Denmark Superliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 22, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Brondby
Silkeborg 		65.8%
15.5%		18.8%
-127
+320
-130
+325
2.28
1.01		3.29
o3+105
u3-118

Games for Sep 21, 2024
Games for Sep 23, 2024

Games In Progress

TimeTeamsOrig.
Win %		Orig.
Draw %		Closing
ML		Orig. Total
Goals		Closing
O/U		PeriodCurrent
Score
Aarhus
Lyngby 		72.1%
10.9%		17.0%
-105
+280
-110
+275
3.13
o2½+108
u2½-110

1st H
35:00		0
0

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Midtjylland
Brondby		40.4%
33.1%		26.6%
+129
+206
+130
+200
1
3		-1.15518-1.14721-1.10709
Aarhus
Randers		43.0%
31.3%		25.7%
+126
+250
+110
+255
1
0		-0.83658-0.79264-0.84383
Sonderjyske
Vejle		34.6%
38.5%		26.9%
+285
+116
+320
-110
2
4		-0.78766-0.69709-0.95501
Horsens
Lyngby		38.4%
34.2%		27.4%
+380
-127
+340
-145
4
3		-1.59253-1.53201-0.95745
Aalborg
Odense		36.6%
35.6%		27.8%
+150
+165
+160
+170
0
1		-1.03193-1.04120-1.03302
Aarhus
FC Copenhagen		33.8%
38.4%		27.8%
+291
+101
+275
+100
2
3		-0.72427-0.74421-0.95709
Nordsjaelland
Midtjylland		22.1%
59.5%		18.4%
+1000
-370
+950
-400
0
3		-0.27328-0.27335-0.51931
Brondby
Randers		42.4%
32.4%		25.2%
+129
+220
+115
+235
2
4		-1.19511-1.25713-1.12612
Odense
Sonderjyske		33.7%
39.2%		27.1%
+161
+172
+160
+175
0
2		-1.04537-1.06604-0.93619
Lyngby
Aalborg		20.9%
61.5%		17.6%
+295
-119
+300
-125
0
4		-0.66155-0.64185-0.48565
Vejle
Horsens		42.4%
31.7%		25.9%
+110
+280
+110
+280
3
3		-1.07910-1.08900-1.00354
Midtjylland
Nordsjaelland		52.0%
26.0%		22.0%
-182
+500
-200
+550
2
3		-1.82592-1.92346-1.34673
FC Copenhagen
Aarhus		33.0%
39.2%		27.7%
+154
+180
+150
+190
2
1		-0.96729-0.96748-1.10760
Lyngby
Odense		23.1%
56.9%		19.9%
+215
+126
+235
+115
0
2		-0.85388-0.81362-0.56333
Randers
Brondby		28.0%
49.5%		22.5%
+430
-152
+400
-160
0
2		-0.54012-0.53495-0.70409
Vejle
Sonderjyske		33.3%
40.4%		26.3%
+220
+151
+220
+150
0
1		-0.94825-0.96648-0.90565
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.36983 
Sportsbooks10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.37105 
DRatings10-0-1 (0.500)0-1.43431
-0.06448
-0.06326

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor was designed to use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Denmark Superliga games. The Predictor does NOT account for injuries, or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. See my disclaimer page for more on the benefits/downfalls about these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.

In the 2016-2017 season there was a change in format with Denmark’s top division going from twelve to fourteen teams. Each team plays every other team two times, and then breaks into a Championship and Relegation Group. The top team from the Championship Group qualifies for Champions League. The second through fourth place team each qualify for Europa League. Finally, the team at the bottom of the table in the Relegation Group is sent down to the second division.