Watford at Millwall

Updated

Watford

42.3%29.2%28.4%
Watford WinDrawMillwall Win
1.21Projected Goals 0.93
0Final Score 1

Millwall

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Huddersfield+100
W 1-0 at Rotherham United-115
L 2-4 at Norwich City+245
L 1-0 vs Cardiff City-120
T 0-0 at Sheffield Wednesday+180
Millwall
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Sheffield Wednesday+120
L 1-2 at Coventry City+370
L 0-1 at Hull City+300
T 1-1 vs Preston North End+110
L 0-2 at Queens Park Rangers+200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+180-+205+177-+177+195-
Millwall+155-+140+152-+152+152-
Draw+215-+215+210-+210+215-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+205---+185+195+195-
Millwall+145---+120+150+150-
Draw+220---+210+220+220-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 30.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +190 to +180
Millwall ML moved from +155 to +145

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 40.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Watford: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Millwall: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +205 to +195
No Steam Moves On Millwall ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-110-o2¼-105o2¼+100-o2¼+100o2¼+100-
Underu2¼-110-u2¼-115u2¼-120-u2¼-120u2¼-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes42.6%
 
No57.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.73%
Exactly 226.93%
Exactly 410.31%
Exactly 61.58%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.13%
Exactly 319.24%
Exactly 54.42%
Exactly 70.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 029.87%
Exactly 136.09%
Exactly 221.81%
Exactly 38.78%
Exactly 42.65%
Exactly 50.64%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 039.26%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 217.16%
Exactly 35.35%
Exactly 41.25%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.07%
Exactly 218.25%
Exactly 41.50%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.04%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 057.15%
Exactly 131.98%
Exactly 28.95%
Exactly 31.67%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 064.87%
Exactly 128.08%
Exactly 26.08%
Exactly 30.88%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals18.47%
Wins by 3+ goals6.19%
Wins by 4+ goals1.65%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%
Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals9.97%
Wins by 3+ goals2.63%
Wins by 4+ goals0.53%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Millwall
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Watford
Wins by 1 goal23.83%
Wins by 2 goals12.28%
Wins by 3 goals4.54%
Wins by 4 goals1.30%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal18.44%
Wins by 2 goals7.35%
Wins by 3 goals2.10%
Wins by 4 goals0.46%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.27%11.73%
1.563.14%36.86%
2.536.21%63.79%
3.516.96%83.04%
4.56.65%93.35%
5.52.23%97.77%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.13%29.87%
1.534.04%65.96%
2.512.23%87.77%
3.53.45%96.55%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.74%39.26%
1.524.03%75.97%
2.56.87%93.13%
3.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.93%37.07%
1.526.14%73.86%
2.57.89%92.11%
3.51.85%98.15%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Millwall
Score01234
0
11.73%
10.96%
5.12%
1.60%
0.37%
1
14.17%
13.25%
6.19%
1.93%
0.45%
2
8.56%
8.00%
3.74%
1.17%
0.27%
3
3.45%
3.22%
1.51%
0.47%
0.11%
4
1.04%
0.97%
0.46%
0.14%
0.03%
5
0.25%
0.24%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Watford
1-014.17%
2-08.56%
2-18.00%
3-03.45%
3-13.22%
3-21.51%
4-01.04%
4-10.97%
4-20.46%
4-30.14%
5-00.25%
5-10.24%
5-20.11%
Draw
0-011.73%
1-113.25%
2-23.74%
3-30.47%
Millwall
0-110.96%
0-25.12%
1-26.19%
0-31.60%
1-31.93%
2-31.17%
0-40.37%
1-40.45%
2-40.27%
3-40.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Millwall
Score0123
0
37.07%
16.05%
3.47%
0.50%
1
20.74%
8.98%
1.94%
0.28%
2
5.80%
2.51%
0.54%
0.08%
3
1.08%
0.47%
0.10%
0.01%
4
0.15%
0.07%
0.01%
0.00%
Watford
1-020.74%
2-05.80%
2-12.51%
3-01.08%
3-10.47%
3-20.10%
4-00.15%
Draw
0-037.07%
1-18.98%
2-20.54%
Millwall
0-116.05%
0-23.47%
1-21.94%
0-30.50%
1-30.28%
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