Swansea City at Burnley

Updated

Swansea City

23.5%26.4%50.1%
Swansea City WinDrawBurnley Win
0.92Projected Goals 1.47
0Final Score 4

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
W 2-1 at Watford+355
W 3-2 at West Bromwich Albion+410
W 0-3 vs Hull City-125
W 0-1 vs Queens Park Rangers+130
T 1-1 at Stoke City+245
Burnley
Money Line
W 1-0 at Coventry City+130
T 1-1 vs Stoke City-160
T 1-1 at Cardiff City+135
W 1-2 vs Bristol City-135
T 1-1 at Preston North End+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+320+420+370+325-+325+420-
Burnley-115-141-140-140--140-140-
Draw+240+299+275+275-+275+299-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+370---+345+375+375-
Burnley-135----165-140-140-
Draw+275---+255+285+285-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 30.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +420 to +411
Burnley ML moved from -128 to -138

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 30.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Swansea City: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +375 to +360
Burnley ML moved from -155 to -165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½-122o2¾-105o2½-121-o2½-121o2½-121-
Underu2½-120u2½+107u2¾-115u2½+101-u2½+101u2¾-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.2%
 
No53.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.19%
Exactly 226.18%
Exactly 412.44%
Exactly 62.36%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.93%
Exactly 320.84%
Exactly 55.94%
Exactly 70.81%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 040.00%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 216.79%
Exactly 35.13%
Exactly 41.17%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 022.96%
Exactly 133.78%
Exactly 224.85%
Exactly 312.19%
Exactly 44.48%
Exactly 51.32%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.11%
Exactly 220.23%
Exactly 42.06%
 
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 37.45%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 065.43%
Exactly 127.75%
Exactly 25.89%
Exactly 30.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 050.60%
Exactly 134.47%
Exactly 211.74%
Exactly 32.67%
Exactly 40.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals7.92%
Wins by 3+ goals2.02%
Wins by 4+ goals0.39%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals25.10%
Wins by 3+ goals9.87%
Wins by 4+ goals3.11%
Wins by 5+ goals0.78%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Burnley
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal15.51%
Wins by 2 goals5.91%
Wins by 3 goals1.63%
Wins by 4 goals0.34%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal24.92%
Wins by 2 goals15.24%
Wins by 3 goals6.76%
Wins by 4 goals2.33%
Wins by 5 goals0.65%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.81%9.19%
1.568.88%31.12%
2.542.70%57.30%
3.521.87%78.13%
4.59.43%90.57%
5.53.49%96.51%
6.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.00%40.00%
1.523.34%76.66%
2.56.55%93.45%
3.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.04%22.96%
1.543.26%56.74%
2.518.40%81.60%
3.56.21%93.79%
4.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.89%33.11%
1.530.30%69.70%
2.510.07%89.93%
3.52.61%97.39%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Burnley
Score012345
0
9.19%
13.52%
9.94%
4.88%
1.79%
0.53%
1
8.42%
12.38%
9.11%
4.47%
1.64%
0.48%
2
3.85%
5.67%
4.17%
2.05%
0.75%
0.22%
3
1.18%
1.73%
1.27%
0.63%
0.23%
0.07%
4
0.27%
0.40%
0.29%
0.14%
0.05%
0.02%
Swansea City
1-08.42%
2-03.85%
2-15.67%
3-01.18%
3-11.73%
3-21.27%
4-00.27%
4-10.40%
4-20.29%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-09.19%
1-112.38%
2-24.17%
3-30.63%
Burnley
0-113.52%
0-29.94%
1-29.11%
0-34.88%
1-34.47%
2-32.05%
0-41.79%
1-41.64%
2-40.75%
3-40.23%
0-50.53%
1-50.48%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Burnley
Score01234
0
33.11%
22.55%
7.68%
1.74%
0.30%
1
14.04%
9.57%
3.26%
0.74%
0.13%
2
2.98%
2.03%
0.69%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.42%
0.29%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-014.04%
2-02.98%
2-12.03%
3-00.42%
3-10.29%
Draw
0-033.11%
1-19.57%
2-20.69%
Burnley
0-122.55%
0-27.68%
1-23.26%
0-31.74%
1-30.74%
2-30.16%
0-40.30%
1-40.13%
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