Aston Villa at Bolton Wanderers

Updated

Aston Villa

89.9%7.2%2.9%
Aston Villa WinDrawWin
3.51Projected Goals 0.57
4Final Score 1

Bolton Wanderers

Last Games

Aston Villa
Money Line
L 3-4 at Chelsea+725
Bolton Wanderers
Money Line

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa-243--420-400-476-400-400-
Bolton Wanderers+596-+1000+1000+1150+1000+1150-
Draw+370-+500+525+550+525+550-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Aston Villa------
Bolton Wanderers------
Draw-----+325-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bolton Wanderers: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Aston Villa: 20.0%
Bolton Wanderers: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Aston Villa: 0.0%
Bolton Wanderers: 70.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Aston Villa ML moved from -420 to -435
Bolton Wanderers ML moved from +1150 to +1101

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112-o3-120o3-131-o3-131o3-120-
Underu2¾-108-u3+100u3+111-u3+111u3+111-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+120---o3-115-o3-115-
Underu3-150---u3-115-u3-115-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 30.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 30.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-140 to o3-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.1%
 
No57.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 01.69%
Exactly 214.07%
Exactly 419.52%
Exactly 610.84%
Exactly 83.22%
Exactly 100.60%
 
Exactly 16.89%
Exactly 319.13%
Exactly 515.93%
Exactly 76.32%
Exactly 91.46%
Exactly 110.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Aston Villa
Exactly 02.98%
Exactly 110.48%
Exactly 218.40%
Exactly 321.54%
Exactly 418.91%
Exactly 513.29%
Exactly 67.78%
Exactly 73.90%
Exactly 81.71%
Exactly 90.67%
Exactly 100.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Bolton Wanderers
Exactly 056.64%
Exactly 132.20%
Exactly 29.15%
Exactly 31.73%
Exactly 40.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 015.12%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 48.03%
Exactly 60.96%
 
Exactly 128.56%
Exactly 316.99%
Exactly 53.03%
Exactly 70.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Aston Villa
Exactly 019.67%
Exactly 131.98%
Exactly 226.01%
Exactly 314.10%
Exactly 45.73%
Exactly 51.86%
Exactly 60.51%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bolton Wanderers
Exactly 076.86%
Exactly 120.23%
Exactly 22.66%
Exactly 30.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Aston Villa
Wins by 2+ goals75.63%
Wins by 3+ goals56.29%
Wins by 4+ goals36.64%
Wins by 5+ goals20.87%
Bolton Wanderers
Wins by 2+ goals0.58%

Exact Winning Margin

Aston Villa
Bolton Wanderers
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
Aston Villa
Wins by 1 goal14.19%
Wins by 2 goals19.34%
Wins by 3 goals19.65%
Wins by 4 goals15.77%
Wins by 5 goals10.42%
Bolton Wanderers
Wins by 1 goal2.29%
Wins by 2 goals0.50%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.598.31%1.69%
1.591.42%8.58%
2.577.35%22.65%
3.558.21%41.79%
4.538.69%61.31%
5.522.76%77.24%
6.511.93%88.07%
7.55.61%94.39%
8.52.39%97.61%

Total Goals Aston Villa Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.02%2.98%
1.586.54%13.46%
2.568.14%31.86%
3.546.60%53.40%
4.527.69%72.31%
5.514.40%85.60%
6.56.62%93.38%
7.52.72%97.28%
8.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Bolton Wanderers Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.36%56.64%
1.511.16%88.84%
2.52.01%97.99%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.88%15.12%
1.556.32%43.68%
2.529.34%70.66%
3.512.35%87.65%
4.54.32%95.68%
5.51.29%98.71%

Score Props

Correct Score

Aston Villa
Bolton Wanderers
Score012
0
1.69%
0.96%
0.27%
1
5.93%
3.37%
0.96%
2
10.42%
5.92%
1.68%
3
12.20%
6.94%
1.97%
4
10.71%
6.09%
1.73%
5
7.53%
4.28%
1.22%
Aston Villa
1-05.93%
2-010.42%
2-15.92%
3-012.20%
3-16.94%
3-21.97%
4-010.71%
4-16.09%
4-21.73%
4-30.33%
5-07.53%
5-14.28%
5-21.22%
5-30.23%
Draw
0-01.69%
1-13.37%
2-21.68%
3-30.37%
Bolton Wanderers
0-10.96%
0-20.27%
1-20.96%

Correct Score - First Half

Aston Villa
Bolton Wanderers
Score012
0
15.12%
3.98%
0.52%
1
24.58%
6.47%
0.85%
2
19.99%
5.26%
0.69%
3
10.83%
2.85%
0.38%
4
4.40%
1.16%
0.15%
5
1.43%
0.38%
0.05%
6
0.39%
0.10%
0.01%
Aston Villa
1-024.58%
2-019.99%
2-15.26%
3-010.83%
3-12.85%
3-20.38%
4-04.40%
4-11.16%
4-20.15%
5-01.43%
5-10.38%
6-00.39%
6-10.10%
Draw
0-015.12%
1-16.47%
2-20.69%
Bolton Wanderers
0-13.98%
0-20.52%
1-20.85%