Watford at Stevenage

Updated

Watford

79.4%14.8%5.8%
Watford WinDrawWin
2.33Projected Goals 0.47
3Final Score 4

Stevenage

Last Games

Watford
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Milton Keynes Dons-220
L 3-1 vs Stoke City-120
W 0-1 vs Crystal Palace+150
Stevenage
Money Line
L 5-4 vs Charlton Athletic+145
W 0-1 vs Peterborough United+120
L 5-3 vs Wycombe Wanderers+185
W 0-3 vs Luton Town+380

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:6.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:11.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+110--120-130--130-120-
Stevenage+240-+320+285-+285+320-
Draw+245-+250+250-+250+250-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+115----145--145-
Stevenage+185---+335-+335-
Draw+220---+230-+230-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stevenage: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 50.0%
Stevenage: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Stevenage: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from -110 to -120
Stevenage ML moved from +265 to +255

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Watford: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stevenage: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 50.0%
Stevenage: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Stevenage: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from -105 to -145
No Steam Moves On Stevenage ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:6.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+114-o2¼-120o2¼-121-o2¼-121o2¼-120-
Underu2½-138-u2¼+100u2¼+101-u2¼+101u2¼+101-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105---o2½-105-o2½-105-
Underu2½-125---u2½-125-u2½-125-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes33.6%
 
No66.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.11%
Exactly 223.87%
Exactly 415.54%
Exactly 64.05%
Exactly 80.56%
 
Exactly 117.08%
Exactly 322.24%
Exactly 58.69%
Exactly 71.62%
Exactly 90.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 09.74%
Exactly 122.68%
Exactly 226.41%
Exactly 320.51%
Exactly 411.94%
Exactly 55.56%
Exactly 62.16%
Exactly 70.72%
Exactly 80.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Stevenage
Exactly 062.73%
Exactly 129.25%
Exactly 26.82%
Exactly 31.06%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.41%
Exactly 222.96%
Exactly 43.20%
Exactly 60.18%
 
Exactly 135.48%
Exactly 39.90%
Exactly 50.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 034.02%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.78%
Exactly 37.11%
Exactly 41.92%
Exactly 50.41%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stevenage
Exactly 080.58%
Exactly 117.40%
Exactly 21.88%
Exactly 30.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals55.87%
Wins by 3+ goals32.42%
Wins by 4+ goals15.66%
Wins by 5+ goals6.39%
Stevenage
Wins by 2+ goals1.08%
Wins by 3+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Stevenage
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Watford
Wins by 1 goal23.49%
Wins by 2 goals23.44%
Wins by 3 goals16.76%
Wins by 4 goals9.27%
Wins by 5 goals4.17%
Stevenage
Wins by 1 goal4.70%
Wins by 2 goals0.94%
Wins by 3 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.89%6.11%
1.576.81%23.19%
2.552.94%47.06%
3.530.70%69.30%
4.515.16%84.84%
5.56.47%93.53%
6.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.26%9.74%
1.567.58%32.42%
2.541.16%58.84%
3.520.66%79.34%
4.58.72%91.28%
5.53.16%96.84%

Total Goals Stevenage Over/Under

OverUnder
0.537.27%62.73%
1.58.02%91.98%
2.51.20%98.80%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.59%27.41%
1.537.11%62.89%
2.514.16%85.84%
3.54.25%95.75%
4.51.05%98.95%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Stevenage
Score0123
0
6.11%
2.85%
0.66%
0.10%
1
14.23%
6.64%
1.55%
0.24%
2
16.57%
7.73%
1.80%
0.28%
3
12.86%
6.00%
1.40%
0.22%
4
7.49%
3.49%
0.81%
0.13%
5
3.49%
1.63%
0.38%
0.06%
Watford
1-014.23%
2-016.57%
2-17.73%
3-012.86%
3-16.00%
3-21.40%
4-07.49%
4-13.49%
4-20.81%
4-30.13%
5-03.49%
5-11.63%
5-20.38%
Draw
0-06.11%
1-16.64%
2-21.80%
3-30.22%
Stevenage
0-12.85%
0-20.66%
1-21.55%
0-30.10%
1-30.24%
2-30.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Stevenage
Score012
0
27.41%
5.92%
0.64%
1
29.56%
6.38%
0.69%
2
15.94%
3.44%
0.37%
3
5.73%
1.24%
0.13%
4
1.54%
0.33%
0.04%
5
0.33%
0.07%
0.01%
Watford
1-029.56%
2-015.94%
2-13.44%
3-05.73%
3-11.24%
3-20.13%
4-01.54%
4-10.33%
5-00.33%
Draw
0-027.41%
1-16.38%
2-20.37%
Stevenage
0-15.92%
0-20.64%
1-20.69%
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