras
Exactly 015.40%
Exactly 128.81%
Exactly 226.95%
Exactly 316.80%
Exactly 47.86%
Exactly 52.94%
Exactly 60.92%
Exactly 70.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Independiente
Exactly 038.21%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.68%
Exactly 35.67%
Exactly 41.36%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.94%
Exactly 223.17%
Exactly 43.32%
Exactly 60.19%
 
Exactly 135.33%
Exactly 310.13%
Exactly 50.87%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Palmeiras
Exactly 042.06%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 215.77%
Exactly 34.55%
Exactly 40.99%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Independiente
Exactly 064.06%
Exactly 128.53%
Exactly 26.35%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Palmeiras
Wins by 2+ goals34.23%
Wins by 3+ goals16.18%
Wins by 4+ goals6.30%
Wins by 5+ goals2.04%
Independiente
Wins by 2+ goals6.43%
Wins by 3+ goals1.66%
Wins by 4+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Palmeiras
Independiente
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Palmeiras
Wins by 1 goal24.38%
Wins by 2 goals18.04%
Wins by 3 goals9.88%
Wins by 4 goals4.26%
Wins by 5 goals1.50%
Independiente
Wins by 1 goal12.53%
Wins by 2 goals4.77%
Wins by 3 goals1.34%
Wins by 4 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.11%5.89%
1.577.44%22.56%
2.553.83%46.17%
3.531.53%68.47%
4.515.74%84.26%
5.56.80%93.20%
6.52.58%97.42%

Total Goals Palmeiras Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.60%15.40%
1.555.78%44.22%
2.528.83%71.17%
3.512.03%87.97%
4.54.17%95.83%
5.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Independiente Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.79%38.21%
1.525.03%74.97%
2.57.34%92.66%
3.51.67%98.33%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.06%26.94%
1.537.72%62.28%
2.514.55%85.45%
3.54.42%95.58%
4.51.10%98.90%

Score Props

Correct Score

Palmeiras
Independiente
Score01234
0
5.89%
5.66%
2.72%
0.87%
0.21%
1
11.01%
10.59%
5.09%
1.63%
0.39%
2
10.30%
9.91%
4.76%
1.53%
0.37%
3
6.42%
6.18%
2.97%
0.95%
0.23%
4
3.00%
2.89%
1.39%
0.45%
0.11%
5
1.12%
1.08%
0.52%
0.17%
0.04%
Palmeiras
1-011.01%
2-010.30%
2-19.91%
3-06.42%
3-16.18%
3-22.97%
4-03.00%
4-12.89%
4-21.39%
4-30.45%
5-01.12%
5-11.08%
5-20.52%
5-30.17%
Draw
0-05.89%
1-110.59%
2-24.76%
3-30.95%
4-40.11%
Independiente
0-15.66%
0-22.72%
1-25.09%
0-30.87%
1-31.63%
2-31.53%
0-40.21%
1-40.39%
2-40.37%
3-40.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Palmeiras
Independiente
Score0123
0
26.94%
12.00%
2.67%
0.40%
1
23.33%
10.39%
2.31%
0.34%
2
10.10%
4.50%
1.00%
0.15%
3
2.92%
1.30%
0.29%
0.04%
4
0.63%
0.28%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.11%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Palmeiras
1-023.33%
2-010.10%
2-14.50%
3-02.92%
3-11.30%
3-20.29%
4-00.63%
4-10.28%
5-00.11%
Draw
0-026.94%
1-110.39%
2-21.00%
Independiente
0-112.00%
0-22.67%
1-22.31%
0-30.40%
1-30.34%
2-30.15%