Swansea City at Stoke City

Updated

Swansea City

44.5%27.3%28.1%
Swansea City WinDrawStoke City Win
1.36Projected Goals 1.02
1Final Score 1

Stoke City

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
W 2-1 at Rotherham United+120
L 1-3 at Leeds United+800
T 2-2 vs Hull City+185
W 1-0 at Blackburn+265
L 1-0 vs Watford+145
Stoke City
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Sheffield Wednesday+100
L 2-4 at Queens Park Rangers+175
L 3-0 vs Blackburn+120
T 0-0 at Coventry City+220
T 0-0 vs Cardiff City+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+245+260+240+205-+205+260-
Stoke City+110+120+110+116-+116+120-
Draw+230+235+235+245-+245+245-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+255---+210+250+250-
Stoke City+105---+100+110+110-
Draw+255---+230+250+250-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 50.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +215 to +205
Stoke City ML moved from +107 to +100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Stoke City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 50.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Stoke City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +240 to +200
No Steam Moves On Stoke City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-110o2½+113o2½-108o2½-113-o2½-113o2½+113-
Underu2½-110u2½-133u2½-112u2½-107-u2½-107u2½-107-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.6%
 
No52.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.24%
Exactly 226.21%
Exactly 412.39%
Exactly 62.34%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 122.01%
Exactly 320.80%
Exactly 55.90%
Exactly 70.80%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 025.66%
Exactly 134.91%
Exactly 223.74%
Exactly 310.76%
Exactly 43.66%
Exactly 51.00%
Exactly 60.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Stoke City
Exactly 036.01%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.78%
Exactly 36.39%
Exactly 41.63%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.20%
Exactly 220.18%
Exactly 42.04%
 
Exactly 136.61%
Exactly 37.42%
Exactly 50.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 053.27%
Exactly 133.55%
Exactly 210.56%
Exactly 32.22%
Exactly 40.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Stoke City
Exactly 062.32%
Exactly 129.47%
Exactly 26.97%
Exactly 31.10%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals20.93%
Wins by 3+ goals7.67%
Wins by 4+ goals2.25%
Wins by 5+ goals0.52%
Stoke City
Wins by 2+ goals10.39%
Wins by 3+ goals2.91%
Wins by 4+ goals0.62%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Stoke City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal23.57%
Wins by 2 goals13.26%
Wins by 3 goals5.42%
Wins by 4 goals1.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.44%
Stoke City
Wins by 1 goal17.70%
Wins by 2 goals7.48%
Wins by 3 goals2.29%
Wins by 4 goals0.54%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.76%9.24%
1.568.75%31.25%
2.542.54%57.46%
3.521.74%78.26%
4.59.36%90.64%
5.53.46%96.54%
6.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.34%25.66%
1.539.43%60.57%
2.515.69%84.31%
3.54.93%95.07%
4.51.27%98.73%

Total Goals Stoke City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.99%36.01%
1.527.21%72.79%
2.58.43%91.57%
3.52.03%97.97%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.80%33.20%
1.530.19%69.81%
2.510.01%89.99%
3.52.59%97.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Stoke City
Score01234
0
9.24%
9.44%
4.82%
1.64%
0.42%
1
12.57%
12.84%
6.56%
2.23%
0.57%
2
8.55%
8.73%
4.46%
1.52%
0.39%
3
3.87%
3.96%
2.02%
0.69%
0.18%
4
1.32%
1.35%
0.69%
0.23%
0.06%
5
0.36%
0.37%
0.19%
0.06%
0.02%
Swansea City
1-012.57%
2-08.55%
2-18.73%
3-03.87%
3-13.96%
3-22.02%
4-01.32%
4-11.35%
4-20.69%
4-30.23%
5-00.36%
5-10.37%
5-20.19%
Draw
0-09.24%
1-112.84%
2-24.46%
3-30.69%
Stoke City
0-19.44%
0-24.82%
1-26.56%
0-31.64%
1-32.23%
2-31.52%
0-40.42%
1-40.57%
2-40.39%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Stoke City
Score0123
0
33.20%
15.70%
3.71%
0.59%
1
20.91%
9.89%
2.34%
0.37%
2
6.58%
3.11%
0.74%
0.12%
3
1.38%
0.65%
0.15%
0.02%
4
0.22%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-020.91%
2-06.58%
2-13.11%
3-01.38%
3-10.65%
3-20.15%
4-00.22%
4-10.10%
Draw
0-033.20%
1-19.89%
2-20.74%
Stoke City
0-115.70%
0-23.71%
1-22.34%
0-30.59%
1-30.37%
2-30.12%