Denmark Superliga Predictions

Updated

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Completed Games

TimeTeamsWinDrawBest
ML		Final
Goals		Sportsbook
Log Loss		DRatings
Log Loss
Sonderjyske
FC Copenhagen		18.0%
59.9%		22.2%
+880
-335
+875
-345
1
1		-1.80151-1.79963-1.50720
Lyngby
Silkeborg		25.9%
49.9%		24.1%
+410
-145
+360
-135
1
0		-1.67259-1.57639-1.34996
Midtjylland
Aalborg		55.0%
21.0%		24.0%
-144
+365
-145
+365
4
1		-0.57818-0.57407-0.59709
Lyngby
Brondby		8.1%
78.1%		13.7%
+1000
-325
+725
-260
1
1		-1.75637-1.62740-1.98471
FC Copenhagen
Aalborg		45.6%
27.9%		26.4%
-238
+610
-215
+560
0
0		-1.62888-1.57624-1.33177
Nordsjaelland
Midtjylland		14.9%
65.4%		19.7%
+235
+110
+290
-110
1
2		-0.79680-0.69589-0.42417
Silkeborg
Sonderjyske		21.9%
55.5%		22.6%
+105
+255
+120
+225
3
1		-0.76404-0.83529-1.51877
Aarhus
Randers		45.6%
28.5%		25.9%
+140
+250
+135
+240
1
1		-1.13370-1.16158-1.35232
Midtjylland
FC Copenhagen		40.3%
31.5%		28.2%
+270
+100
+280
-105
0
1		-0.75154-0.71719-1.15531
Aalborg
Aarhus		21.0%
55.5%		23.6%
+570
-195
+500
-190
0
4		-0.46121-0.47080-0.58953
Sonderjyske
Nordsjaelland		29.3%
45.4%		25.3%
+550
-210
+575
-235
2
3		-0.43697-0.40300-0.78994
Randers
Lyngby		60.9%
17.9%		21.3%
-110
+305
-115
+315
0
0		-1.28659-1.33317-1.54825
FC Copenhagen
Randers		44.8%
29.0%		26.2%
+135
+215
+130
+215
2
1		-0.89941-0.88242-0.80185
Lyngby
Midtjylland		5.7%
82.2%		12.0%
+710
-250
+650
-230
0
1		-0.38362-0.41220-0.19582
Aarhus
Sonderjyske		52.0%
23.5%		24.4%
-144
+420
-150
+425
4
1		-0.57533-0.55982-0.65310
Nordsjaelland
FC Copenhagen		20.7%
56.4%		22.8%
+255
+105
+260
+100
1
3		-0.76776-0.74360-0.57183
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Season Prediction Results

 GamesRecord (Pct)No Pick

Log Loss

Log loss is used to determine the accuracy of a model.

More on Log Loss
+/-
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
Sportsbooks00-0-0 (0.000)0 
DRatings00-0-0 (0.000)0

Predictions Methodology

The Predictor was designed to use computer estimates from the Inference Index to predict future Denmark Superliga games. The Predictor does NOT account for injuries, or any other factors that may be cause the outcome to be swayed in one direction or another. See my disclaimer page for more on the benefits/downfalls about these predictions: Predictions Disclaimer.

In the 2016-2017 season there was a change in format with Denmark’s top division going from twelve to fourteen teams. Each team plays every other team two times, and then breaks into a Championship and Relegation Group. The top team from the Championship Group qualifies for Champions League. The second through fourth place team each qualify for Europa League. Finally, the team at the bottom of the table in the Relegation Group is sent down to the second division.