Union Berlin at VfB Stuttgart

Updated

Union Berlin

29.6%24.8%45.6%
Union Berlin WinDrawVfB Stuttgart Win
1.22Projected Goals 1.58
0Final Score 1

VfB Stuttgart

Last 5 Games

Union Berlin
Money Line
L 0-2 at Eint Frankfurt+335
W 1-2 vs Wolfsburg+130
W 0-2 vs FC Heidenheim-270
W 2-1 at Chemnitzer FC
L 1-2 at RB Leipzig+625
VfB Stuttgart
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Eint Frankfurt+160
W 1-0 at FC Nurnberg-125
W 2-1 at Paderborn 07+135
W 0-6 vs Arminia Bielefeld
W 1-0 at Dresden-215

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Union Berlin+215+460+380+355-+355+460-
VfB Stuttgart+110-165-170-161--161-161-
Draw+240+325+310+310-+310+325-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Union Berlin+315---+385-+385-
VfB Stuttgart-160----195--195-
Draw+270---+285-+285-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Union Berlin: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
VfB Stuttgart: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Union Berlin: 50.0%
VfB Stuttgart: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Union Berlin: 0.0%
VfB Stuttgart: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Union Berlin ML moved from +390 to +380
VfB Stuttgart ML moved from -169 to -175

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Union Berlin: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
VfB Stuttgart: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Union Berlin: 40.0%
VfB Stuttgart: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Union Berlin: 0.0%
VfB Stuttgart: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Union Berlin ML moved from +315 to +300
VfB Stuttgart ML moved from -155 to -195

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾+102o2½-135o2¾-118o2¾-124-o2¾-124o2½-135-
Underu2¾-122u2½+115u2¾-102u2¾+104-u2¾+104u2¾+104-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110---o2½-135-o2½-135-
Underu3-140---u2½+105-u2½+105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-130 to u2½+105

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes56.0%
 
No44.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.06%
Exactly 223.81%
Exactly 415.60%
Exactly 64.09%
Exactly 80.57%
 
Exactly 116.99%
Exactly 322.25%
Exactly 58.75%
Exactly 71.64%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Union Berlin
Exactly 029.41%
Exactly 135.99%
Exactly 222.02%
Exactly 38.99%
Exactly 42.75%
Exactly 50.67%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - VfB Stuttgart
Exactly 020.60%
Exactly 132.55%
Exactly 225.71%
Exactly 313.54%
Exactly 45.35%
Exactly 51.69%
Exactly 60.44%
Exactly 70.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.30%
Exactly 223.01%
Exactly 43.23%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.44%
Exactly 39.95%
Exactly 50.84%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Union Berlin
Exactly 056.74%
Exactly 132.15%
Exactly 29.11%
Exactly 31.72%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - VfB Stuttgart
Exactly 048.12%
Exactly 135.20%
Exactly 212.87%
Exactly 33.14%
Exactly 40.57%

Alternate Props

Spread

Union Berlin
Wins by 2+ goals12.24%
Wins by 3+ goals3.97%
Wins by 4+ goals1.03%
Wins by 5+ goals0.21%
VfB Stuttgart
Wins by 2+ goals23.26%
Wins by 3+ goals9.48%
Wins by 4+ goals3.16%
Wins by 5+ goals0.88%
Wins by 6+ goals0.20%

Exact Winning Margin

Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Union Berlin
Wins by 1 goal17.30%
Wins by 2 goals8.27%
Wins by 3 goals2.94%
Wins by 4 goals0.82%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%
VfB Stuttgart
Wins by 1 goal22.34%
Wins by 2 goals13.78%
Wins by 3 goals6.32%
Wins by 4 goals2.29%
Wins by 5 goals0.68%
Wins by 6 goals0.17%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.94%6.06%
1.576.96%23.04%
2.553.14%46.86%
3.530.89%69.11%
4.515.29%84.71%
5.56.54%93.46%
6.52.46%97.54%

Total Goals Union Berlin Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.59%29.41%
1.534.60%65.40%
2.512.57%87.43%
3.53.59%96.41%

Total Goals VfB Stuttgart Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.40%20.60%
1.546.85%53.15%
2.521.14%78.86%
3.57.61%92.39%
4.52.26%97.74%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.70%27.30%
1.537.25%62.75%
2.514.25%85.75%
3.54.29%95.71%
4.51.06%98.94%

Score Props

Correct Score

Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart
Score012345
0
6.06%
9.57%
7.56%
3.98%
1.57%
0.50%
1
7.41%
11.71%
9.25%
4.87%
1.92%
0.61%
2
4.54%
7.17%
5.66%
2.98%
1.18%
0.37%
3
1.85%
2.92%
2.31%
1.22%
0.48%
0.15%
4
0.57%
0.89%
0.71%
0.37%
0.15%
0.05%
5
0.14%
0.22%
0.17%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
Union Berlin
1-07.41%
2-04.54%
2-17.17%
3-01.85%
3-12.92%
3-22.31%
4-00.57%
4-10.89%
4-20.71%
4-30.37%
5-00.14%
5-10.22%
5-20.17%
Draw
0-06.06%
1-111.71%
2-25.66%
3-31.22%
4-40.15%
VfB Stuttgart
0-19.57%
0-27.56%
1-29.25%
0-33.98%
1-34.87%
2-32.98%
0-41.57%
1-41.92%
2-41.18%
3-40.48%
0-50.50%
1-50.61%
2-50.37%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart
Score01234
0
27.30%
19.97%
7.30%
1.78%
0.33%
1
15.47%
11.32%
4.14%
1.01%
0.18%
2
4.38%
3.21%
1.17%
0.29%
0.05%
3
0.83%
0.61%
0.22%
0.05%
0.01%
4
0.12%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Union Berlin
1-015.47%
2-04.38%
2-13.21%
3-00.83%
3-10.61%
3-20.22%
4-00.12%
Draw
0-027.30%
1-111.32%
2-21.17%
VfB Stuttgart
0-119.97%
0-27.30%
1-24.14%
0-31.78%
1-31.01%
2-30.29%
0-40.33%
1-40.18%