Manchester City at Newcastle United

Updated

Manchester City

78.4%14.1%7.5%
Manchester City WinDrawWin
2.59Projected Goals 0.68
0Final Score 1

Newcastle United

Last 5 Games

Manchester City
Money Line
L 0-2 at Southampton-300
W 0-2 vs Chelsea-260
L 3-5 at West Ham United-235
W 1-6 vs Wycombe Wanderers
W 1-0 at Tottenham-220
Newcastle United
Money Line
L 0-2 at Manchester United+250
W 1-2 vs Southampton-260
W 1-0 at Southampton-155
W 0-2 vs Leicester City-215
W 2-3 vs Crystal Palace-175

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City+115+126+125+118-+118+126-
Newcastle United+220+233+210+228-+228+233-
Draw+250+252+230+250-+250+252-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Manchester City+125---+120+125+125-
Newcastle United+195---+160+220+220-
Draw+275---+250+240+250-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 50.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +145 to +135
Newcastle United ML moved from +231 to +225

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Manchester City: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Manchester City: 50.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Manchester City: 0.0%
Newcastle United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Manchester City ML moved from +135 to +125
Newcastle United ML moved from +175 to +165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-120o2½-109o2½-112o2½-112-o2½-112o2½-109-
Underu2¾+100u2½-111u2½-108u2½-108-u2½-108u2½-108-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+110---o2½-135o2½-105o2½-105-
Underu3-130---u2½+105u2½-115u2½+105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-114 to u2½-105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½+115 to o2½-140
The Under moved from u3-135 to u2½-135

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.7%
 
No54.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.80%
Exactly 220.32%
Exactly 418.11%
Exactly 66.46%
Exactly 81.23%
Exactly 100.15%
 
Exactly 112.42%
Exactly 322.15%
Exactly 511.84%
Exactly 73.02%
Exactly 90.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Manchester City
Exactly 07.51%
Exactly 119.44%
Exactly 225.16%
Exactly 321.72%
Exactly 414.06%
Exactly 57.28%
Exactly 63.14%
Exactly 71.16%
Exactly 80.38%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Newcastle United
Exactly 050.62%
Exactly 134.46%
Exactly 211.73%
Exactly 32.66%
Exactly 40.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.00%
Exactly 225.22%
Exactly 44.82%
Exactly 60.37%
 
Exactly 133.31%
Exactly 312.73%
Exactly 51.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Manchester City
Exactly 030.15%
Exactly 136.15%
Exactly 221.67%
Exactly 38.66%
Exactly 42.60%
Exactly 50.62%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Newcastle United
Exactly 072.96%
Exactly 123.00%
Exactly 23.62%
Exactly 30.38%

Alternate Props

Spread

Manchester City
Wins by 2+ goals56.87%
Wins by 3+ goals34.79%
Wins by 4+ goals18.00%
Wins by 5+ goals7.97%
Newcastle United
Wins by 2+ goals1.83%
Wins by 3+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Manchester City
Newcastle United
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Manchester City
Wins by 1 goal21.47%
Wins by 2 goals22.08%
Wins by 3 goals16.79%
Wins by 4 goals10.03%
Wins by 5 goals4.92%
Newcastle United
Wins by 1 goal5.63%
Wins by 2 goals1.51%
Wins by 3 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.20%3.80%
1.583.78%16.22%
2.563.46%36.54%
3.541.31%58.69%
4.523.20%76.80%
5.511.36%88.64%
6.54.90%95.10%
7.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals Manchester City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.49%7.51%
1.573.06%26.94%
2.547.90%52.10%
3.526.17%73.83%
4.512.11%87.89%
5.54.83%95.17%
6.51.68%98.32%

Total Goals Newcastle United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.38%50.62%
1.514.91%85.09%
2.53.18%96.82%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.00%22.00%
1.544.69%55.31%
2.519.47%80.53%
3.56.74%93.26%
4.51.93%98.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Manchester City
Newcastle United
Score0123
0
3.80%
2.59%
0.88%
0.20%
1
9.84%
6.70%
2.28%
0.52%
2
12.74%
8.67%
2.95%
0.67%
3
11.00%
7.49%
2.55%
0.58%
4
7.12%
4.85%
1.65%
0.37%
5
3.69%
2.51%
0.85%
0.19%
Manchester City
1-09.84%
2-012.74%
2-18.67%
3-011.00%
3-17.49%
3-22.55%
4-07.12%
4-14.85%
4-21.65%
4-30.37%
5-03.69%
5-12.51%
5-20.85%
5-30.19%
Draw
0-03.80%
1-16.70%
2-22.95%
3-30.58%
Newcastle United
0-12.59%
0-20.88%
1-22.28%
0-30.20%
1-30.52%
2-30.67%

Correct Score - First Half

Manchester City
Newcastle United
Score0123
0
22.00%
6.93%
1.09%
0.11%
1
26.38%
8.31%
1.31%
0.14%
2
15.81%
4.98%
0.79%
0.08%
3
6.32%
1.99%
0.31%
0.03%
4
1.89%
0.60%
0.09%
0.01%
5
0.45%
0.14%
0.02%
0.00%
Manchester City
1-026.38%
2-015.81%
2-14.98%
3-06.32%
3-11.99%
3-20.31%
4-01.89%
4-10.60%
5-00.45%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-022.00%
1-18.31%
2-20.79%
Newcastle United
0-16.93%
0-21.09%
1-21.31%
0-30.11%
1-30.14%