Middlesbrough at Derby County

Updated

Middlesbrough

34.3%27.1%38.6%
Middlesbrough WinDrawDerby County Win
1.16Projected Goals 1.31
0Final Score 0

Derby County

Last 5 Games

Middlesbrough
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Queens Park Rangers+140
W 1-2 vs Bristol City+105
T 1-1 at Fulham+375
L 3-0 vs Wycombe Wanderers-130
T 1-1 at Luton Town+175
Derby County
Money Line
W 1-0 at Hull City+295
T 1-1 vs Huddersfield+120
T 3-3 vs Sheffield Wednesday+135
L 1-2 at Swansea City+160
L 2-1 vs Birmingham City+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+125-+175+172+180+172+180-
Derby County+230-+175+184+162+184+184-
Draw+240-+205+205+212+205+212-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Middlesbrough+160---+140+165+165-
Derby County+180---+160+190+190-
Draw+220---+205+200+205-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +154 to +145
Derby County ML moved from +194 to +179

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Middlesbrough: 0.0%
Derby County: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Middlesbrough ML moved from +165 to +155
Derby County ML moved from +210 to +190

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o2-115o2-113-o2-113-
Under-u2-105u2-107-u2-107-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.2%
 
No49.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.45%
Exactly 225.80%
Exactly 413.13%
Exactly 62.67%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.88%
Exactly 321.25%
Exactly 56.49%
Exactly 70.94%
Exact Goals Scored - Middlesbrough
Exactly 031.30%
Exactly 136.36%
Exactly 221.11%
Exactly 38.17%
Exactly 42.37%
Exactly 50.55%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 026.99%
Exactly 135.35%
Exactly 223.15%
Exactly 310.10%
Exactly 43.31%
Exactly 50.87%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.85%
Exactly 220.85%
Exactly 42.27%
 
Exactly 136.44%
Exactly 37.95%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Middlesbrough
Exactly 058.41%
Exactly 131.41%
Exactly 28.44%
Exactly 31.51%
Exactly 40.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 054.54%
Exactly 133.07%
Exactly 210.02%
Exactly 32.03%
Exactly 40.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Middlesbrough
Wins by 2+ goals13.46%
Wins by 3+ goals4.26%
Wins by 4+ goals1.08%
Wins by 5+ goals0.22%
Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals18.05%
Wins by 3+ goals6.35%
Wins by 4+ goals1.79%
Wins by 5+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Middlesbrough
Derby County
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Middlesbrough
Wins by 1 goal19.43%
Wins by 2 goals9.20%
Wins by 3 goals3.18%
Wins by 4 goals0.86%
Wins by 5 goals0.19%
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal21.91%
Wins by 2 goals11.69%
Wins by 3 goals4.56%
Wins by 4 goals1.39%
Wins by 5 goals0.34%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.55%8.45%
1.570.67%29.33%
2.544.87%55.13%
3.523.62%76.38%
4.510.50%89.50%
5.54.01%95.99%
6.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals Middlesbrough Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.70%31.30%
1.532.34%67.66%
2.511.23%88.77%
3.53.05%96.95%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.01%26.99%
1.537.66%62.34%
2.514.51%85.49%
3.54.41%95.59%
4.51.10%98.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.15%31.85%
1.531.71%68.29%
2.510.86%89.14%
3.52.91%97.09%

Score Props

Correct Score

Middlesbrough
Derby County
Score012345
0
8.45%
11.07%
7.25%
3.16%
1.04%
0.27%
1
9.81%
12.85%
8.42%
3.67%
1.20%
0.31%
2
5.70%
7.46%
4.89%
2.13%
0.70%
0.18%
3
2.21%
2.89%
1.89%
0.83%
0.27%
0.07%
4
0.64%
0.84%
0.55%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
5
0.15%
0.19%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-09.81%
2-05.70%
2-17.46%
3-02.21%
3-12.89%
3-21.89%
4-00.64%
4-10.84%
4-20.55%
4-30.24%
5-00.15%
5-10.19%
5-20.13%
Draw
0-08.45%
1-112.85%
2-24.89%
3-30.83%
Derby County
0-111.07%
0-27.25%
1-28.42%
0-33.16%
1-33.67%
2-32.13%
0-41.04%
1-41.20%
2-40.70%
3-40.27%
0-50.27%
1-50.31%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Middlesbrough
Derby County
Score01234
0
31.85%
19.31%
5.85%
1.18%
0.18%
1
17.13%
10.39%
3.15%
0.64%
0.10%
2
4.61%
2.79%
0.85%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.83%
0.50%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.11%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Middlesbrough
1-017.13%
2-04.61%
2-12.79%
3-00.83%
3-10.50%
3-20.15%
4-00.11%
Draw
0-031.85%
1-110.39%
2-20.85%
Derby County
0-119.31%
0-25.85%
1-23.15%
0-31.18%
1-30.64%
2-30.17%
0-40.18%