Millwall at Bristol City

Updated

Millwall

32.9%29.2%37.9%
Millwall WinDrawBristol City Win
1.04Projected Goals 1.14
3Final Score 4

Bristol City

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Watford+135
W 1-0 at Swansea City+270
W 1-3 vs Cardiff City-110
L 0-1 at Huddersfield+215
L 1-2 at Rotherham United-140
Bristol City
Money Line
T 1-1 at Hull City+190
L 0-4 at Stoke City+250
W 0-2 vs Rotherham United-250
T 1-1 at Norwich City+415
T 1-1 vs Huddersfield+130

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+310-+280+240-+240+280-
Bristol City+100-+105+108-+108+108-
Draw+200-+205+225-+225+225-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+305---+315+285+315-
Bristol City+100----130+105+105-
Draw+230---+210+230+230-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 30.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +290 to +280
Bristol City ML moved from +100 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 30.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +335 to +285
Bristol City ML moved from -115 to -130

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-125-o2¼+108o2¼+109-o2¼+109o2¼+109-
Underu2+105-u2¼-128u2¼-129-u2¼-129u2¼-128-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.1%
 
No55.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.26%
Exactly 226.85%
Exactly 410.67%
Exactly 61.70%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.59%
Exactly 319.55%
Exactly 54.66%
Exactly 70.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 035.27%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 219.15%
Exactly 36.65%
Exactly 41.73%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Bristol City
Exactly 031.92%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 220.81%
Exactly 37.92%
Exactly 42.26%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.38%
Exactly 218.60%
Exactly 41.58%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.27%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 061.72%
Exactly 129.78%
Exactly 27.19%
Exactly 31.16%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bristol City
Exactly 058.94%
Exactly 131.16%
Exactly 28.24%
Exactly 31.45%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals12.56%
Wins by 3+ goals3.63%
Wins by 4+ goals0.80%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Bristol City
Wins by 2+ goals15.61%
Wins by 3+ goals4.89%
Wins by 4+ goals1.17%
Wins by 5+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Bristol City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal20.25%
Wins by 2 goals8.93%
Wins by 3 goals2.83%
Wins by 4 goals0.69%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Bristol City
Wins by 1 goal22.18%
Wins by 2 goals10.72%
Wins by 3 goals3.72%
Wins by 4 goals0.99%
Wins by 5 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.74%11.26%
1.564.15%35.85%
2.537.30%62.70%
3.517.75%82.25%
4.57.08%92.92%
5.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.73%35.27%
1.527.98%72.02%
2.58.82%91.18%
3.52.17%97.83%

Total Goals Bristol City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.08%31.92%
1.531.62%68.38%
2.510.81%89.19%
3.52.89%97.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.62%36.38%
1.526.84%73.16%
2.58.24%91.76%
3.51.97%98.03%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Bristol City
Score012345
0
11.26%
12.86%
7.34%
2.79%
0.80%
0.18%
1
11.73%
13.40%
7.65%
2.91%
0.83%
0.19%
2
6.11%
6.98%
3.99%
1.52%
0.43%
0.10%
3
2.12%
2.43%
1.38%
0.53%
0.15%
0.03%
4
0.55%
0.63%
0.36%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.13%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Millwall
1-011.73%
2-06.11%
2-16.98%
3-02.12%
3-12.43%
3-21.38%
4-00.55%
4-10.63%
4-20.36%
4-30.14%
5-00.12%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-011.26%
1-113.40%
2-23.99%
3-30.53%
Bristol City
0-112.86%
0-27.34%
1-27.65%
0-32.79%
1-32.91%
2-31.52%
0-40.80%
1-40.83%
2-40.43%
3-40.15%
0-50.18%
1-50.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Bristol City
Score01234
0
36.38%
19.23%
5.08%
0.90%
0.12%
1
17.55%
9.28%
2.45%
0.43%
0.06%
2
4.24%
2.24%
0.59%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.68%
0.36%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Millwall
1-017.55%
2-04.24%
2-12.24%
3-00.68%
3-10.36%
Draw
0-036.38%
1-19.28%
2-20.59%
Bristol City
0-119.23%
0-25.08%
1-22.45%
0-30.90%
1-30.43%
2-30.10%
0-40.12%
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