Watford at Luton Town

Updated

Watford

50.8%26.0%23.2%
Watford WinDrawLuton Town Win
1.51Projected Goals 0.93
0Final Score 2

Luton Town

Last 5 Games

Watford
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Wigan Athletic-155
W 0-3 vs Birmingham City-115
L 0-1 at Queens Park Rangers+100
T 0-0 vs Preston North End-130
W 2-3 vs West Bromwich Albion+175
Luton Town
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Bristol City-115
W 0-1 vs Swansea City-115
T 2-2 vs Millwall+125
W 1-0 at Birmingham City+145
L 1-0 vs Burnley+245

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+240+292+275+275-+275+292-
Luton Town+110+115+105+100-+100+115-
Draw+245+218+220+205-+205+220-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Watford+280---+225+250+250-
Luton Town+105---+100+115+115-
Draw+235---+210+230+230-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 50.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 50.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +294 to +288
Luton Town ML moved from +117 to +106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Watford: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Luton Town: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Watford: 50.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Watford: 0.0%
Luton Town: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Watford ML moved from +240 to +225
No Steam Moves On Luton Town ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open Line5DimesBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+102o2-109o2-105o2-105-o2-105o2-105-
Underu2¼-122u2-106u2-115u2-115-u2-115u2-106-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.70%
Exactly 225.94%
Exactly 412.89%
Exactly 62.56%
Exactly 80.27%
 
Exactly 121.24%
Exactly 321.11%
Exactly 56.29%
Exactly 70.89%
Exact Goals Scored - Watford
Exactly 022.05%
Exactly 133.34%
Exactly 225.20%
Exactly 312.70%
Exactly 44.80%
Exactly 51.45%
Exactly 60.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Luton Town
Exactly 039.46%
Exactly 136.69%
Exactly 217.06%
Exactly 35.29%
Exactly 41.23%
Exactly 50.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.29%
Exactly 220.63%
Exactly 42.20%
 
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 37.78%
Exactly 50.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Watford
Exactly 049.66%
Exactly 134.76%
Exactly 212.17%
Exactly 32.84%
Exactly 40.50%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Luton Town
Exactly 065.01%
Exactly 127.99%
Exactly 26.03%
Exactly 30.86%

Alternate Props

Spread

Watford
Wins by 2+ goals25.88%
Wins by 3+ goals10.38%
Wins by 4+ goals3.34%
Wins by 5+ goals0.85%
Luton Town
Wins by 2+ goals7.90%
Wins by 3+ goals2.03%
Wins by 4+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Watford
Luton Town
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Watford
Wins by 1 goal24.84%
Wins by 2 goals15.50%
Wins by 3 goals7.04%
Wins by 4 goals2.49%
Wins by 5 goals0.71%
Luton Town
Wins by 1 goal15.28%
Wins by 2 goals5.86%
Wins by 3 goals1.63%
Wins by 4 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.30%8.70%
1.570.05%29.95%
2.544.12%55.88%
3.523.01%76.99%
4.510.12%89.88%
5.53.82%96.18%
6.51.26%98.74%

Total Goals Watford Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.95%22.05%
1.544.61%55.39%
2.519.41%80.59%
3.56.71%93.29%
4.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals Luton Town Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.54%39.46%
1.523.85%76.15%
2.56.79%93.21%
3.51.50%98.50%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.71%32.29%
1.531.21%68.79%
2.510.58%89.42%
3.52.81%97.19%

Score Props

Correct Score

Watford
Luton Town
Score01234
0
8.70%
8.09%
3.76%
1.17%
0.27%
1
13.15%
12.23%
5.69%
1.76%
0.41%
2
9.94%
9.25%
4.30%
1.33%
0.31%
3
5.01%
4.66%
2.17%
0.67%
0.16%
4
1.89%
1.76%
0.82%
0.25%
0.06%
5
0.57%
0.53%
0.25%
0.08%
0.02%
Watford
1-013.15%
2-09.94%
2-19.25%
3-05.01%
3-14.66%
3-22.17%
4-01.89%
4-11.76%
4-20.82%
4-30.25%
5-00.57%
5-10.53%
5-20.25%
Draw
0-08.70%
1-112.23%
2-24.30%
3-30.67%
Luton Town
0-18.09%
0-23.76%
1-25.69%
0-31.17%
1-31.76%
2-31.33%
0-40.27%
1-40.41%
2-40.31%
3-40.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Watford
Luton Town
Score0123
0
32.29%
13.90%
2.99%
0.43%
1
22.60%
9.73%
2.09%
0.30%
2
7.91%
3.41%
0.73%
0.11%
3
1.85%
0.79%
0.17%
0.02%
4
0.32%
0.14%
0.03%
0.00%
Watford
1-022.60%
2-07.91%
2-13.41%
3-01.85%
3-10.79%
3-20.17%
4-00.32%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-032.29%
1-19.73%
2-20.73%
Luton Town
0-113.90%
0-22.99%
1-22.09%
0-30.43%
1-30.30%
2-30.11%