Derby County at Liverpool

Updated

Derby County

3.1%8.5%88.4%
WinDrawLiverpool Win
0.49Projected Goals 3.16
2Final Score 3

Liverpool

Last Games

Derby County
Money Line
W 0-1 vs West Bromwich Albion+215
Liverpool
Money Line
W 11-10 at Chelsea+115
W 2-0 at Arsenal+180
T 0-0 vs Arsenal-155
W 4-5 vs Leicester City+160
W 2-0 at Preston North End-230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+1200+498+390+400-+415+498-
Liverpool-600-178-165-170--175-165-
Draw+675+338+320+355-+355+355-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+380---+400-+400-
Liverpool-210----225--225-
Draw+310---+325-+325-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Liverpool: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +499 to +487
Liverpool ML moved from -261 to -269

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Liverpool: 60.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Liverpool: 60.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Liverpool: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Derby County ML
Liverpool ML moved from -210 to -225

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-122o3-104o3-108o3-108-o3-108o3-104-
Underu3¼+102u3-111u3-112u3-112-u3-112u3-111-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-105---o3-105-o3-105-
Underu3½-125---u3-125-u3-125-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-105 to u3-125

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes37.1%
 
No62.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.60%
Exactly 217.30%
Exactly 419.22%
Exactly 68.54%
Exactly 82.03%
Exactly 100.30%
 
Exactly 19.48%
Exactly 321.06%
Exactly 514.04%
Exactly 74.46%
Exactly 90.83%
Exactly 110.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 061.22%
Exactly 130.04%
Exactly 27.37%
Exactly 31.21%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Liverpool
Exactly 04.24%
Exactly 113.40%
Exactly 221.18%
Exactly 322.31%
Exactly 417.63%
Exactly 511.15%
Exactly 65.87%
Exactly 72.65%
Exactly 81.05%
Exactly 90.37%
Exactly 100.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.44%
Exactly 226.35%
Exactly 46.28%
Exactly 60.60%
 
Exactly 131.18%
Exactly 314.85%
Exactly 52.12%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 079.68%
Exactly 118.10%
Exactly 22.06%
Exactly 30.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Liverpool
Exactly 023.14%
Exactly 133.87%
Exactly 224.78%
Exactly 312.09%
Exactly 44.42%
Exactly 51.29%
Exactly 60.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals0.58%
Liverpool
Wins by 2+ goals71.90%
Wins by 3+ goals50.79%
Wins by 4+ goals30.94%
Wins by 5+ goals16.33%
Wins by 6+ goals7.53%
Wins by 7+ goals3.06%
Wins by 8+ goals1.09%
Wins by 9+ goals0.33%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Liverpool
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal2.55%
Wins by 2 goals0.51%
Liverpool
Wins by 1 goal16.44%
Wins by 2 goals21.11%
Wins by 3 goals19.85%
Wins by 4 goals14.61%
Wins by 5 goals8.80%
Wins by 6 goals4.47%
Wins by 7 goals1.97%
Wins by 8 goals0.76%
Wins by 9 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.40%2.60%
1.587.93%12.07%
2.570.63%29.37%
3.549.57%50.43%
4.530.34%69.66%
5.516.30%83.70%
6.57.76%92.24%
7.53.30%96.70%
8.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.538.78%61.22%
1.58.74%91.26%
2.51.37%98.63%

Total Goals Liverpool Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.76%4.24%
1.582.36%17.64%
2.561.19%38.81%
3.538.88%61.12%
4.521.25%78.75%
5.510.10%89.90%
6.54.23%95.77%
7.51.58%98.42%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.56%18.44%
1.550.38%49.62%
2.524.03%75.97%
3.59.18%90.82%
4.52.90%97.10%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Liverpool
Score012345
0
2.60%
8.20%
12.96%
13.66%
10.79%
6.82%
1
1.27%
4.02%
6.36%
6.70%
5.30%
3.35%
2
0.31%
0.99%
1.56%
1.64%
1.30%
0.82%
Derby County
1-01.27%
2-00.31%
2-10.99%
Draw
0-02.60%
1-14.02%
2-21.56%
3-30.27%
Liverpool
0-18.20%
0-212.96%
1-26.36%
0-313.66%
1-36.70%
2-31.64%
0-410.79%
1-45.30%
2-41.30%
3-40.21%
0-56.82%
1-53.35%
2-50.82%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Liverpool
Score0123456
0
18.44%
26.99%
19.75%
9.63%
3.52%
1.03%
0.25%
1
4.19%
6.13%
4.49%
2.19%
0.80%
0.23%
0.06%
2
0.48%
0.70%
0.51%
0.25%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Derby County
1-04.19%
2-00.48%
2-10.70%
Draw
0-018.44%
1-16.13%
2-20.51%
Liverpool
0-126.99%
0-219.75%
1-24.49%
0-39.63%
1-32.19%
2-30.25%
0-43.52%
1-40.80%
0-51.03%
1-50.23%
0-60.25%