Sassuolo at Milan

Updated

Sassuolo

16.0%19.2%64.8%
WinDrawMilan Win
1.01Projected Goals 2.22
1Final Score 6

Milan

Last 5 Games

Sassuolo
Money Line
W 2-0 at Lecce+335
W 1-2 vs Cittadella-170
W 4-5 vs Spezia-270
L 1-2 at Juventus+840
W 0-1 vs Cagliari-220
Milan
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Atalanta+130
L 1-0 vs Torino-115
L 0-3 at Inter+250
T 0-0 vs Inter+280
W 0-4 vs Lazio-105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sassuolo+850-+700+925-+925+925-
Milan-420--335-350--350-335-
Draw+475-+440+475-+475+475-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sassuolo+850----+900+900-
Milan-335-----350-350-
Draw+475----+475+475-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sassuolo: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sassuolo: 30.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sassuolo: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sassuolo ML moved from +725 to +700
Milan ML moved from -325 to -350

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sassuolo: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Milan: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sassuolo: 30.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sassuolo: 0.0%
Milan: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sassuolo ML moved from +850 to +745
Milan ML moved from -310 to -350

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105-o3-115o3¼+105-o3¼+105o3-115-
Underu3-125-u3-105u3¼-125-u3¼-125u3¼-125-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110---o3-115o3-125o3-115-
Underu3-130---u3-115u3+105u3+105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3+115 to o3-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.8%
 
No43.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.94%
Exactly 220.60%
Exactly 417.96%
Exactly 66.26%
Exactly 81.17%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.74%
Exactly 322.21%
Exactly 511.61%
Exactly 72.89%
Exactly 90.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Sassuolo
Exactly 036.35%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.61%
Exactly 36.28%
Exactly 41.59%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Milan
Exactly 010.84%
Exactly 124.09%
Exactly 226.76%
Exactly 319.82%
Exactly 411.01%
Exactly 54.89%
Exactly 61.81%
Exactly 70.57%
Exactly 80.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.37%
Exactly 225.08%
Exactly 44.69%
Exactly 60.35%
 
Exactly 133.50%
Exactly 312.52%
Exactly 51.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sassuolo
Exactly 062.59%
Exactly 129.33%
Exactly 26.87%
Exactly 31.07%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Milan
Exactly 035.75%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.91%
Exactly 36.49%
Exactly 41.67%
Exactly 50.34%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sassuolo
Wins by 2+ goals5.45%
Wins by 3+ goals1.43%
Wins by 4+ goals0.28%
Milan
Wins by 2+ goals41.65%
Wins by 3+ goals22.25%
Wins by 4+ goals9.96%
Wins by 5+ goals3.79%
Wins by 6+ goals1.23%
Wins by 7+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Sassuolo
Milan
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Sassuolo
Wins by 1 goal10.50%
Wins by 2 goals4.02%
Wins by 3 goals1.15%
Wins by 4 goals0.25%
Milan
Wins by 1 goal23.06%
Wins by 2 goals19.40%
Wins by 3 goals12.29%
Wins by 4 goals6.18%
Wins by 5 goals2.56%
Wins by 6 goals0.90%
Wins by 7 goals0.27%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.06%3.94%
1.583.32%16.68%
2.562.71%37.29%
3.540.50%59.50%
4.522.54%77.46%
5.510.93%89.07%
6.54.67%95.33%
7.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals Sassuolo Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.65%36.35%
1.526.87%73.13%
2.58.25%91.75%
3.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals Milan Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.16%10.84%
1.565.07%34.93%
2.538.31%61.69%
3.518.49%81.51%
4.57.49%92.51%
5.52.60%97.40%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.63%22.37%
1.544.13%55.87%
2.519.05%80.95%
3.56.53%93.47%
4.51.84%98.16%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sassuolo
Milan
Score012345
0
3.94%
8.76%
9.73%
7.20%
4.00%
1.78%
1
3.99%
8.86%
9.84%
7.29%
4.05%
1.80%
2
2.02%
4.48%
4.98%
3.69%
2.05%
0.91%
3
0.68%
1.51%
1.68%
1.24%
0.69%
0.31%
4
0.17%
0.38%
0.43%
0.31%
0.17%
0.08%
Sassuolo
1-03.99%
2-02.02%
2-14.48%
3-00.68%
3-11.51%
3-21.68%
4-00.17%
4-10.38%
4-20.43%
4-30.31%
Draw
0-03.94%
1-18.86%
2-24.98%
3-31.24%
4-40.17%
Milan
0-18.76%
0-29.73%
1-29.84%
0-37.20%
1-37.29%
2-33.69%
0-44.00%
1-44.05%
2-42.05%
3-40.69%
0-51.78%
1-51.80%
2-50.91%
3-50.31%

Correct Score - First Half

Sassuolo
Milan
Score012345
0
22.37%
23.02%
11.84%
4.06%
1.04%
0.21%
1
10.48%
10.78%
5.55%
1.90%
0.49%
0.10%
2
2.46%
2.53%
1.30%
0.45%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.38%
0.39%
0.20%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Sassuolo
1-010.48%
2-02.46%
2-12.53%
3-00.38%
3-10.39%
3-20.20%
Draw
0-022.37%
1-110.78%
2-21.30%
Milan
0-123.02%
0-211.84%
1-25.55%
0-34.06%
1-31.90%
2-30.45%
0-41.04%
1-40.49%
2-40.11%
0-50.21%
1-50.10%