Millwall at Cardiff City

Updated

Millwall

30.1%27.7%42.1%
Millwall WinDrawCardiff City Win
1.05Projected Goals 1.30
0Final Score 1

Cardiff City

Last 5 Games

Millwall
Money Line
L 3-0 vs Coventry City+165
W 4-0 at Sheffield Wednesday+205
T 2-2 at Watford+285
L 2-1 vs Blackburn+165
T 1-1 at Preston North End+210
Cardiff City
Money Line
L 1-0 vs West Bromwich Albion+215
W 2-1 at Preston North End+225
L 3-2 vs Norwich City+115
T 0-0 at Stoke City+280
W 0-2 vs Bristol City+105

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+265+295+250+235-+235+280-
Cardiff City+110+110+120+121-+121+121-
Draw+220+230+205+205-+205+230-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Millwall+280---+255+275+275-
Cardiff City+105----105+110+110-
Draw+235---+200+225+225-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 20.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +260 to +250
Cardiff City ML moved from +112 to +106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Millwall: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Millwall: 20.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Millwall: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Millwall: 0.0%
Cardiff City: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Millwall ML moved from +265 to +250
No Steam Moves On Cardiff City ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-102o2-137o2¼+102o2¼+111-o2¼+111o2¼+111-
Underu2¼-118u2+117u2¼-122u2¼-131-u2¼-131u2¼-122-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.4%
 
No52.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.52%
Exactly 226.33%
Exactly 412.14%
Exactly 62.24%
Exactly 80.22%
 
Exactly 122.38%
Exactly 320.64%
Exactly 55.71%
Exactly 70.75%
Exact Goals Scored - Millwall
Exactly 034.87%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.35%
Exactly 36.80%
Exactly 41.79%
Exactly 50.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Cardiff City
Exactly 027.29%
Exactly 135.44%
Exactly 223.01%
Exactly 39.96%
Exactly 43.23%
Exactly 50.84%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.65%
Exactly 219.96%
Exactly 41.97%
 
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 37.25%
Exactly 50.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Millwall
Exactly 061.40%
Exactly 129.95%
Exactly 27.31%
Exactly 31.19%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Cardiff City
Exactly 054.81%
Exactly 132.96%
Exactly 29.91%
Exactly 31.99%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Millwall
Wins by 2+ goals11.44%
Wins by 3+ goals3.30%
Wins by 4+ goals0.73%
Wins by 5+ goals0.10%
Cardiff City
Wins by 2+ goals19.10%
Wins by 3+ goals6.73%
Wins by 4+ goals1.89%
Wins by 5+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Millwall
Cardiff City
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Millwall
Wins by 1 goal18.64%
Wins by 2 goals8.14%
Wins by 3 goals2.58%
Wins by 4 goals0.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.10%
Cardiff City
Wins by 1 goal22.97%
Wins by 2 goals12.37%
Wins by 3 goals4.84%
Wins by 4 goals1.47%
Wins by 5 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.48%9.52%
1.568.10%31.90%
2.541.78%58.22%
3.521.13%78.87%
4.59.00%91.00%
5.53.29%96.71%
6.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals Millwall Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.13%34.87%
1.528.39%71.61%
2.59.04%90.96%
3.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals Cardiff City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.71%27.29%
1.537.27%62.73%
2.514.26%85.74%
3.54.30%95.70%
4.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.35%33.65%
1.529.70%70.30%
2.59.74%90.26%
3.52.49%97.51%

Score Props

Correct Score

Millwall
Cardiff City
Score012345
0
9.52%
12.36%
8.02%
3.47%
1.13%
0.29%
1
10.03%
13.02%
8.45%
3.66%
1.19%
0.31%
2
5.28%
6.86%
4.45%
1.93%
0.63%
0.16%
3
1.85%
2.41%
1.56%
0.68%
0.22%
0.06%
4
0.49%
0.63%
0.41%
0.18%
0.06%
0.02%
5
0.10%
0.13%
0.09%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Millwall
1-010.03%
2-05.28%
2-16.86%
3-01.85%
3-12.41%
3-21.56%
4-00.49%
4-10.63%
4-20.41%
4-30.18%
5-00.10%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-09.52%
1-113.02%
2-24.45%
3-30.68%
Cardiff City
0-112.36%
0-28.02%
1-28.45%
0-33.47%
1-33.66%
2-31.93%
0-41.13%
1-41.19%
2-40.63%
3-40.22%
0-50.29%
1-50.31%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Millwall
Cardiff City
Score01234
0
33.65%
20.23%
6.08%
1.22%
0.18%
1
16.42%
9.87%
2.97%
0.59%
0.09%
2
4.00%
2.41%
0.72%
0.15%
0.02%
3
0.65%
0.39%
0.12%
0.02%
0.00%
Millwall
1-016.42%
2-04.00%
2-12.41%
3-00.65%
3-10.39%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-033.65%
1-19.87%
2-20.72%
Cardiff City
0-120.23%
0-26.08%
1-22.97%
0-31.22%
1-30.59%
2-30.15%
0-40.18%
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