Atalanta at Fiorentina

Updated

Atalanta

59.3%21.1%19.6%
Atalanta WinDrawWin
2.03Projected Goals 1.08
0Final Score 1

Fiorentina

Last 5 Games

Atalanta
Money Line
W 2-1 at Milan+210
L 0-1 at Inter+280
W 2-5 vs Spezia-290
L 3-2 vs Fiorentina-120
L 2-1 vs Juventus+145
Fiorentina
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Parma-225
L 2-1 vs Inter+300
T 0-0 vs Cremonese-280
W 2-0 at Cremonese-170
W 1-2 vs Torino+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta+185-+170+183-+183+183-
Fiorentina+140-+165+165-+165+165-
Draw+220-+205+213-+213+213-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Atalanta+175-+168-+140+170+170-
Fiorentina+150-+172-+150+180+180-
Draw+240-+220-+220+210+220-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 50.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from +176 to +168
Fiorentina ML moved from +173 to +165

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Atalanta: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Atalanta: 50.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Atalanta: 0.0%
Fiorentina: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Atalanta ML moved from +173 to +165
Fiorentina ML moved from +180 to +172

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115-o2¼-120o2¼-115-o2¼-115o2¼-115-
Underu2½-105-u2¼+100u2¼-105-u2¼-105u2¼+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115-o2½+110-o2½-105o2½+110o2½+110-
Underu2½-105-u2½-130-u2½-125u2½-130u2½-125-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes57.3%
 
No42.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.47%
Exactly 221.59%
Exactly 417.37%
Exactly 65.59%
Exactly 80.96%
Exactly 100.10%
 
Exactly 113.90%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 510.80%
Exactly 72.48%
Exactly 90.33%
Exact Goals Scored - Atalanta
Exactly 013.17%
Exactly 126.69%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 318.29%
Exactly 49.27%
Exactly 53.76%
Exactly 61.27%
Exactly 70.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Fiorentina
Exactly 033.97%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.80%
Exactly 37.13%
Exactly 41.92%
Exactly 50.42%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.72%
Exactly 224.55%
Exactly 44.23%
Exactly 60.29%
 
Exactly 134.13%
Exactly 311.77%
Exactly 51.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Atalanta
Exactly 039.11%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.23%
Exactly 35.39%
Exactly 41.27%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Fiorentina
Exactly 060.66%
Exactly 130.32%
Exactly 27.58%
Exactly 31.26%
Exactly 40.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Atalanta
Wins by 2+ goals35.80%
Wins by 3+ goals17.77%
Wins by 4+ goals7.31%
Wins by 5+ goals2.51%
Fiorentina
Wins by 2+ goals7.09%
Wins by 3+ goals1.98%
Wins by 4+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Atalanta
Fiorentina
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Atalanta
Wins by 1 goal23.35%
Wins by 2 goals18.03%
Wins by 3 goals10.45%
Wins by 4 goals4.81%
Wins by 5 goals1.82%
Fiorentina
Wins by 1 goal12.43%
Wins by 2 goals5.11%
Wins by 3 goals1.56%
Wins by 4 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.53%4.47%
1.581.63%18.37%
2.560.04%39.96%
3.537.68%62.32%
4.520.31%79.69%
5.59.51%90.49%
6.53.92%96.08%
7.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals Atalanta Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.83%13.17%
1.560.14%39.86%
2.533.08%66.92%
3.514.79%85.21%
4.55.52%94.48%
5.51.76%98.24%

Total Goals Fiorentina Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.03%33.97%
1.529.36%70.64%
2.59.55%90.45%
3.52.43%97.57%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.28%23.72%
1.542.14%57.86%
2.517.59%82.41%
3.55.82%94.18%
4.51.58%98.42%

Score Props

Correct Score

Atalanta
Fiorentina
Score01234
0
4.47%
4.83%
2.61%
0.94%
0.25%
1
9.07%
9.79%
5.29%
1.90%
0.51%
2
9.19%
9.93%
5.36%
1.93%
0.52%
3
6.21%
6.71%
3.62%
1.30%
0.35%
4
3.15%
3.40%
1.84%
0.66%
0.18%
5
1.28%
1.38%
0.74%
0.27%
0.07%
Atalanta
1-09.07%
2-09.19%
2-19.93%
3-06.21%
3-16.71%
3-23.62%
4-03.15%
4-13.40%
4-21.84%
4-30.66%
5-01.28%
5-11.38%
5-20.74%
5-30.27%
Draw
0-04.47%
1-19.79%
2-25.36%
3-31.30%
4-40.18%
Fiorentina
0-14.83%
0-22.61%
1-25.29%
0-30.94%
1-31.90%
2-31.93%
0-40.25%
1-40.51%
2-40.52%
3-40.35%

Correct Score - First Half

Atalanta
Fiorentina
Score0123
0
23.72%
11.86%
2.96%
0.49%
1
22.27%
11.13%
2.78%
0.46%
2
10.45%
5.23%
1.31%
0.22%
3
3.27%
1.64%
0.41%
0.07%
4
0.77%
0.38%
0.10%
0.02%
5
0.14%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Atalanta
1-022.27%
2-010.45%
2-15.23%
3-03.27%
3-11.64%
3-20.41%
4-00.77%
4-10.38%
5-00.14%
Draw
0-023.72%
1-111.13%
2-21.31%
Fiorentina
0-111.86%
0-22.96%
1-22.78%
0-30.49%
1-30.46%
2-30.22%