Luton Town at Watford

Updated

Luton Town

17.5%23.1%59.4%
WinDrawWatford Win
0.84Projected Goals 1.77
0Final Score 4

Watford

Last 5 Games

Luton Town
Money Line
W 1-0 at Norwich City+300
W 1-3 vs Queens Park Rangers+100
T 0-0 at West Bromwich Albion+285
T 3-3 vs Huddersfield-155
W 2-0 at Hull City+130
Watford
Money Line
L 0-3 at Millwall+180
W 1-2 vs Norwich City+165
L 2-1 vs Swansea City-120
W 4-0 at Stoke City+180
L 0-2 at Blackburn+165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+265+264+245+230-+230+264-
Watford+105+124+120+121-+121+124-
Draw+225+227+210+205-+205+227-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Luton Town+255---+225+225+225-
Watford+110---+100+130+130-
Draw+240---+210+225+225-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Watford: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Luton Town: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +225 to +215
Watford ML moved from +129 to +120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Luton Town: 0.0%
Watford: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Luton Town: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Luton Town: 0.0%
Watford: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Luton Town ML moved from +240 to +230
No Steam Moves On Watford ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-122o2½+125o2¼-112o2¼-110-o2¼-110o2¼-110-
Underu2¼+102u2½-140u2¼-108u2¼-110-u2¼-110u2½-140-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.1%
 
No52.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.38%
Exactly 225.07%
Exactly 414.19%
Exactly 63.21%
Exactly 80.39%
 
Exactly 119.24%
Exactly 321.78%
Exactly 57.39%
Exactly 71.20%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 043.21%
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 215.21%
Exactly 34.26%
Exactly 40.89%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 017.09%
Exactly 130.19%
Exactly 226.67%
Exactly 315.71%
Exactly 46.94%
Exactly 52.45%
Exactly 60.72%
Exactly 70.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.93%
Exactly 221.78%
Exactly 42.64%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.10%
Exactly 38.76%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 067.81%
Exactly 126.34%
Exactly 25.12%
Exactly 30.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 044.13%
Exactly 136.10%
Exactly 214.76%
Exactly 34.03%
Exactly 40.82%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals5.41%
Wins by 3+ goals1.26%
Wins by 4+ goals0.22%
Watford
Wins by 2+ goals33.90%
Wins by 3+ goals15.51%
Wins by 4+ goals5.81%
Wins by 5+ goals1.80%
Wins by 6+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Luton Town
Watford
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal12.08%
Wins by 2 goals4.15%
Wins by 3 goals1.04%
Wins by 4 goals0.20%
Watford
Wins by 1 goal25.42%
Wins by 2 goals18.38%
Wins by 3 goals9.71%
Wins by 4 goals4.00%
Wins by 5 goals1.35%
Wins by 6 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.62%7.38%
1.573.37%26.63%
2.548.30%51.70%
3.526.52%73.48%
4.512.34%87.66%
5.54.95%95.05%
6.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.79%43.21%
1.520.53%79.47%
2.55.32%94.68%
3.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.91%17.09%
1.552.72%47.28%
2.526.05%73.95%
3.510.34%89.66%
4.53.40%96.60%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.07%29.93%
1.533.97%66.03%
2.512.19%87.81%
3.53.43%96.57%

Score Props

Correct Score

Luton Town
Watford
Score012345
0
7.38%
13.05%
11.52%
6.79%
3.00%
1.06%
1
6.20%
10.95%
9.67%
5.69%
2.51%
0.89%
2
2.60%
4.59%
4.06%
2.39%
1.06%
0.37%
3
0.73%
1.28%
1.13%
0.67%
0.30%
0.10%
4
0.15%
0.27%
0.24%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
Luton Town
1-06.20%
2-02.60%
2-14.59%
3-00.73%
3-11.28%
3-21.13%
4-00.15%
4-10.27%
4-20.24%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-07.38%
1-110.95%
2-24.06%
3-30.67%
Watford
0-113.05%
0-211.52%
1-29.67%
0-36.79%
1-35.69%
2-32.39%
0-43.00%
1-42.51%
2-41.06%
3-40.30%
0-51.06%
1-50.89%
2-50.37%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Luton Town
Watford
Score01234
0
29.93%
24.48%
10.01%
2.73%
0.56%
1
11.63%
9.51%
3.89%
1.06%
0.22%
2
2.26%
1.85%
0.76%
0.21%
0.04%
3
0.29%
0.24%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Luton Town
1-011.63%
2-02.26%
2-11.85%
3-00.29%
3-10.24%
Draw
0-029.93%
1-19.51%
2-20.76%
Watford
0-124.48%
0-210.01%
1-23.89%
0-32.73%
1-31.06%
2-30.21%
0-40.56%
1-40.22%
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