Watford at Birmingham City

Updated

Watford

61.4%22.5%16.1%
Watford WinDrawWin
1.80Projected Goals 0.80
1Final Score 1

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
T 1-1 at West Bromwich Albion+205
W 0-2 vs Swansea City-105
L 0-2 at Brentford+210
W 0-1 vs Millwall-195
W 1-0 at Norwich City+235
Birmingham City
Money Line
L 0-1 at Cardiff City+230
W 1-2 vs Huddersfield+140
T 0-0 at Luton Town+345
L 2-1 vs Blackburn+160
T 1-1 at Cardiff City+250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+120+111+115+110+106+110+111-
Birmingham City+230+284+235+270+264+270+284-
Draw+220+242+225+230+242+230+242-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+115----110+110+110-
Birmingham City+260---+245+260+260-
Draw+225---+220+235+235-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 30.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +100 to -102
Birmingham City ML moved from +275 to +265

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 40.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Watford ML
Birmingham City ML moved from +275 to +260

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.2%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-112o2½+121o2¼-108o2¼-110-o2¼-110o2¼-108-
Underu2¼-108u2½-136u2¼-112u2¼-110-u2¼-110u2½-136-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.9%
 
No54.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.39%
Exactly 225.08%
Exactly 414.18%
Exactly 63.21%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.25%
Exactly 321.77%
Exactly 57.39%
Exactly 71.19%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 016.40%
Exactly 129.65%
Exactly 226.80%
Exactly 316.15%
Exactly 47.30%
Exactly 52.64%
Exactly 60.80%
Exactly 70.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 045.07%
Exactly 135.92%
Exactly 214.31%
Exactly 33.80%
Exactly 40.76%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.94%
Exactly 221.77%
Exactly 42.64%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 38.75%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 043.29%
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 215.17%
Exactly 34.23%
Exactly 40.89%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 069.15%
Exactly 125.51%
Exactly 24.71%
Exactly 30.58%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals35.74%
Wins by 3+ goals16.70%
Wins by 4+ goals6.39%
Wins by 5+ goals2.03%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals4.76%
Wins by 3+ goals1.06%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Birmingham City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Watford
Wins by 1 goal25.60%
Wins by 2 goals19.03%
Wins by 3 goals10.31%
Wins by 4 goals4.36%
Wins by 5 goals1.51%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal11.28%
Wins by 2 goals3.70%
Wins by 3 goals0.88%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.61%7.39%
1.573.36%26.64%
2.548.28%51.72%
3.526.51%73.49%
4.512.33%87.67%
5.54.94%95.06%
6.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.60%16.40%
1.553.96%46.04%
2.527.15%72.85%
3.511.00%89.00%
4.53.70%96.30%
5.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.554.93%45.07%
1.519.01%80.99%
2.54.70%95.30%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.06%29.94%
1.533.96%66.04%
2.512.18%87.82%
3.53.43%96.57%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Birmingham City
Score01234
0
7.39%
5.89%
2.35%
0.62%
0.12%
1
13.36%
10.65%
4.24%
1.13%
0.22%
2
12.08%
9.63%
3.84%
1.02%
0.20%
3
7.28%
5.80%
2.31%
0.61%
0.12%
4
3.29%
2.62%
1.04%
0.28%
0.06%
5
1.19%
0.95%
0.38%
0.10%
0.02%
Watford
1-013.36%
2-012.08%
2-19.63%
3-07.28%
3-15.80%
3-22.31%
4-03.29%
4-12.62%
4-21.04%
4-30.28%
5-01.19%
5-10.95%
5-20.38%
5-30.10%
Draw
0-07.39%
1-110.65%
2-23.84%
3-30.61%
Birmingham City
0-15.89%
0-22.35%
1-24.24%
0-30.62%
1-31.13%
2-31.02%
0-40.12%
1-40.22%
2-40.20%
3-40.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Birmingham City
Score0123
0
29.94%
11.05%
2.04%
0.25%
1
25.06%
9.25%
1.71%
0.21%
2
10.49%
3.87%
0.71%
0.09%
3
2.93%
1.08%
0.20%
0.02%
4
0.61%
0.23%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.10%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Watford
1-025.06%
2-010.49%
2-13.87%
3-02.93%
3-11.08%
3-20.20%
4-00.61%
4-10.23%
5-00.10%
Draw
0-029.94%
1-19.25%
2-20.71%
Birmingham City
0-111.05%
0-22.04%
1-21.71%
0-30.25%
1-30.21%
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