Watford at Millwall

Updated

Watford

42.3%29.2%28.4%
Watford WinDrawMillwall Win
1.21Projected Goals 0.93
0Final Score 1

Millwall

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Huddersfield+100
W 1-0 at Rotherham United-115
L 2-4 at Norwich City+245
L 1-0 vs Cardiff City-120
T 0-0 at Sheffield Wednesday+180
Millwall
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Sheffield Wednesday+120
L 1-2 at Coventry City+370
L 0-1 at Hull City+300
T 1-1 vs Preston North End+110
L 0-2 at Queens Park Rangers+200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+180-+205+177-+177+195-
Millwall+155-+140+152-+152+152-
Draw+215-+215+210-+210+215-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+205---+185+195+195-
Millwall+145---+120+150+150-
Draw+220---+210+220+220-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 30.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +190 to +180
Millwall ML moved from +155 to +145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 40.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +205 to +195
No Steam Moves On Millwall ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110-o2¼-105o2¼+100-o2¼+100o2¼+100-
Underu2¼-110-u2¼-115u2¼-120-u2¼-120u2¼-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.6%
 
No57.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.73%
Exactly 226.93%
Exactly 410.31%
Exactly 61.58%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.13%
Exactly 319.24%
Exactly 54.42%
Exactly 70.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 029.87%
Exactly 136.09%
Exactly 221.81%
Exactly 38.78%
Exactly 42.65%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 039.26%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.16%
Exactly 35.35%
Exactly 41.25%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.07%
Exactly 218.25%
Exactly 41.50%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.04%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 057.15%
Exactly 131.98%
Exactly 28.95%
Exactly 31.67%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 064.87%
Exactly 128.08%
Exactly 26.08%
Exactly 30.88%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals18.47%
Wins by 3+ goals6.19%
Wins by 4+ goals1.65%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%
Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals9.97%
Wins by 3+ goals2.63%
Wins by 4+ goals0.53%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Millwall
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Watford
Wins by 1 goal23.83%
Wins by 2 goals12.28%
Wins by 3 goals4.54%
Wins by 4 goals1.30%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal18.44%
Wins by 2 goals7.35%
Wins by 3 goals2.10%
Wins by 4 goals0.46%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.27%11.73%
1.563.14%36.86%
2.536.21%63.79%
3.516.96%83.04%
4.56.65%93.35%
5.52.23%97.77%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.13%29.87%
1.534.04%65.96%
2.512.23%87.77%
3.53.45%96.55%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.74%39.26%
1.524.03%75.97%
2.56.87%93.13%
3.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.93%37.07%
1.526.14%73.86%
2.57.89%92.11%
3.51.85%98.15%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Millwall
Score01234
0
11.73%
10.96%
5.12%
1.60%
0.37%
1
14.17%
13.25%
6.19%
1.93%
0.45%
2
8.56%
8.00%
3.74%
1.17%
0.27%
3
3.45%
3.22%
1.51%
0.47%
0.11%
4
1.04%
0.97%
0.46%
0.14%
0.03%
5
0.25%
0.24%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Watford
1-014.17%
2-08.56%
2-18.00%
3-03.45%
3-13.22%
3-21.51%
4-01.04%
4-10.97%
4-20.46%
4-30.14%
5-00.25%
5-10.24%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-011.73%
1-113.25%
2-23.74%
3-30.47%
Millwall
0-110.96%
0-25.12%
1-26.19%
0-31.60%
1-31.93%
2-31.17%
0-40.37%
1-40.45%
2-40.27%
3-40.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Millwall
Score0123
0
37.07%
16.05%
3.47%
0.50%
1
20.74%
8.98%
1.94%
0.28%
2
5.80%
2.51%
0.54%
0.08%
3
1.08%
0.47%
0.10%
0.01%
4
0.15%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Watford
1-020.74%
2-05.80%
2-12.51%
3-01.08%
3-10.47%
3-20.10%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-037.07%
1-18.98%
2-20.54%
Millwall
0-116.05%
0-23.47%
1-21.94%
0-30.50%
1-30.28%