Swansea City at Luton Town

Updated

Swansea City

52.7%24.9%22.4%
Swansea City WinDrawLuton Town Win
1.61Projected Goals 0.95
1Final Score 1

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
W 2-1 at Derby County+180
L 4-3 vs Leeds United+335
L 0-1 at Burnley+295
W 0-1 vs Watford-115
L 1-0 vs Millwall+155
Luton Town
Money Line
L 2-4 at Norwich City+260
L 0-3 at Leeds United+650
W 0-1 vs Hull City+100
L 1-5 at Middlesbrough+340
W 0-1 vs Cardiff City-135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+225-+205+189-+190+205-
Luton Town+120-+135+129-+129+135-
Draw+220-+215+235-+235+235-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+225---+180+225+225-
Luton Town+125---+115+125+125-
Draw+235---+230+235+235-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 50.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +220 to +210
No Steam Moves On Luton Town ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 50.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +190 to +180
No Steam Moves On Luton Town ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+102-o2½+102o2½+103-o2½+103o2½+103-
Underu2½-122-u2½-122u2½-123-u2½-123u2½-122-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.2%
 
No50.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.70%
Exactly 225.31%
Exactly 413.87%
Exactly 63.04%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.74%
Exactly 321.63%
Exactly 57.11%
Exactly 71.11%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 020.00%
Exactly 132.19%
Exactly 225.90%
Exactly 313.89%
Exactly 45.59%
Exactly 51.80%
Exactly 60.48%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 038.49%
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 217.54%
Exactly 35.58%
Exactly 41.33%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.51%
Exactly 221.50%
Exactly 42.52%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.22%
Exactly 38.51%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 047.47%
Exactly 135.37%
Exactly 213.18%
Exactly 33.27%
Exactly 40.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 064.27%
Exactly 128.41%
Exactly 26.28%
Exactly 30.93%
Exactly 40.10%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals27.97%
Wins by 3+ goals11.81%
Wins by 4+ goals4.06%
Wins by 5+ goals1.16%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals7.70%
Wins by 3+ goals2.01%
Wins by 4+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Luton Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal24.68%
Wins by 2 goals16.16%
Wins by 3 goals7.75%
Wins by 4 goals2.90%
Wins by 5 goals0.89%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal14.64%
Wins by 2 goals5.69%
Wins by 3 goals1.61%
Wins by 4 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.30%7.70%
1.572.56%27.44%
2.547.25%52.75%
3.525.62%74.38%
4.511.75%88.25%
5.54.64%95.36%
6.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.00%20.00%
1.547.81%52.19%
2.521.90%78.10%
3.58.01%91.99%
4.52.42%97.58%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.51%38.49%
1.524.76%75.24%
2.57.22%92.78%
3.51.63%98.37%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.49%30.51%
1.533.27%66.73%
2.511.77%88.23%
3.53.27%96.73%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Luton Town
Score01234
0
7.70%
7.35%
3.51%
1.12%
0.27%
1
12.39%
11.83%
5.65%
1.80%
0.43%
2
9.97%
9.52%
4.54%
1.45%
0.35%
3
5.35%
5.11%
2.44%
0.78%
0.19%
4
2.15%
2.05%
0.98%
0.31%
0.07%
5
0.69%
0.66%
0.32%
0.10%
0.02%
Swansea City
1-012.39%
2-09.97%
2-19.52%
3-05.35%
3-15.11%
3-22.44%
4-02.15%
4-12.05%
4-20.98%
4-30.31%
5-00.69%
5-10.66%
5-20.32%
5-30.10%
Draw
0-07.70%
1-111.83%
2-24.54%
3-30.78%
Luton Town
0-17.35%
0-23.51%
1-25.65%
0-31.12%
1-31.80%
2-31.45%
0-40.27%
1-40.43%
2-40.35%
3-40.19%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Luton Town
Score0123
0
30.51%
13.49%
2.98%
0.44%
1
22.73%
10.05%
2.22%
0.33%
2
8.47%
3.74%
0.83%
0.12%
3
2.10%
0.93%
0.21%
0.03%
4
0.39%
0.17%
0.04%
0.01%
Swansea City
1-022.73%
2-08.47%
2-13.74%
3-02.10%
3-10.93%
3-20.21%
4-00.39%
4-10.17%
Draw
0-030.51%
1-110.05%
2-20.83%
Luton Town
0-113.49%
0-22.98%
1-22.22%
0-30.44%
1-30.33%
2-30.12%