Stoke City at Birmingham City

Updated

Stoke City

50.2%25.7%24.0%
Stoke City WinDrawBirmingham City Win
1.53Projected Goals 0.97
0Final Score 0

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Stoke City
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Bristol City-175
W 4-0 at Coventry City+210
T 0-0 vs Norwich City+145
T 1-1 at Middlesbrough+400
L 1-0 vs Millwall+130
Birmingham City
Money Line
T 1-1 at Reading+165
W 0-1 vs Blackburn+155
W 1-0 at Queens Park Rangers+190
L 0-3 at Watford+350
W 0-2 vs Rotherham United+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+160+107+105+104-+104+107-
Birmingham City+180+298+270+245-+245+298-
Draw+210+242+230+225-+225+242-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Stoke City+130----105+110+110-
Birmingham City+225---+245+265+265-
Draw+225---+210+230+230-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +114 to +100
Birmingham City ML moved from +255 to +245

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Stoke City: 10.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Stoke City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Stoke City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Stoke City ML moved from +130 to +115
Birmingham City ML moved from +265 to +255

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-105o2-133o2¼+105o2¼+100-o2¼+100o2-133-
Underu2¼-115u2+118u2¼-125u2¼-120-u2¼-120u2¼-120-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.7%
 
No51.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.19%
Exactly 225.64%
Exactly 413.38%
Exactly 62.79%
Exactly 80.31%
 
Exactly 120.50%
Exactly 321.39%
Exactly 56.69%
Exactly 71.00%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 021.67%
Exactly 133.14%
Exactly 225.34%
Exactly 312.92%
Exactly 44.94%
Exactly 51.51%
Exactly 60.39%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 037.81%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.88%
Exactly 35.80%
Exactly 41.41%
Exactly 50.27%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.40%
Exactly 221.07%
Exactly 42.36%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.37%
Exactly 38.14%
Exactly 50.55%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 049.26%
Exactly 134.88%
Exactly 212.35%
Exactly 32.92%
Exactly 40.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 063.74%
Exactly 128.71%
Exactly 26.46%
Exactly 30.97%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals25.65%
Wins by 3+ goals10.34%
Wins by 4+ goals3.35%
Wins by 5+ goals0.86%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals8.44%
Wins by 3+ goals2.25%
Wins by 4+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Stoke City
Birmingham City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal24.47%
Wins by 2 goals15.31%
Wins by 3 goals6.99%
Wins by 4 goals2.49%
Wins by 5 goals0.71%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal15.56%
Wins by 2 goals6.19%
Wins by 3 goals1.79%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.81%8.19%
1.571.31%28.69%
2.545.67%54.33%
3.524.29%75.71%
4.510.91%89.09%
5.54.22%95.78%
6.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.33%21.67%
1.545.20%54.80%
2.519.86%80.14%
3.56.94%93.06%
4.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.19%37.81%
1.525.42%74.58%
2.57.53%92.47%
3.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.60%31.40%
1.532.23%67.77%
2.511.16%88.84%
3.53.03%96.97%

Score Props

Correct Score

Stoke City
Birmingham City
Score01234
0
8.19%
7.97%
3.87%
1.26%
0.31%
1
12.53%
12.19%
5.93%
1.92%
0.47%
2
9.58%
9.32%
4.53%
1.47%
0.36%
3
4.88%
4.75%
2.31%
0.75%
0.18%
4
1.87%
1.82%
0.88%
0.29%
0.07%
5
0.57%
0.56%
0.27%
0.09%
0.02%
Stoke City
1-012.53%
2-09.58%
2-19.32%
3-04.88%
3-14.75%
3-22.31%
4-01.87%
4-11.82%
4-20.88%
4-30.29%
5-00.57%
5-10.56%
5-20.27%
Draw
0-08.19%
1-112.19%
2-24.53%
3-30.75%
Birmingham City
0-17.97%
0-23.87%
1-25.93%
0-31.26%
1-31.92%
2-31.47%
0-40.31%
1-40.47%
2-40.36%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Stoke City
Birmingham City
Score0123
0
31.40%
14.14%
3.18%
0.48%
1
22.23%
10.01%
2.25%
0.34%
2
7.87%
3.54%
0.80%
0.12%
3
1.86%
0.84%
0.19%
0.03%
4
0.33%
0.15%
0.03%
0.01%
Stoke City
1-022.23%
2-07.87%
2-13.54%
3-01.86%
3-10.84%
3-20.19%
4-00.33%
4-10.15%
Draw
0-031.40%
1-110.01%
2-20.80%
Birmingham City
0-114.14%
0-23.18%
1-22.25%
0-30.48%
1-30.34%
2-30.12%
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