Swansea City at Stoke City

Updated

Swansea City

44.5%27.3%28.1%
Swansea City WinDrawStoke City Win
1.36Projected Goals 1.02
1Final Score 1

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
W 2-1 at Rotherham United+120
L 1-3 at Leeds United+800
T 2-2 vs Hull City+185
W 1-0 at Blackburn+265
L 1-0 vs Watford+145
Stoke City
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Sheffield Wednesday+100
L 2-4 at Queens Park Rangers+175
L 3-0 vs Blackburn+120
T 0-0 at Coventry City+220
T 0-0 vs Cardiff City+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+245+260+240+205-+205+260-
Stoke City+110+120+110+116-+116+120-
Draw+230+235+235+245-+245+245-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+255---+210+250+250-
Stoke City+105---+100+110+110-
Draw+255---+230+250+250-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 50.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +215 to +205
Stoke City ML moved from +107 to +100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 50.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +240 to +200
No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½+113o2½-108o2½-113-o2½-113o2½+113-
Underu2½-110u2½-133u2½-112u2½-107-u2½-107u2½-107-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.6%
 
No52.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.24%
Exactly 226.21%
Exactly 412.39%
Exactly 62.34%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 122.01%
Exactly 320.80%
Exactly 55.90%
Exactly 70.80%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 025.66%
Exactly 134.91%
Exactly 223.74%
Exactly 310.76%
Exactly 43.66%
Exactly 51.00%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 036.01%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.78%
Exactly 36.39%
Exactly 41.63%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.20%
Exactly 220.18%
Exactly 42.04%
 
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 37.42%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 053.27%
Exactly 133.55%
Exactly 210.56%
Exactly 32.22%
Exactly 40.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 062.32%
Exactly 129.47%
Exactly 26.97%
Exactly 31.10%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals20.93%
Wins by 3+ goals7.67%
Wins by 4+ goals2.25%
Wins by 5+ goals0.52%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals10.39%
Wins by 3+ goals2.91%
Wins by 4+ goals0.62%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Stoke City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal23.57%
Wins by 2 goals13.26%
Wins by 3 goals5.42%
Wins by 4 goals1.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.44%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal17.70%
Wins by 2 goals7.48%
Wins by 3 goals2.29%
Wins by 4 goals0.54%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.76%9.24%
1.568.75%31.25%
2.542.54%57.46%
3.521.74%78.26%
4.59.36%90.64%
5.53.46%96.54%
6.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.34%25.66%
1.539.43%60.57%
2.515.69%84.31%
3.54.93%95.07%
4.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.99%36.01%
1.527.21%72.79%
2.58.43%91.57%
3.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.80%33.20%
1.530.19%69.81%
2.510.01%89.99%
3.52.59%97.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Stoke City
Score01234
0
9.24%
9.44%
4.82%
1.64%
0.42%
1
12.57%
12.84%
6.56%
2.23%
0.57%
2
8.55%
8.73%
4.46%
1.52%
0.39%
3
3.87%
3.96%
2.02%
0.69%
0.18%
4
1.32%
1.35%
0.69%
0.23%
0.06%
5
0.36%
0.37%
0.19%
0.06%
0.02%
Swansea City
1-012.57%
2-08.55%
2-18.73%
3-03.87%
3-13.96%
3-22.02%
4-01.32%
4-11.35%
4-20.69%
4-30.23%
5-00.36%
5-10.37%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-09.24%
1-112.84%
2-24.46%
3-30.69%
Stoke City
0-19.44%
0-24.82%
1-26.56%
0-31.64%
1-32.23%
2-31.52%
0-40.42%
1-40.57%
2-40.39%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Stoke City
Score0123
0
33.20%
15.70%
3.71%
0.59%
1
20.91%
9.89%
2.34%
0.37%
2
6.58%
3.11%
0.74%
0.12%
3
1.38%
0.65%
0.15%
0.02%
4
0.22%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-020.91%
2-06.58%
2-13.11%
3-01.38%
3-10.65%
3-20.15%
4-00.22%
4-10.10%
Draw
0-033.20%
1-19.89%
2-20.74%
Stoke City
0-115.70%
0-23.71%
1-22.34%
0-30.59%
1-30.37%
2-30.12%
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