Swansea City at Burnley

Updated

Swansea City

23.5%26.4%50.1%
Swansea City WinDrawBurnley Win
0.92Projected Goals 1.47
0Final Score 4

Burnley

Last 5 Games

Swansea City
Money Line
W 2-1 at Watford+355
W 3-2 at West Bromwich Albion+410
W 0-3 vs Hull City-125
W 0-1 vs Queens Park Rangers+130
T 1-1 at Stoke City+245
Burnley
Money Line
W 1-0 at Coventry City+130
T 1-1 vs Stoke City-160
T 1-1 at Cardiff City+135
W 1-2 vs Bristol City-135
T 1-1 at Preston North End+140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+320+420+370+325-+325+420-
Burnley-115-141-140-140--140-140-
Draw+240+299+275+275-+275+299-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Swansea City+370---+345+375+375-
Burnley-135----165-140-140-
Draw+275---+255+285+285-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 30.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +420 to +411
Burnley ML moved from -128 to -138

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Swansea City: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Burnley: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Swansea City: 30.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Swansea City: 0.0%
Burnley: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Swansea City ML moved from +375 to +360
Burnley ML moved from -155 to -165

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.4%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+100o2½-122o2¾-105o2½-121-o2½-121o2½-121-
Underu2½-120u2½+107u2¾-115u2½+101-u2½+101u2¾-115-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.2%
 
No53.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.19%
Exactly 226.18%
Exactly 412.44%
Exactly 62.36%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.93%
Exactly 320.84%
Exactly 55.94%
Exactly 70.81%
Exact Goals Scored - Swansea City
Exactly 040.00%
Exactly 136.65%
Exactly 216.79%
Exactly 35.13%
Exactly 41.17%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Burnley
Exactly 022.96%
Exactly 133.78%
Exactly 224.85%
Exactly 312.19%
Exactly 44.48%
Exactly 51.32%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.11%
Exactly 220.23%
Exactly 42.06%
 
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 37.45%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Swansea City
Exactly 065.43%
Exactly 127.75%
Exactly 25.89%
Exactly 30.83%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Burnley
Exactly 050.60%
Exactly 134.47%
Exactly 211.74%
Exactly 32.67%
Exactly 40.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Swansea City
Wins by 2+ goals7.92%
Wins by 3+ goals2.02%
Wins by 4+ goals0.39%
Burnley
Wins by 2+ goals25.10%
Wins by 3+ goals9.87%
Wins by 4+ goals3.11%
Wins by 5+ goals0.78%
Wins by 6+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Swansea City
Burnley
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Swansea City
Wins by 1 goal15.51%
Wins by 2 goals5.91%
Wins by 3 goals1.63%
Wins by 4 goals0.34%
Burnley
Wins by 1 goal24.92%
Wins by 2 goals15.24%
Wins by 3 goals6.76%
Wins by 4 goals2.33%
Wins by 5 goals0.65%
Wins by 6 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.81%9.19%
1.568.88%31.12%
2.542.70%57.30%
3.521.87%78.13%
4.59.43%90.57%
5.53.49%96.51%
6.51.13%98.87%

Total Goals Swansea City Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.00%40.00%
1.523.34%76.66%
2.56.55%93.45%
3.51.43%98.57%

Total Goals Burnley Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.04%22.96%
1.543.26%56.74%
2.518.40%81.60%
3.56.21%93.79%
4.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.89%33.11%
1.530.30%69.70%
2.510.07%89.93%
3.52.61%97.39%

Score Props

Correct Score

Swansea City
Burnley
Score012345
0
9.19%
13.52%
9.94%
4.88%
1.79%
0.53%
1
8.42%
12.38%
9.11%
4.47%
1.64%
0.48%
2
3.85%
5.67%
4.17%
2.05%
0.75%
0.22%
3
1.18%
1.73%
1.27%
0.63%
0.23%
0.07%
4
0.27%
0.40%
0.29%
0.14%
0.05%
0.02%
Swansea City
1-08.42%
2-03.85%
2-15.67%
3-01.18%
3-11.73%
3-21.27%
4-00.27%
4-10.40%
4-20.29%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-09.19%
1-112.38%
2-24.17%
3-30.63%
Burnley
0-113.52%
0-29.94%
1-29.11%
0-34.88%
1-34.47%
2-32.05%
0-41.79%
1-41.64%
2-40.75%
3-40.23%
0-50.53%
1-50.48%
2-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Swansea City
Burnley
Score01234
0
33.11%
22.55%
7.68%
1.74%
0.30%
1
14.04%
9.57%
3.26%
0.74%
0.13%
2
2.98%
2.03%
0.69%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.42%
0.29%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Swansea City
1-014.04%
2-02.98%
2-12.03%
3-00.42%
3-10.29%
Draw
0-033.11%
1-19.57%
2-20.69%
Burnley
0-122.55%
0-27.68%
1-23.26%
0-31.74%
1-30.74%
2-30.16%
0-40.30%
1-40.13%