Southampton at Cardiff City

Updated

Southampton

65.7%19.2%15.0%
Southampton WinDrawWin
2.19Projected Goals 0.94
5Final Score 3

Cardiff City

Last Games

Southampton
Money Line
L 1-3 at Gillingham-220
L 1-2 at Newcastle United+770
L 1-0 vs Newcastle United+475
W 0-2 vs Manchester City+850
W 5-6 vs Sheffield Wednesday-180
Cardiff City
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Bristol Rovers-115
L 2-5 at Blackburn+275
W 3-1 at Birmingham City+240
W 0-3 vs Colchester United-170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
11.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton-145--170-175--175-170-
Cardiff City+370-+420+450-+450+450-
Draw+275-+300+300-+300+300-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Southampton-175----160--160-
Cardiff City+365---+300-+300-
Draw+260---+275-+275-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 20.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Southampton ML moved from -145 to -160
Cardiff City ML moved from +340 to +330

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Southampton: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Southampton: 30.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Southampton: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Southampton ML
Cardiff City ML moved from +365 to +300

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-102-o2¾-108o2¾-105-o2¾-105o2¾-105-
Underu2¾-118-u2¾-112u2¾-115-u2¾-115u2¾-112-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-130---o2½-125-o2½-125-
Underu2½+100---u2½-105-u2½-105-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes54.1%
 
No45.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.38%
Exactly 221.43%
Exactly 417.47%
Exactly 65.70%
Exactly 81.00%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.70%
Exactly 322.34%
Exactly 510.93%
Exactly 72.55%
Exactly 90.35%
Exact Goals Scored - Southampton
Exactly 011.23%
Exactly 124.56%
Exactly 226.85%
Exactly 319.57%
Exactly 410.70%
Exactly 54.68%
Exactly 61.70%
Exactly 70.53%
Exactly 80.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 039.01%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.28%
Exactly 35.42%
Exactly 41.28%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.50%
Exactly 224.64%
Exactly 44.31%
Exactly 60.30%
 
Exactly 134.03%
Exactly 311.90%
Exactly 51.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Southampton
Exactly 036.34%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.62%
Exactly 36.28%
Exactly 41.59%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 064.67%
Exactly 128.19%
Exactly 26.14%
Exactly 30.89%

Alternate Props

Spread

Southampton
Wins by 2+ goals42.22%
Wins by 3+ goals22.44%
Wins by 4+ goals9.97%
Wins by 5+ goals3.75%
Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals4.88%
Wins by 3+ goals1.22%
Wins by 4+ goals0.23%

Exact Winning Margin

Southampton
Cardiff City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Southampton
Wins by 1 goal23.46%
Wins by 2 goals19.78%
Wins by 3 goals12.47%
Wins by 4 goals6.22%
Wins by 5 goals2.55%
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal10.10%
Wins by 2 goals3.66%
Wins by 3 goals0.99%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.62%4.38%
1.581.92%18.08%
2.560.48%39.52%
3.538.14%61.86%
4.520.67%79.33%
5.59.74%90.26%
6.54.04%95.96%
7.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals Southampton Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.77%11.23%
1.564.21%35.79%
2.537.37%62.63%
3.517.80%82.20%
4.57.10%92.90%
5.52.43%97.57%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.99%39.01%
1.524.27%75.73%
2.56.98%93.02%
3.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.50%23.50%
1.542.47%57.53%
2.517.83%82.17%
3.55.93%94.07%
4.51.62%98.38%

Score Props

Correct Score

Southampton
Cardiff City
Score01234
0
4.38%
4.12%
1.94%
0.61%
0.14%
1
9.58%
9.02%
4.24%
1.33%
0.31%
2
10.47%
9.86%
4.64%
1.46%
0.34%
3
7.63%
7.19%
3.38%
1.06%
0.25%
4
4.17%
3.93%
1.85%
0.58%
0.14%
5
1.82%
1.72%
0.81%
0.25%
0.06%
Southampton
1-09.58%
2-010.47%
2-19.86%
3-07.63%
3-17.19%
3-23.38%
4-04.17%
4-13.93%
4-21.85%
4-30.58%
5-01.82%
5-11.72%
5-20.81%
5-30.25%
Draw
0-04.38%
1-19.02%
2-24.64%
3-31.06%
4-40.14%
Cardiff City
0-14.12%
0-21.94%
1-24.24%
0-30.61%
1-31.33%
2-31.46%
0-40.14%
1-40.31%
2-40.34%
3-40.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Southampton
Cardiff City
Score0123
0
23.50%
10.24%
2.23%
0.32%
1
23.79%
10.37%
2.26%
0.33%
2
12.04%
5.25%
1.14%
0.17%
3
4.06%
1.77%
0.39%
0.06%
4
1.03%
0.45%
0.10%
0.01%
5
0.21%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Southampton
1-023.79%
2-012.04%
2-15.25%
3-04.06%
3-11.77%
3-20.39%
4-01.03%
4-10.45%
5-00.21%
Draw
0-023.50%
1-110.37%
2-21.14%
Cardiff City
0-110.24%
0-22.23%
1-22.26%
0-30.32%
1-30.33%
2-30.17%