Denmark Superliga Predictions

Updated

Upcoming Games for September 23, 2024

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		GoalsTotal
Goals		Best
O/U

Bet Value

We use three different graphics to describe Bet Value within a matchup.

More on Bet Value
More Details
Aalborg
FC Copenhagen 		21.4%
54.6%		23.9%
+900
-375
+925
-375
0.97
1.71		2.68
o3¼-115
u3¼-104

Games for Sep 22, 2024
Games for Sep 24, 2024

Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Aarhus
Brondby		34.8%
38.4%		26.8%
+191
+149
+200
+145
1
1		-1.03306-1.04536-0.72070
Randers
Aarhus		27.0%
50.1%		22.9%
+238
+126
+245
+120
1
1		-0.70335-0.70247-0.74030
Midtjylland
FC Copenhagen		39.0%
32.8%		28.2%
+180
+160
+180
+160
0
0		-0.72794-0.73013-0.69680
Brondby
Odense		47.2%
29.0%		23.8%
+166
+177
+165
+175
3
0		-0.42731-0.42581-0.47976
Aalborg
Vejle		37.7%
35.0%		27.3%
+164
+200
+180
+160
2
0		-0.38932-0.45385-0.65732
Horsens
Sonderjyske		26.7%
50.4%		23.0%
+227
+135
+200
+135
0
2		-0.88821-0.90604-0.42488
Nordsjaelland
Lyngby		53.7%
25.5%		20.8%
+166
+166
+170
+160
3
0		-0.44812-0.45668-0.38880
Sonderjyske
Aalborg		31.1%
43.2%		25.7%
+255
+122
+260
+115
0
1		-0.48573-0.46826-0.54254
Odense
Vejle		34.5%
38.4%		27.1%
+160
+210
+155
+195
0
2		-0.78496-0.76867-0.64154
Horsens
Nordsjaelland		25.0%
54.4%		20.5%
+235
+116
+245
+110
2
2		-0.71702-0.72364-0.76698
Aarhus
Midtjylland		29.0%
45.4%		25.7%
+290
+104
+280
+105
1
0		-1.06877-1.04859-0.94263
FC Copenhagen
Brondby		34.3%
38.7%		27.0%
+138
+203
+135
+200
1
2		-0.82116-0.82269-0.63448
Lyngby
Randers		20.5%
62.8%		16.7%
+226
+125
+290
-110
2
1		-0.89563-1.11279-1.40088
Randers
Brondby		28.0%
49.5%		22.5%
+360
-125
+370
-130
0
0		-0.79938-0.80800-0.73294
Midtjylland
Lyngby		72.8%
14.9%		12.3%
-210
+610
-220
+640
0
2		-1.75951-1.80618-1.77225
Odense
Sonderjyske		33.7%
39.2%		27.1%
+144
+215
+145
+195
1
1		-0.70128-0.69746-0.69600
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks30-0-3 (0.500)0-1.38260 
Sportsbooks30-0-3 (0.500)0-1.40130 
DRatings30-0-3 (0.500)0-1.62632
-0.24373
-0.22502

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor was designed to use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Denmark Superliga games. The Predictor does NOT account for injuries, or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. See my disclaimer page for more on the benefits/downfalls about these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.

In the 2016-2017 season there was a change in format with Denmark’s top division going from twelve to fourteen teams. Each team plays every other team two times, and then breaks into a Championship and Relegation Group. The top team from the Championship Group qualifies for Champions League. The second through fourth place team each qualify for Europa League. Finally, the team at the bottom of the table in the Relegation Group is sent down to the second division.