Swansea City at Middlesbrough

Updated

Swansea City

49.3%26.5%24.3%
Swansea City WinDrawMiddlesbrough Win
1.47Projected Goals 0.94
0Final Score 1

Middlesbrough

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Millwall+100
T 2-2 at Norwich City+370
W 4-0 at Huddersfield+240
W 0-1 vs Rotherham United-295
W 0-3 vs Stoke City+165
Middlesbrough
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Watford-140
W 4-1 at Cardiff City-125
L 4-3 vs Leeds United+400
T 2-2 at Hull City+190
W 0-2 vs Swansea City-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+305-+360+350-+350+360-
Middlesbrough-128--135-156--156-135-
Draw+270-+265+300-+300+300-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+320---+285+310+310-
Middlesbrough-120----140-120-120-
Draw+275---+250+280+280-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 60.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +290 to +280
Middlesbrough ML moved from -149 to -156

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 60.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Middlesbrough: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +295 to +280
No Steam Moves On Middlesbrough ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾+100-o2¾-115o2¾-113-o2¾-113o2¾-113-
Underu2¾-120-u2¾-105u2¾-107-u2¾-107u2¾-105-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.9%
 
No53.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.01%
Exactly 226.10%
Exactly 412.60%
Exactly 62.43%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.69%
Exactly 320.94%
Exactly 56.06%
Exactly 70.84%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 023.13%
Exactly 133.86%
Exactly 224.79%
Exactly 312.10%
Exactly 44.43%
Exactly 51.30%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 038.96%
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 217.31%
Exactly 35.44%
Exactly 41.28%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.81%
Exactly 220.37%
Exactly 42.11%
 
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 37.57%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 050.77%
Exactly 134.42%
Exactly 211.67%
Exactly 32.64%
Exactly 40.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 064.63%
Exactly 128.21%
Exactly 26.16%
Exactly 30.90%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals24.52%
Wins by 3+ goals9.58%
Wins by 4+ goals3.00%
Wins by 5+ goals0.74%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals8.38%
Wins by 3+ goals2.19%
Wins by 4+ goals0.43%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Middlesbrough
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal24.65%
Wins by 2 goals14.94%
Wins by 3 goals6.58%
Wins by 4 goals2.26%
Wins by 5 goals0.62%
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal15.87%
Wins by 2 goals6.19%
Wins by 3 goals1.75%
Wins by 4 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.99%9.01%
1.569.30%30.70%
2.543.21%56.79%
3.522.27%77.73%
4.59.67%90.33%
5.53.61%96.39%
6.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.87%23.13%
1.543.01%56.99%
2.518.22%81.78%
3.56.12%93.88%
4.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.04%38.96%
1.524.32%75.68%
2.57.01%92.99%
3.51.57%98.43%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.19%32.81%
1.530.62%69.38%
2.510.25%89.75%
3.52.68%97.32%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Middlesbrough
Score01234
0
9.01%
8.49%
4.00%
1.26%
0.30%
1
13.19%
12.44%
5.86%
1.84%
0.43%
2
9.66%
9.10%
4.29%
1.35%
0.32%
3
4.71%
4.44%
2.09%
0.66%
0.16%
4
1.73%
1.63%
0.77%
0.24%
0.06%
5
0.51%
0.48%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
Swansea City
1-013.19%
2-09.66%
2-19.10%
3-04.71%
3-14.44%
3-22.09%
4-01.73%
4-11.63%
4-20.77%
4-30.24%
5-00.51%
5-10.48%
5-20.22%
Draw
0-09.01%
1-112.44%
2-24.29%
3-30.66%
Middlesbrough
0-18.49%
0-24.00%
1-25.86%
0-31.26%
1-31.84%
2-31.35%
0-40.30%
1-40.43%
2-40.32%
3-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Middlesbrough
Score0123
0
32.81%
14.32%
3.13%
0.45%
1
22.24%
9.71%
2.12%
0.31%
2
7.54%
3.29%
0.72%
0.10%
3
1.70%
0.74%
0.16%
0.02%
4
0.29%
0.13%
0.03%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-022.24%
2-07.54%
2-13.29%
3-01.70%
3-10.74%
3-20.16%
4-00.29%
4-10.13%
Draw
0-032.81%
1-19.71%
2-20.72%
Middlesbrough
0-114.32%
0-23.13%
1-22.12%
0-30.45%
1-30.31%
2-30.10%