Reading at Luton Town

Updated

Reading

39.7%27.5%32.8%
Reading WinDrawLuton Town Win
1.28Projected Goals 1.13
0Final Score 1

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Reading
Money Line
L 1-0 vs West Bromwich Albion+190
L 0-3 at Hull City+175
T 4-4 vs Swansea City+140
L 2-1 vs Cardiff City+130
W 1-2 vs Stoke City+180
Luton Town
Money Line
L 0-7 at Fulham+675
W 1-0 at Cardiff City+160
W 0-1 vs Nottingham Forest+215
L 0-2 at Huddersfield+210
T 2-2 vs Millwall+110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reading+390+543+450+450+479+450+543+540.1
Luton Town-140-173-170-169-179-169-169-152.6
Draw+260+316+285+275+307+275+316+317.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Reading+520---+460+565+565+540.1
Luton Town-195----225-205-205-152.6
Draw+335---+290+335+335+317.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Reading: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reading: 60.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reading: 10.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reading ML moved from +460 to +450
Luton Town ML moved from -161 to -172

Overall

Overall Bet Value Active
Reading: 80.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Reading: 60.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Reading: 20.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Reading ML moved from +580 to +565
Luton Town ML moved from -195 to -205

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾+102o2½-109o2½-110o2½-115-o2½-115o2½-109o2½-104
Underu2¾-122u2½-106u2½-110u2½-105-u2½-105u2½-105u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-104
Under-----u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2¾-105 to u2¾-137

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.0%
 
No51.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.95%
Exactly 226.07%
Exactly 412.65%
Exactly 62.46%
Exactly 80.26%
 
Exactly 121.60%
Exactly 320.97%
Exactly 56.11%
Exactly 70.85%
Exact Goals Scored - Reading
Exactly 027.84%
Exactly 135.60%
Exactly 222.76%
Exactly 39.70%
Exactly 43.10%
Exactly 50.79%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 032.14%
Exactly 136.48%
Exactly 220.70%
Exactly 37.83%
Exactly 42.22%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.71%
Exactly 220.42%
Exactly 42.13%
 
Exactly 136.55%
Exactly 37.61%
Exactly 50.48%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Reading
Exactly 055.32%
Exactly 132.75%
Exactly 29.69%
Exactly 31.91%
Exactly 40.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 059.13%
Exactly 131.07%
Exactly 28.16%
Exactly 31.43%
Exactly 40.19%

Alternate Props

Spread

Reading
Wins by 2+ goals17.68%
Wins by 3+ goals6.12%
Wins by 4+ goals1.69%
Wins by 5+ goals0.37%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals13.13%
Wins by 3+ goals4.03%
Wins by 4+ goals0.94%
Wins by 5+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Reading
Luton Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Reading
Wins by 1 goal22.02%
Wins by 2 goals11.56%
Wins by 3 goals4.43%
Wins by 4 goals1.32%
Wins by 5 goals0.32%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal19.54%
Wins by 2 goals9.11%
Wins by 3 goals3.09%
Wins by 4 goals0.80%
Wins by 5 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.05%8.95%
1.569.45%30.55%
2.543.38%56.62%
3.522.41%77.59%
4.59.76%90.24%
5.53.65%96.35%
6.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals Reading Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.16%27.84%
1.536.56%63.44%
2.513.80%86.20%
3.54.10%95.90%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.86%32.14%
1.531.37%68.63%
2.510.67%89.33%
3.52.84%97.16%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.29%32.71%
1.530.74%69.26%
2.510.31%89.69%
3.52.71%97.29%

Score Props

Correct Score

Reading
Luton Town
Score012345
0
8.95%
10.16%
5.76%
2.18%
0.62%
0.14%
1
11.44%
12.99%
7.37%
2.79%
0.79%
0.18%
2
7.32%
8.30%
4.71%
1.78%
0.51%
0.11%
3
3.12%
3.54%
2.01%
0.76%
0.22%
0.05%
4
1.00%
1.13%
0.64%
0.24%
0.07%
0.02%
5
0.25%
0.29%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
0.00%
Reading
1-011.44%
2-07.32%
2-18.30%
3-03.12%
3-13.54%
3-22.01%
4-01.00%
4-11.13%
4-20.64%
4-30.24%
5-00.25%
5-10.29%
5-20.16%
Draw
0-08.95%
1-112.99%
2-24.71%
3-30.76%
Luton Town
0-110.16%
0-25.76%
1-27.37%
0-32.18%
1-32.79%
2-31.78%
0-40.62%
1-40.79%
2-40.51%
3-40.22%
0-50.14%
1-50.18%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Reading
Luton Town
Score01234
0
32.71%
17.19%
4.52%
0.79%
0.10%
1
19.36%
10.18%
2.67%
0.47%
0.06%
2
5.73%
3.01%
0.79%
0.14%
0.02%
3
1.13%
0.59%
0.16%
0.03%
0.00%
4
0.17%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
0.00%
Reading
1-019.36%
2-05.73%
2-13.01%
3-01.13%
3-10.59%
3-20.16%
4-00.17%
Draw
0-032.71%
1-110.18%
2-20.79%
Luton Town
0-117.19%
0-24.52%
1-22.67%
0-30.79%
1-30.47%
2-30.14%
0-40.10%