Derby County at Bristol City

Updated

Derby County

31.6%25.9%42.4%
Derby County WinDrawBristol City Win
1.10Projected Goals 1.48
0Final Score 1

Bristol City

Last 5 Games

Derby County
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Queens Park Rangers+180
T 0-0 at Fulham+850
W 2-3 vs Bournemouth+415
T 1-1 at Millwall+325
L 1-2 at Barnsley+235
Bristol City
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Stoke City+260
T 1-1 vs Blackburn+210
L 2-3 at Coventry City+525
L 0-3 at Birmingham City+300
L 0-3 at West Bromwich Albion+680

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+185-+190+185+185+185+190+209.3
Bristol City+150-+155+159+151+159+159+171.3
Draw+215-+210+220+222+220+222+224.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Derby County+200---+170+190+190+209.3
Bristol City+150---+145+155+155+171.3
Draw+215---+185+220+220+224.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +190 to +183
Bristol City ML moved from +159 to +151

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Derby County: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Bristol City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Derby County: 0.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Derby County: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Derby County: 0.0%
Bristol City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Derby County ML moved from +180 to +170
No Steam Moves On Bristol City ML

Over/Under Analysis

 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-o2-132o2¼-101-o2¼-101o2¼+110
Under-u2+111u2¼-119-u2¼-119u2¼-110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+110
Under-----u2¼-110

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.6%
 
No48.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.57%
Exactly 225.21%
Exactly 414.00%
Exactly 63.11%
Exactly 80.37%
 
Exactly 119.54%
Exactly 321.69%
Exactly 57.23%
Exactly 71.15%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Derby County
Exactly 033.22%
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 220.17%
Exactly 37.41%
Exactly 42.04%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - Bristol City
Exactly 022.79%
Exactly 133.70%
Exactly 224.92%
Exactly 312.28%
Exactly 44.54%
Exactly 51.34%
Exactly 60.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.27%
Exactly 221.61%
Exactly 42.57%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.17%
Exactly 38.61%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Derby County
Exactly 060.03%
Exactly 130.63%
Exactly 27.82%
Exactly 31.33%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Bristol City
Exactly 050.42%
Exactly 134.53%
Exactly 211.82%
Exactly 32.70%
Exactly 40.46%

Alternate Props

Spread

Derby County
Wins by 2+ goals10.87%
Wins by 3+ goals3.21%
Wins by 4+ goals0.72%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%
Bristol City
Wins by 2+ goals22.58%
Wins by 3+ goals8.78%
Wins by 4+ goals2.74%
Wins by 5+ goals0.68%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Derby County
Bristol City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Derby County
Wins by 1 goal17.26%
Wins by 2 goals7.66%
Wins by 3 goals2.49%
Wins by 4 goals0.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%
Bristol City
Wins by 1 goal23.16%
Wins by 2 goals13.80%
Wins by 3 goals6.04%
Wins by 4 goals2.07%
Wins by 5 goals0.57%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.43%7.57%
1.572.89%27.11%
2.547.68%52.32%
3.525.99%74.01%
4.511.99%88.01%
5.54.77%95.23%
6.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Derby County Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.78%33.22%
1.530.18%69.82%
2.510.00%90.00%
3.52.59%97.41%

Total Goals Bristol City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.21%22.79%
1.543.51%56.49%
2.518.59%81.41%
3.56.30%93.70%
4.51.76%98.24%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.73%30.27%
1.533.56%66.44%
2.511.94%88.06%
3.53.33%96.67%

Score Props

Correct Score

Derby County
Bristol City
Score012345
0
7.57%
11.19%
8.28%
4.08%
1.51%
0.45%
1
8.34%
12.34%
9.12%
4.50%
1.66%
0.49%
2
4.60%
6.80%
5.03%
2.48%
0.92%
0.27%
3
1.69%
2.50%
1.85%
0.91%
0.34%
0.10%
4
0.47%
0.69%
0.51%
0.25%
0.09%
0.03%
5
0.10%
0.15%
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
Derby County
1-08.34%
2-04.60%
2-16.80%
3-01.69%
3-12.50%
3-21.85%
4-00.47%
4-10.69%
4-20.51%
4-30.25%
5-00.10%
5-10.15%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-07.57%
1-112.34%
2-25.03%
3-30.91%
Bristol City
0-111.19%
0-28.28%
1-29.12%
0-34.08%
1-34.50%
2-32.48%
0-41.51%
1-41.66%
2-40.92%
3-40.34%
0-50.45%
1-50.49%
2-50.27%

Correct Score - First Half

Derby County
Bristol City
Score01234
0
30.27%
20.73%
7.10%
1.62%
0.28%
1
15.45%
10.58%
3.62%
0.83%
0.14%
2
3.94%
2.70%
0.92%
0.21%
0.04%
3
0.67%
0.46%
0.16%
0.04%
0.01%
Derby County
1-015.45%
2-03.94%
2-12.70%
3-00.67%
3-10.46%
3-20.16%
Draw
0-030.27%
1-110.58%
2-20.92%
Bristol City
0-120.73%
0-27.10%
1-23.62%
0-31.62%
1-30.83%
2-30.21%
0-40.28%
1-40.14%
West Bromwich Albion at Coventry City
Huddersfield at Barnsley