Aarhus at Brondby

Updated

Aarhus

33.9%26.8%39.3%
Aarhus WinDrawBrondby Win
1.21Projected Goals 1.32
1Final Score 1

Brondby

Last 5 Games

Aarhus
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Randers-110
W 2-0 at Lyngby+125
T 1-1 vs FC Copenhagen+240
T 1-1 at Randers+125
L 3-0 vs Brondby+135
Brondby
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Nordsjaelland+145
T 2-2 at Randers-105
L 3-2 vs FC Copenhagen+175
W 3-0 at Aarhus+220
W 1-3 vs Randers-160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aarhus+295-+280+300-+300+300-
Brondby-105-+105-104--104+105-
Draw+245-+225+245-+245+245-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aarhus+315----+315+315-
Brondby-115-----110-110-
Draw+260----+250+250-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aarhus: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brondby: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aarhus: 30.0%
Brondby: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Aarhus: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aarhus: 0.0%
Brondby: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aarhus ML moved from +310 to +280
Brondby ML moved from -112 to -120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aarhus: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Brondby: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aarhus: 40.0%
Brondby: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Aarhus: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aarhus: 0.0%
Brondby: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aarhus ML moved from +325 to +315
No Steam Moves On Brondby ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118-o2¼-115o2¼-120-o2¼-120o2¼-115-
Underu2½-102-u2¼-105u2¼+100-u2¼+100u2¼+100-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-122 to u2¼-105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.4%
 
No48.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.00%
Exactly 225.51%
Exactly 413.57%
Exactly 62.89%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.20%
Exactly 321.49%
Exactly 56.86%
Exactly 71.04%
Exact Goals Scored - Aarhus
Exactly 029.91%
Exactly 136.10%
Exactly 221.79%
Exactly 38.77%
Exactly 42.65%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Brondby
Exactly 026.73%
Exactly 135.27%
Exactly 223.26%
Exactly 310.23%
Exactly 43.37%
Exactly 50.89%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.05%
Exactly 221.24%
Exactly 42.42%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.31%
Exactly 38.28%
Exactly 50.57%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aarhus
Exactly 057.19%
Exactly 131.96%
Exactly 28.93%
Exactly 31.66%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Brondby
Exactly 054.29%
Exactly 133.16%
Exactly 210.13%
Exactly 32.06%
Exactly 40.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aarhus
Wins by 2+ goals14.25%
Wins by 3+ goals4.65%
Wins by 4+ goals1.21%
Wins by 5+ goals0.25%
Brondby
Wins by 2+ goals17.73%
Wins by 3+ goals6.26%
Wins by 4+ goals1.77%
Wins by 5+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Aarhus
Brondby
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Aarhus
Wins by 1 goal19.67%
Wins by 2 goals9.60%
Wins by 3 goals3.44%
Wins by 4 goals0.96%
Wins by 5 goals0.22%
Brondby
Wins by 1 goal21.50%
Wins by 2 goals11.47%
Wins by 3 goals4.49%
Wins by 4 goals1.37%
Wins by 5 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.00%8.00%
1.571.81%28.19%
2.546.29%53.71%
3.524.81%75.19%
4.511.24%88.76%
5.54.38%95.62%
6.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals Aarhus Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.09%29.91%
1.533.99%66.01%
2.512.20%87.80%
3.53.44%96.56%

Total Goals Brondby Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.27%26.73%
1.538.00%62.00%
2.514.74%85.26%
3.54.50%95.50%
4.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.95%31.05%
1.532.64%67.36%
2.511.40%88.60%
3.53.12%96.88%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aarhus
Brondby
Score012345
0
8.00%
10.55%
6.96%
3.06%
1.01%
0.27%
1
9.65%
12.73%
8.40%
3.69%
1.22%
0.32%
2
5.82%
7.68%
5.07%
2.23%
0.74%
0.19%
3
2.34%
3.09%
2.04%
0.90%
0.30%
0.08%
4
0.71%
0.93%
0.62%
0.27%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.17%
0.23%
0.15%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
Aarhus
1-09.65%
2-05.82%
2-17.68%
3-02.34%
3-13.09%
3-22.04%
4-00.71%
4-10.93%
4-20.62%
4-30.27%
5-00.17%
5-10.23%
5-20.15%
Draw
0-08.00%
1-112.73%
2-25.07%
3-30.90%
Brondby
0-110.55%
0-26.96%
1-28.40%
0-33.06%
1-33.69%
2-32.23%
0-41.01%
1-41.22%
2-40.74%
3-40.30%
0-50.27%
1-50.32%
2-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Aarhus
Brondby
Score01234
0
31.05%
18.96%
5.79%
1.18%
0.18%
1
17.35%
10.60%
3.24%
0.66%
0.10%
2
4.85%
2.96%
0.90%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.90%
0.55%
0.17%
0.03%
0.01%
4
0.13%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Aarhus
1-017.35%
2-04.85%
2-12.96%
3-00.90%
3-10.55%
3-20.17%
4-00.13%
Draw
0-031.05%
1-110.60%
2-20.90%
Brondby
0-118.96%
0-25.79%
1-23.24%
0-31.18%
1-30.66%
2-30.18%
0-40.18%
1-40.10%
FC Copenhagen at Randers
Randers at Silkeborg