Aarhus at Brondby

Updated

Aarhus

33.9%26.8%39.3%
Aarhus WinDrawBrondby Win
1.21Projected Goals 1.32
1Final Score 1

Brondby

Last 5 Games

Aarhus
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Randers-110
W 2-0 at Lyngby+125
T 1-1 vs FC Copenhagen+240
T 1-1 at Randers+125
L 3-0 vs Brondby+135
Brondby
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Nordsjaelland+145
T 2-2 at Randers-105
L 3-2 vs FC Copenhagen+175
W 3-0 at Aarhus+220
W 1-3 vs Randers-160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aarhus+295-+280+300-+300+300-
Brondby-105-+105-104--104+105-
Draw+245-+225+245-+245+245-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aarhus+315----+315+315-
Brondby-115-----110-110-
Draw+260----+250+250-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aarhus: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brondby: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aarhus: 30.0%
Brondby: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aarhus: 0.0%
Brondby: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aarhus ML moved from +310 to +280
Brondby ML moved from -112 to -120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aarhus: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brondby: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aarhus: 40.0%
Brondby: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aarhus: 0.0%
Brondby: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aarhus ML moved from +325 to +315
No Steam Moves On Brondby ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118-o2¼-115o2¼-120-o2¼-120o2¼-115-
Underu2½-102-u2¼-105u2¼+100-u2¼+100u2¼+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-122 to u2¼-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.4%
 
No48.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.00%
Exactly 225.51%
Exactly 413.57%
Exactly 62.89%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.20%
Exactly 321.49%
Exactly 56.86%
Exactly 71.04%
Exact Goals Scored - Aarhus
Exactly 029.91%
Exactly 136.10%
Exactly 221.79%
Exactly 38.77%
Exactly 42.65%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Brondby
Exactly 026.73%
Exactly 135.27%
Exactly 223.26%
Exactly 310.23%
Exactly 43.37%
Exactly 50.89%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.05%
Exactly 221.24%
Exactly 42.42%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 38.28%
Exactly 50.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aarhus
Exactly 057.19%
Exactly 131.96%
Exactly 28.93%
Exactly 31.66%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brondby
Exactly 054.29%
Exactly 133.16%
Exactly 210.13%
Exactly 32.06%
Exactly 40.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aarhus
Wins by 2+ goals14.25%
Wins by 3+ goals4.65%
Wins by 4+ goals1.21%
Wins by 5+ goals0.25%
Brondby
Wins by 2+ goals17.73%
Wins by 3+ goals6.26%
Wins by 4+ goals1.77%
Wins by 5+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Aarhus
Brondby
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Aarhus
Wins by 1 goal19.67%
Wins by 2 goals9.60%
Wins by 3 goals3.44%
Wins by 4 goals0.96%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%
Brondby
Wins by 1 goal21.50%
Wins by 2 goals11.47%
Wins by 3 goals4.49%
Wins by 4 goals1.37%
Wins by 5 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.00%8.00%
1.571.81%28.19%
2.546.29%53.71%
3.524.81%75.19%
4.511.24%88.76%
5.54.38%95.62%
6.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals Aarhus Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.09%29.91%
1.533.99%66.01%
2.512.20%87.80%
3.53.44%96.56%

Total Goals Brondby Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.27%26.73%
1.538.00%62.00%
2.514.74%85.26%
3.54.50%95.50%
4.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.95%31.05%
1.532.64%67.36%
2.511.40%88.60%
3.53.12%96.88%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aarhus
Brondby
Score012345
0
8.00%
10.55%
6.96%
3.06%
1.01%
0.27%
1
9.65%
12.73%
8.40%
3.69%
1.22%
0.32%
2
5.82%
7.68%
5.07%
2.23%
0.74%
0.19%
3
2.34%
3.09%
2.04%
0.90%
0.30%
0.08%
4
0.71%
0.93%
0.62%
0.27%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.17%
0.23%
0.15%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
Aarhus
1-09.65%
2-05.82%
2-17.68%
3-02.34%
3-13.09%
3-22.04%
4-00.71%
4-10.93%
4-20.62%
4-30.27%
5-00.17%
5-10.23%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-08.00%
1-112.73%
2-25.07%
3-30.90%
Brondby
0-110.55%
0-26.96%
1-28.40%
0-33.06%
1-33.69%
2-32.23%
0-41.01%
1-41.22%
2-40.74%
3-40.30%
0-50.27%
1-50.32%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Aarhus
Brondby
Score01234
0
31.05%
18.96%
5.79%
1.18%
0.18%
1
17.35%
10.60%
3.24%
0.66%
0.10%
2
4.85%
2.96%
0.90%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.90%
0.55%
0.17%
0.03%
0.01%
4
0.13%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Aarhus
1-017.35%
2-04.85%
2-12.96%
3-00.90%
3-10.55%
3-20.17%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-031.05%
1-110.60%
2-20.90%
Brondby
0-118.96%
0-25.79%
1-23.24%
0-31.18%
1-30.66%
2-30.18%
0-40.18%
1-40.10%