Millwall at Bournemouth

Updated

Millwall

21.5%26.0%52.5%
Millwall WinDrawBournemouth Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.51
0Final Score 1

Bournemouth

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
T 2-2 at Birmingham City+120
W 1-2 vs Hull City-125
T 1-1 at Preston North End+225
W 1-4 vs Barnsley-140
L 1-0 vs Swansea City+110
Bournemouth
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Nottingham Forest+130
W 3-0 at Blackburn+120
T 3-3 at Swansea City-115
T 1-1 vs Fulham+145
W 3-0 at Coventry City+145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+475+339+310+235+302+235+339+326.2
Bournemouth-175-112-115-115-120-115-112-103.5
Draw+295+270+250+285+276+285+285+289.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+265---+245+305+305+326.2
Bournemouth-105----125-115-115-103.5
Draw+275---+255+270+270+289.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 20.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +300 to +290
Bournemouth ML moved from -113 to -120

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bournemouth: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Bournemouth: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Millwall ML
Bournemouth ML moved from -105 to -115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o2½-116o2½-120o2¾+101-o2¾+101o2½-116o2½-109
Underu2½+102u2½+101u2½+100u2¾-121-u2¾-121u2¾-121u2½+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-109
Under-----u2½+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-114 to o2¾-105
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.1%
 
No54.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.27%
Exactly 226.22%
Exactly 412.36%
Exactly 62.33%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 122.05%
Exactly 320.79%
Exactly 55.88%
Exactly 70.79%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 042.13%
Exactly 136.42%
Exactly 215.74%
Exactly 34.54%
Exactly 40.98%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Bournemouth
Exactly 022.00%
Exactly 133.31%
Exactly 225.22%
Exactly 312.73%
Exactly 44.82%
Exactly 51.46%
Exactly 60.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.25%
Exactly 220.16%
Exactly 42.04%
 
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 37.40%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 067.02%
Exactly 126.82%
Exactly 25.37%
Exactly 30.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bournemouth
Exactly 049.61%
Exactly 134.78%
Exactly 212.19%
Exactly 32.85%
Exactly 40.50%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals6.92%
Wins by 3+ goals1.68%
Wins by 4+ goals0.31%
Bournemouth
Wins by 2+ goals26.97%
Wins by 3+ goals10.88%
Wins by 4+ goals3.52%
Wins by 5+ goals0.90%
Wins by 6+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Bournemouth
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal14.53%
Wins by 2 goals5.24%
Wins by 3 goals1.37%
Wins by 4 goals0.27%
Bournemouth
Wins by 1 goal25.45%
Wins by 2 goals16.09%
Wins by 3 goals7.36%
Wins by 4 goals2.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.75%
Wins by 6 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.73%9.27%
1.568.68%31.32%
2.542.47%57.53%
3.521.68%78.32%
4.59.32%90.68%
5.53.44%96.56%
6.51.11%98.89%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.87%42.13%
1.521.45%78.55%
2.55.71%94.29%
3.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals Bournemouth Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.00%22.00%
1.544.69%55.31%
2.519.47%80.53%
3.56.74%93.26%
4.51.92%98.08%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.75%33.25%
1.530.14%69.86%
2.59.98%90.02%
3.52.58%97.42%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Bournemouth
Score012345
0
9.27%
14.03%
10.62%
5.36%
2.03%
0.61%
1
8.01%
12.13%
9.18%
4.63%
1.75%
0.53%
2
3.46%
5.24%
3.97%
2.00%
0.76%
0.23%
3
1.00%
1.51%
1.14%
0.58%
0.22%
0.07%
4
0.22%
0.33%
0.25%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
Millwall
1-08.01%
2-03.46%
2-15.24%
3-01.00%
3-11.51%
3-21.14%
4-00.22%
4-10.33%
4-20.25%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-09.27%
1-112.13%
2-23.97%
3-30.58%
Bournemouth
0-114.03%
0-210.62%
1-29.18%
0-35.36%
1-34.63%
2-32.00%
0-42.03%
1-41.75%
2-40.76%
3-40.22%
0-50.61%
1-50.53%
2-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Bournemouth
Score01234
0
33.25%
23.30%
8.17%
1.91%
0.33%
1
13.31%
9.33%
3.27%
0.76%
0.13%
2
2.66%
1.87%
0.65%
0.15%
0.03%
3
0.36%
0.25%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Millwall
1-013.31%
2-02.66%
2-11.87%
3-00.36%
3-10.25%
Draw
0-033.25%
1-19.33%
2-20.65%
Bournemouth
0-123.30%
0-28.17%
1-23.27%
0-31.91%
1-30.76%
2-30.15%
0-40.33%
1-40.13%