Cardiff City at Birmingham City

Updated

Cardiff City

48.8%23.9%27.4%
Cardiff City WinDrawBirmingham City Win
1.71Projected Goals 0.96
4Final Score 0

Birmingham City

Last 5 Games

Cardiff City
Money Line
W 1-2 vs Wycombe Wanderers-145
T 1-1 at Brentford+465
T 1-1 at Reading+280
T 2-2 vs Blackburn+160
L 0-5 at Sheffield Wednesday+165
Birmingham City
Money Line
W 2-1 at Derby County+290
T 1-1 vs Nottingham Forest+165
W 1-0 at Rotherham United+160
W 0-2 vs Stoke City+180
T 0-0 at Brentford+525

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+169+133+130+138+140+138+140-
Birmingham City+159+221+230+200+212+200+230-
Draw+210+220+215+205+210+205+220-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Cardiff City+185---+160+135+160-
Birmingham City+170---+150+220+220-
Draw+200---+190+220+220-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 20.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cardiff City: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 0.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +160 to +135
Birmingham City ML moved from +220 to +200

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Cardiff City: 100.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Cardiff City: 20.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Cardiff City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Cardiff City: 80.0%
Birmingham City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Cardiff City ML moved from +195 to +130
Birmingham City ML moved from +170 to +160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+111o2¼+102o2-140o2¼-103-o2¼-103o2-140-
Underu2¼-131u2¼-125u2+115u2¼-117-u2¼-117u2¼-117-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.6%
 
No49.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.92%
Exactly 224.68%
Exactly 414.67%
Exactly 63.49%
Exactly 80.44%
 
Exactly 118.48%
Exactly 321.97%
Exactly 57.84%
Exactly 71.33%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 018.07%
Exactly 130.91%
Exactly 226.45%
Exactly 315.09%
Exactly 46.45%
Exactly 52.21%
Exactly 60.63%
Exactly 70.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Birmingham City
Exactly 038.29%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.64%
Exactly 35.65%
Exactly 41.36%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.03%
Exactly 222.20%
Exactly 42.83%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.91%
Exactly 39.15%
Exactly 50.70%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 045.28%
Exactly 135.88%
Exactly 214.21%
Exactly 33.75%
Exactly 40.74%
Exactly 50.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Birmingham City
Exactly 064.12%
Exactly 128.50%
Exactly 26.33%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals30.38%
Wins by 3+ goals13.44%
Wins by 4+ goals4.86%
Wins by 5+ goals1.46%
Birmingham City
Wins by 2+ goals7.21%
Wins by 3+ goals1.88%
Wins by 4+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Cardiff City
Birmingham City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal24.62%
Wins by 2 goals16.94%
Wins by 3 goals8.58%
Wins by 4 goals3.40%
Wins by 5 goals1.10%
Birmingham City
Wins by 1 goal13.81%
Wins by 2 goals5.33%
Wins by 3 goals1.51%
Wins by 4 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.08%6.92%
1.574.61%25.39%
2.549.93%50.07%
3.527.96%72.04%
4.513.28%86.72%
5.55.44%94.56%
6.51.95%98.05%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.581.93%18.07%
1.551.02%48.98%
2.524.57%75.43%
3.59.49%90.51%
4.53.03%96.97%

Total Goals Birmingham City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.71%38.29%
1.524.95%75.05%
2.57.31%92.69%
3.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.97%29.03%
1.535.06%64.94%
2.512.86%87.14%
3.53.70%96.30%

Score Props

Correct Score

Cardiff City
Birmingham City
Score01234
0
6.92%
6.64%
3.19%
1.02%
0.24%
1
11.84%
11.36%
5.45%
1.75%
0.42%
2
10.13%
9.72%
4.67%
1.49%
0.36%
3
5.78%
5.55%
2.66%
0.85%
0.20%
4
2.47%
2.37%
1.14%
0.36%
0.09%
5
0.85%
0.81%
0.39%
0.12%
0.03%
Cardiff City
1-011.84%
2-010.13%
2-19.72%
3-05.78%
3-15.55%
3-22.66%
4-02.47%
4-12.37%
4-21.14%
4-30.36%
5-00.85%
5-10.81%
5-20.39%
5-30.12%
Draw
0-06.92%
1-111.36%
2-24.67%
3-30.85%
Birmingham City
0-16.64%
0-23.19%
1-25.45%
0-31.02%
1-31.75%
2-31.49%
0-40.24%
1-40.42%
2-40.36%
3-40.20%

Correct Score - First Half

Cardiff City
Birmingham City
Score0123
0
29.03%
12.90%
2.87%
0.42%
1
23.00%
10.22%
2.27%
0.34%
2
9.11%
4.05%
0.90%
0.13%
3
2.41%
1.07%
0.24%
0.04%
4
0.48%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
Cardiff City
1-023.00%
2-09.11%
2-14.05%
3-02.41%
3-11.07%
3-20.24%
4-00.48%
4-10.21%
Draw
0-029.03%
1-110.22%
2-20.90%
Birmingham City
0-112.90%
0-22.87%
1-22.27%
0-30.42%
1-30.34%
2-30.13%
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