Watford at Leeds United

Updated

Watford

20.5%24.5%55.0%
Watford WinDrawLeeds United Win
0.90Projected Goals 1.65
1Final Score 2

Leeds United

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
L 0-3 at Luton Town+260
W 1-2 vs Middlesbrough+250
L 0-3 at Preston North End+180
L 1-4 at Norwich City+220
T 1-1 vs Coventry City+165
Leeds United
Money Line
T 1-1 at Norwich City+100
W 0-3 vs Coventry City-175
W 2-0 at Cardiff City-135
L 1-0 vs Burnley-140
W 0-2 vs Hull City-255

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
6.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+525-+700+680-+680+700-
Leeds United-225--300-323--323-300-
Draw+350-+400+420-+420+420-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+710---+635+825+825-
Leeds United-275----335-310-310-
Draw+415---+355+440+440-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 50.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +750 to +700
Leeds United ML moved from -333 to -345

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Leeds United: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 50.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Leeds United: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Watford ML
Leeds United ML moved from -280 to -315

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105-o3-108o3-111-o3-111o3-108-
Underu3-125-u3-112u3-109-u3-109u3-109-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.0%
 
No52.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.82%
Exactly 225.39%
Exactly 413.74%
Exactly 62.98%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.93%
Exactly 321.57%
Exactly 57.01%
Exactly 71.08%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 040.62%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 216.49%
Exactly 34.95%
Exactly 41.12%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - Leeds United
Exactly 019.25%
Exactly 131.72%
Exactly 226.13%
Exactly 314.35%
Exactly 45.91%
Exactly 51.95%
Exactly 60.53%
Exactly 70.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.73%
Exactly 221.39%
Exactly 42.48%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 38.41%
Exactly 50.59%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 065.89%
Exactly 127.49%
Exactly 25.73%
Exactly 30.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Leeds United
Exactly 046.64%
Exactly 135.57%
Exactly 213.57%
Exactly 33.45%
Exactly 40.66%
Exactly 50.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals6.74%
Wins by 3+ goals1.68%
Wins by 4+ goals0.32%
Leeds United
Wins by 2+ goals29.81%
Wins by 3+ goals12.87%
Wins by 4+ goals4.53%
Wins by 5+ goals1.32%
Wins by 6+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Leeds United
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Watford
Wins by 1 goal13.74%
Wins by 2 goals5.07%
Wins by 3 goals1.36%
Wins by 4 goals0.28%
Leeds United
Wins by 1 goal25.13%
Wins by 2 goals16.94%
Wins by 3 goals8.34%
Wins by 4 goals3.21%
Wins by 5 goals1.01%
Wins by 6 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.18%7.82%
1.572.25%27.75%
2.546.86%53.14%
3.525.28%74.72%
4.511.54%88.46%
5.54.53%95.47%
6.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.38%40.62%
1.522.79%77.21%
2.56.30%93.70%
3.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals Leeds United Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.75%19.25%
1.549.03%50.97%
2.522.90%77.10%
3.58.55%91.45%
4.52.64%97.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.27%30.73%
1.533.01%66.99%
2.511.62%88.38%
3.53.21%96.79%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Leeds United
Score012345
0
7.82%
12.88%
10.61%
5.83%
2.40%
0.79%
1
7.05%
11.61%
9.56%
5.25%
2.16%
0.71%
2
3.17%
5.23%
4.31%
2.37%
0.97%
0.32%
3
0.95%
1.57%
1.29%
0.71%
0.29%
0.10%
4
0.21%
0.35%
0.29%
0.16%
0.07%
0.02%
Watford
1-07.05%
2-03.17%
2-15.23%
3-00.95%
3-11.57%
3-21.29%
4-00.21%
4-10.35%
4-20.29%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-07.82%
1-111.61%
2-24.31%
3-30.71%
Leeds United
0-112.88%
0-210.61%
1-29.56%
0-35.83%
1-35.25%
2-32.37%
0-42.40%
1-42.16%
2-40.97%
3-40.29%
0-50.79%
1-50.71%
2-50.32%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Leeds United
Score01234
0
30.73%
23.44%
8.94%
2.27%
0.43%
1
12.82%
9.78%
3.73%
0.95%
0.18%
2
2.67%
2.04%
0.78%
0.20%
0.04%
3
0.37%
0.28%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Watford
1-012.82%
2-02.67%
2-12.04%
3-00.37%
3-10.28%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-030.73%
1-19.78%
2-20.78%
Leeds United
0-123.44%
0-28.94%
1-23.73%
0-32.27%
1-30.95%
2-30.20%
0-40.43%
1-40.18%