Stoke City at Watford

Updated

Stoke City

22.5%25.9%51.6%
Stoke City WinDrawWatford Win
0.91Projected Goals 1.52
0Final Score 3

Watford

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Coventry City+145
W 0-4 vs Bristol City+105
T 1-1 at Sheffield Wednesday+170
L 0-3 at Swansea City+175
T 2-2 vs West Bromwich Albion+185
Watford
Money Line
W 3-2 at Millwall+215
L 1-3 at Middlesbrough+340
T 0-0 vs Hull City+190
T 0-0 vs Preston North End+105
T 2-2 at West Bromwich Albion+340

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+170-+160+165-+165+165-
Watford+155-+165+152-+152+165-
Draw+215-+215+225-+225+225-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+170---+155+165+165-
Watford+170---+145+170+170-
Draw+225---+205+230+230-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Watford: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +167 to +151
Watford ML moved from +175 to +165

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Watford: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +180 to +165
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-122-o2¼-122o2¼-117-o2¼-117o2¼-117-
Underu2¼+102-u2¼+102u2¼-103-u2¼-103u2¼+102-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.6%
 
No53.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.82%
Exactly 226.00%
Exactly 412.78%
Exactly 62.51%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.41%
Exactly 321.05%
Exactly 56.21%
Exactly 70.87%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 040.31%
Exactly 136.62%
Exactly 216.64%
Exactly 35.04%
Exactly 41.14%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 021.87%
Exactly 133.24%
Exactly 225.27%
Exactly 312.80%
Exactly 44.87%
Exactly 51.48%
Exactly 60.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.48%
Exactly 220.54%
Exactly 42.16%
 
Exactly 136.53%
Exactly 37.70%
Exactly 50.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 065.66%
Exactly 127.62%
Exactly 25.81%
Exactly 30.81%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 049.47%
Exactly 134.82%
Exactly 212.25%
Exactly 32.87%
Exactly 40.51%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals7.53%
Wins by 3+ goals1.90%
Wins by 4+ goals0.36%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals26.42%
Wins by 3+ goals10.66%
Wins by 4+ goals3.45%
Wins by 5+ goals0.88%
Wins by 6+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal14.97%
Wins by 2 goals5.63%
Wins by 3 goals1.53%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal25.05%
Wins by 2 goals15.76%
Wins by 3 goals7.21%
Wins by 4 goals2.57%
Wins by 5 goals0.73%
Wins by 6 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.18%8.82%
1.569.78%30.22%
2.543.78%56.22%
3.522.73%77.27%
4.59.95%90.05%
5.53.74%96.26%
6.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.69%40.31%
1.523.07%76.93%
2.56.43%93.57%
3.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.13%21.87%
1.544.89%55.11%
2.519.62%80.38%
3.56.82%93.18%
4.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.52%32.48%
1.530.99%69.01%
2.510.46%89.54%
3.52.76%97.24%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Watford
Score012345
0
8.82%
13.40%
10.19%
5.16%
1.96%
0.60%
1
8.01%
12.17%
9.25%
4.69%
1.78%
0.54%
2
3.64%
5.53%
4.20%
2.13%
0.81%
0.25%
3
1.10%
1.68%
1.27%
0.65%
0.25%
0.07%
4
0.25%
0.38%
0.29%
0.15%
0.06%
0.02%
Stoke City
1-08.01%
2-03.64%
2-15.53%
3-01.10%
3-11.68%
3-21.27%
4-00.25%
4-10.38%
4-20.29%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-08.82%
1-112.17%
2-24.20%
3-30.65%
Watford
0-113.40%
0-210.19%
1-29.25%
0-35.16%
1-34.69%
2-32.13%
0-41.96%
1-41.78%
2-40.81%
3-40.25%
0-50.60%
1-50.54%
2-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Watford
Score01234
0
32.48%
22.86%
8.05%
1.89%
0.33%
1
13.66%
9.62%
3.38%
0.79%
0.14%
2
2.87%
2.02%
0.71%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.40%
0.28%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Stoke City
1-013.66%
2-02.87%
2-12.02%
3-00.40%
3-10.28%
Draw
0-032.48%
1-19.62%
2-20.71%
Watford
0-122.86%
0-28.05%
1-23.38%
0-31.89%
1-30.79%
2-30.17%
0-40.33%
1-40.14%