Millwall at Bournemouth

Updated

Millwall

21.5%26.0%52.5%
Millwall WinDrawBournemouth Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.51
0Final Score 1

Bournemouth

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
T 2-2 at Birmingham City+120
W 1-2 vs Hull City-125
T 1-1 at Preston North End+225
W 1-4 vs Barnsley-140
L 1-0 vs Swansea City+110
Bournemouth
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Nottingham Forest+130
W 3-0 at Blackburn+120
T 3-3 at Swansea City-115
T 1-1 vs Fulham+145
W 3-0 at Coventry City+145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+475+339+310+235+302+235+339+326.2
Bournemouth-175-112-115-115-120-115-112-103.5
Draw+295+270+250+285+276+285+285+289.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+265---+245+305+305+326.2
Bournemouth-105----125-115-115-103.5
Draw+275---+255+270+270+289.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 20.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +300 to +290
Bournemouth ML moved from -113 to -120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Millwall ML
Bournemouth ML moved from -105 to -115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½-116o2½-120o2¾+101-o2¾+101o2½-116o2½-109
Underu2½+102u2½+101u2½+100u2¾-121-u2¾-121u2¾-121u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-109
Under-----u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-114 to o2¾-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.1%
 
No54.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.27%
Exactly 226.22%
Exactly 412.36%
Exactly 62.33%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 122.05%
Exactly 320.79%
Exactly 55.88%
Exactly 70.79%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 042.13%
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 215.74%
Exactly 34.54%
Exactly 40.98%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Bournemouth
Exactly 022.00%
Exactly 133.31%
Exactly 225.22%
Exactly 312.73%
Exactly 44.82%
Exactly 51.46%
Exactly 60.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.25%
Exactly 220.16%
Exactly 42.04%
 
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 37.40%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 067.02%
Exactly 126.82%
Exactly 25.37%
Exactly 30.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bournemouth
Exactly 049.61%
Exactly 134.78%
Exactly 212.19%
Exactly 32.85%
Exactly 40.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals6.92%
Wins by 3+ goals1.68%
Wins by 4+ goals0.31%
Bournemouth
Wins by 2+ goals26.97%
Wins by 3+ goals10.88%
Wins by 4+ goals3.52%
Wins by 5+ goals0.90%
Wins by 6+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Bournemouth
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal14.53%
Wins by 2 goals5.24%
Wins by 3 goals1.37%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%
Bournemouth
Wins by 1 goal25.45%
Wins by 2 goals16.09%
Wins by 3 goals7.36%
Wins by 4 goals2.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.75%
Wins by 6 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.73%9.27%
1.568.68%31.32%
2.542.47%57.53%
3.521.68%78.32%
4.59.32%90.68%
5.53.44%96.56%
6.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.87%42.13%
1.521.45%78.55%
2.55.71%94.29%
3.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals Bournemouth Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.00%22.00%
1.544.69%55.31%
2.519.47%80.53%
3.56.74%93.26%
4.51.92%98.08%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.75%33.25%
1.530.14%69.86%
2.59.98%90.02%
3.52.58%97.42%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Bournemouth
Score012345
0
9.27%
14.03%
10.62%
5.36%
2.03%
0.61%
1
8.01%
12.13%
9.18%
4.63%
1.75%
0.53%
2
3.46%
5.24%
3.97%
2.00%
0.76%
0.23%
3
1.00%
1.51%
1.14%
0.58%
0.22%
0.07%
4
0.22%
0.33%
0.25%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
Millwall
1-08.01%
2-03.46%
2-15.24%
3-01.00%
3-11.51%
3-21.14%
4-00.22%
4-10.33%
4-20.25%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-09.27%
1-112.13%
2-23.97%
3-30.58%
Bournemouth
0-114.03%
0-210.62%
1-29.18%
0-35.36%
1-34.63%
2-32.00%
0-42.03%
1-41.75%
2-40.76%
3-40.22%
0-50.61%
1-50.53%
2-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Bournemouth
Score01234
0
33.25%
23.30%
8.17%
1.91%
0.33%
1
13.31%
9.33%
3.27%
0.76%
0.13%
2
2.66%
1.87%
0.65%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.36%
0.25%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Millwall
1-013.31%
2-02.66%
2-11.87%
3-00.36%
3-10.25%
Draw
0-033.25%
1-19.33%
2-20.65%
Bournemouth
0-123.30%
0-28.17%
1-23.27%
0-31.91%
1-30.76%
2-30.15%
0-40.33%
1-40.13%
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