Middlesbrough at Chelsea

Updated

Middlesbrough

4.3%9.9%85.7%
WinDrawChelsea Win
0.58Projected Goals 3.04
1Final Score 6

Chelsea

Last 5 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 3-0 at Port Vale-125
W 3-2 at Exeter City-210
W 3-1 at Bolton Wanderers-130
W 3-2 at Huddersfield-105
L 0-3 at Blackpool+275
Chelsea
Money Line
W 2-4 vs Newcastle United-150
W 0-2 vs Blackburn-875
W 1-2 vs AFC Wimbledon
L 0-2 at Manchester City+500
L 11-10 vs Liverpool+270

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+950-+1100+1250-+1250+1250-
Chelsea-410--550-560--560-550-
Draw+560-+600+690-+690+690-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+810-+1360--+1450+1450-
Chelsea-375--590---700-590-
Draw+530-+675--+800+800-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Chelsea: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +1200 to +1150
Chelsea ML moved from -525 to -560

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chelsea: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Chelsea: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Chelsea: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +940 to +910
Chelsea ML moved from -575 to -700

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-116-o3½-105o3½-105-o3½-105o3½-105-
Underu3¼-104-u3½-115u3½-115-u3½-115u3½-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+120-o3½+100-o3½+105o3½+100o3½+105-
Underu3½-140-u3½-120-u3½-135u3½-120u3½-120-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3¼-115 to o3½-102
No Steam Moves On Under

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3½+120 to o3½+100
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.9%
 
No58.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.67%
Exactly 217.54%
Exactly 419.17%
Exactly 68.38%
Exactly 81.96%
Exactly 100.29%
 
Exactly 19.68%
Exactly 321.17%
Exactly 513.88%
Exactly 74.34%
Exactly 90.79%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 055.98%
Exactly 132.48%
Exactly 29.42%
Exactly 31.82%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Chelsea
Exactly 04.78%
Exactly 114.53%
Exactly 222.09%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 417.03%
Exactly 510.36%
Exactly 65.25%
Exactly 72.28%
Exactly 80.87%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 018.70%
Exactly 226.28%
Exactly 46.16%
Exactly 60.58%
 
Exactly 131.35%
Exactly 314.69%
Exactly 52.07%
Exactly 70.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 076.44%
Exactly 120.54%
Exactly 22.76%
Exactly 30.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chelsea
Exactly 024.46%
Exactly 134.44%
Exactly 224.25%
Exactly 311.38%
Exactly 44.01%
Exactly 51.13%
Exactly 60.26%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals0.91%
Chelsea
Wins by 2+ goals67.86%
Wins by 3+ goals46.41%
Wins by 4+ goals27.27%
Wins by 5+ goals13.83%
Wins by 6+ goals6.10%
Wins by 7+ goals2.33%
Wins by 8+ goals0.74%
Wins by 9+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Chelsea
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal3.38%
Wins by 2 goals0.77%
Chelsea
Wins by 1 goal17.76%
Wins by 2 goals21.45%
Wins by 3 goals19.15%
Wins by 4 goals13.44%
Wins by 5 goals7.74%
Wins by 6 goals3.77%
Wins by 7 goals1.59%
Wins by 8 goals0.58%
Wins by 9 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.33%2.67%
1.587.64%12.36%
2.570.10%29.90%
3.548.93%51.07%
4.529.77%70.23%
5.515.89%84.11%
6.57.51%92.49%
7.53.17%96.83%
8.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.544.02%55.98%
1.511.54%88.46%
2.52.12%97.88%

Total Goals Chelsea Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.22%4.78%
1.580.69%19.31%
2.558.60%41.40%
3.536.20%63.80%
4.519.17%80.83%
5.58.81%91.19%
6.53.56%96.44%
7.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.30%18.70%
1.549.95%50.05%
2.523.67%76.33%
3.58.97%91.03%
4.52.82%97.18%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Chelsea
Score012345
0
2.67%
8.13%
12.37%
12.54%
9.53%
5.80%
1
1.55%
4.72%
7.18%
7.27%
5.53%
3.36%
2
0.45%
1.37%
2.08%
2.11%
1.60%
0.98%
Middlesbrough
1-01.55%
2-00.45%
2-11.37%
Draw
0-02.67%
1-14.72%
2-22.08%
3-30.41%
Chelsea
0-18.13%
0-212.37%
1-27.18%
0-312.54%
1-37.27%
2-32.11%
0-49.53%
1-45.53%
2-41.60%
3-40.31%
0-55.80%
1-53.36%
2-50.98%
3-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Chelsea
Score0123456
0
18.70%
26.33%
18.54%
8.70%
3.06%
0.86%
0.20%
1
5.02%
7.07%
4.98%
2.34%
0.82%
0.23%
0.05%
2
0.67%
0.95%
0.67%
0.31%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Middlesbrough
1-05.02%
2-00.67%
2-10.95%
Draw
0-018.70%
1-17.07%
2-20.67%
Chelsea
0-126.33%
0-218.54%
1-24.98%
0-38.70%
1-32.34%
2-30.31%
0-43.06%
1-40.82%
2-40.11%
0-50.86%
1-50.23%
0-60.20%